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AMZ570 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 20-60 Nm- 858 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots late in the night. Seas 4 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 858 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Synopsis..Surface high pressure will shift eastward off of the atlantic seaboard as a low pressure system develops over the deep south. As this low tracks northeast, its associated cold front will approach florida late Sunday, eventually moving south across the local atlantic waters Monday into Tuesday. High pressure will build in behind the front next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, november 30th.
42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 020241 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 941 PM EST Fri Dec 1 2023

DISCUSSION

Tonight-Sat...High clouds encroaching from the west this evening and overnight. Dry conditions for most overnight, but may see isolated "low-topped" shower activity across the local coastal waters with a few of these showers moving onto the Treasure Coast in the SERLY steering flow. Some of this activity may expand northward toward the Cape during the day Sat as low-level flow veers from southeasterly to more southerly. Models hinting at some low (stratus) cloud and patchy fog development overnight, especially inland. Will monitor in the event this needs to be expanded closer towards the coast.

Overnight lows continue mild in the 60s areawide. Afternoon highs Sat well above climo in the L-M80s.

MARINE
Overnight-Sat...While seas did build to 6 ft offshore earlier today, they are forecast to subside to 3-5 ft tonight, and further to 3-4 ft on Sat. SERLY winds 5-10 kts near shore and 10-15 kts offshore veering a bit more southerly on Sat. Mainly isolated to widely scattered shower activity is forecast.

AVIATION
High clouds increase from the west tonight into Sat.
Generally VFR into Sat, but models suggest some MVFR/IFR and perhaps some local LIFR CIGs overnight into Sat morning, especially over the interior. Some patchy fog is also not out of the question. Improving conditions thru mid to late morning. Light SE winds tonight becoming more S/SSW on Sat. Some ISOLD showers possible overnight along the Treasure Coast possibly expanding further north toward the Cape on Sat.

HYDROLOGY
The Saint Johns River at Astor is forecast to remain within Minor Flood Stage through at least the middle of next week, while very slowly declining. The Saint Johns River Above Lake Harney is forecast to very slowly fall out of Action Stage this weekend.

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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