Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Glencoe, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 123 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

Currently-Tonight...Diffuse east coast sea breeze will continue to push inland, west of I-95 through the afternoon, with isolated to scattered shower development forecast along and inland of this boundary. Hi-res guidance continues to show a somewhat summer-like pattern with increasing coverage of showers and storms with the sea breeze collision, which is favored to occur across west central Florida late in the day and into early evening. Therefore highest potential for showers/storms will be focused just west of the area, but will maintain 20-40 percent rain chances across inland portions of east central FL for the afternoon/early evening. Once convection diminishes, it will be mostly dry into tonight, with isolated onshore moving showers possible, mainly along the Treasure Coast.
Mild temperatures forecast with lows in the mid to upper 60s.
Elevated southeast wind speeds in the lower levels should again limit fog potential, but patchy fog will again be possible, mainly near to northwest of I-4 late tonight through early morning Friday.

Friday-Saturday...Ridge axis of high pressure across the West Atlantic will remain north of the area through late week and into early weekend. This will continue a moderate onshore flow across the area. Isolated showers may move onshore, especially during the nighttime and morning hours, south of the Cape. Then isolated to scattered showers and a few storms will be possible with the inland moving east coast sea breeze each afternoon. Hi-res guidance doesn't seem to be as enthusiastic at this point with convective coverage tomorrow as it does for this afternoon/evening. However, for now will keep low end 20-30 percent rain chances for mostly inland areas on Friday, with a modest increase in PoPs to 30-40 percent on Saturday. Highs will reach the low 80s along the coast to mid 80s across the interior. This will lead to near record max temps for Leesburg and Sanford on Saturday. Record highs for March 7th at both sites are 88 degrees last set in 2023.

Sunday-Wednesday...(Modified Previous Discussion) Surface high pressure is nudged slightly further into the western Atlantic as a cold front moves across the Great Lakes and offshore the northeast U.S. coast. Winds shift more out of the southeast early next week, but remain east-southeast along the Treasure Coast, further south of the ridge axis. Mostly isolated showers are forecast Sunday, primarily driven by the east coast sea breeze and surface heating. A slightly drier airmass advects across east central Florida Monday and Tuesday with enough agreement in global ensembles to keep PoPs below 15% for most of the forecast area. A gradual warming trend will continue with low 80s along the coast and mid to upper 80s west of I-95 each afternoon. Highs will continue to be near records for inland sites (mostly Leesburg and Sanford) Sunday through the middle of next week. Low temperatures are mostly forecast in the mid 60s, although becoming a little cooler across rural locations.

MARINE
Issued at 123 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

High pressure over the West Atlantic will maintain a moderate to at times fresh east-southeast breeze across the coastal waters through this weekend into early next week. Wind speeds will mostly be 10-15 knots, but may briefly increase to 15-20 knots across the offshore waters of Brevard County and the Treasure Coast tonight and Friday night. This increase in winds and lingering seas up to 6 feet offshore will continue poor boating conditions across much of the Gulf Stream waters through at Friday morning. From Friday afternoon onward, boating conditions are forecast to become more favorable as seas look to fall to 3-5 feet. The onshore breeze will continue to generate isolated to scattered showers across the coastal waters through at least Sunday, and could see an isolated thunderstorm or two, especially on Saturday.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1231 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

Late morning/early afternoon stratu-cu producing high-MVFR CIGs has lifted at inland terminals but continues to produce impacts at coastal terminals, which could persist into the early evening.
ISO-SCT SHRA has started to develop south of MCO/ISM, and is expected to gradually increase north and west between daytime heating and inland progression of the east coast sea breeze. Some brief convective MVFR impacts possible, and a TS can't be ruled out at I-4 terminals including KMCO after 19Z. Most activity should push west of these terminals after 22Z. Highest chances for TSRA/+SHRA along the sea breeze collision west of KLEE after 23Z, and impacts possible at KLEE through around 03Z. ESE winds 10-15 kts and occasional higher gusts, up to around 15 kts with gusts to 25 kts at KVRB-KSUA.

Potential for MVFR-IFR stratus along and north of I-4 early Thursday morning, but confidence is low as models are very inconsistent. 16Z LAV/NBM had a notable increase to 30-50% chances, which then dropped to 30% or less with the 17Z run. 18Z TAFs generally reflect HRRR guidance, calling for prevailing MVFR and possible IFR impacts from around 07Z-14Z. Mainly VFR conditions at other ECFL terminals, but could see high-MVFR strato-cu again develop in the late morning. Inland moving SHRA and possibly TSRA in the afternoon and evening, highest chances on the west side of the peninsula.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 64 82 63 83 / 10 10 10 30 MCO 67 85 68 85 / 10 20 10 40 MLB 66 82 67 82 / 10 10 20 30 VRB 66 82 66 82 / 20 10 20 30 LEE 65 86 65 87 / 30 30 10 30 SFB 65 86 65 85 / 10 20 10 30 ORL 67 86 67 86 / 10 20 10 40 FPR 65 82 65 82 / 20 20 20 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.