Thursday, January23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Smyrna Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:55PM Thursday January 23, 2020 10:25 PM EST (03:25 UTC) Moonrise 6:21AMMoonset 4:53PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ570 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 20-60 Nm- 938 Pm Est Thu Jan 23 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Chance of showers.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Chance of showers.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 7 feet.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Sunday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 938 Pm Est Thu Jan 23 2020
Synopsis..The pressure gradient will continue to relax through Friday, however hazardous seas will remain across the waters. Another cold front is forecast to cross the waters late Friday night into Saturday morning veering winds back to northwesterly and continuing poor to hazardous conditions into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..East to southeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 10 to 12 feet subsiding to 8 to 9 feet by Sunrise Friday. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, january 23rd. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 37 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 30 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 21 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 13 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Smyrna Beach, FL
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location: 29.02, -80.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 240126 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 828 PM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Hazardous Beach and Boating Conditions Continue into Friday .

Current-Overnight . 915 MHZ Cape wind profilers show fairly deep easterly flow 15-20 kts above the surface. With the approach of a cold front, winds are expected to veer at the surface from ERLY to SERLY while remaining fairly light. Enough low-level moisture and convergence near the coast will continue to allow occasional light to moderate showers here, though steering flow is also expected to veer to more southerly through the night which could keep the majority of activity over the local coastal waters. Showers have diminished over the interior early this evening. Overnight lows U50s to L60s along the coast and M-U50s inland. Have added some patchy fog mention for interior reaches with latest guidance suggesting some development here late overnight into early Fri morning.

Friday . Previous . Some showers expected to linger near the coast during the morning, but afterwards south to south-southwest winds and warm-air advection ahead of the previously mentioned front will send temperatures back to above average. Models are showing partly to mostly cloudy skies once again which will keep the temperatures down somewhat, but most areas will see upper 70s for highs, possibly near 80 degrees. As the front continues its approach could see some showers develop in the afternoon with some isentropic lift and energy aloft in place, mainly north and west of I-4.

AVIATION. Some light to moderate showers continue this evening south of the Cape, but have diminished over the interior. This activity may linger off/on overnight near the coast with generally brief MVFR in ISOLD-WDLY SCT SHRA's. Steering flow is expected to veer more southerly through the night. Easterly surface winds are forecast to veer overnight to light SERLY with the approach of a cold front that will pass through the area Fri night. Winds will continue to veer through the day on Fri to S-SW. Main concern overnight revolves around low stratus and fog potential. Local guidance is hinting at some patchy fog late overnight into early Fri morning across the interior and have put in some tempo groups to alert to this for interior TAF sites.

MARINE. Current-Overnight . Current ENE winds will continue to veer overnight to E/ESE/SE ahead of an approaching cold front. Speeds mainly 10-15 kts will diminish to 6-12 kts areawide by daybreak Fri morning. However, conditions still remain hazardous as seas build 10-12 ft offshore and 6-10 ft near shore in a continued long period swell. By daybreak Fri morning, seas are forecast to subside to 8-9 ft offshore and 6-8 ft near shore.

Friday . Previous . Small craft advisory conditions continue with seas 6-7 ft nearshore and 7-8 ft offshore. Winds veer southerly ahead of another cold front and remain near 10 knots. The advisory for the nearshore Volusia waters is still set to expire Friday morning at 15Z/10 am likely to be replaced with a caution statement.

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Surf Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for Coastal Volusia-Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard-Southern Brevard-St. Lucie.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Friday for Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Sedlock/Kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 45 mi56 min E 5.1 G 8.9 64°F 66°F1019.3 hPa
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 47 mi101 min NNW 2.9 59°F 1020 hPa58°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi26 min 65°F5 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 52 mi36 min SE 14 G 18 69°F 74°F10 ft1018.2 hPa60°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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NW7
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NW11
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G28
NW20
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G22
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NW14
G20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL4 mi39 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy59°F57°F94%1019 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL14 mi33 minNNW 39.00 miOvercast60°F59°F96%1018.4 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL22 mi3.6 hrsN 07.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F57°F88%1018.3 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL24 mi33 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F57°F90%1018.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEVB

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------CalmCalmNE4N4E4NE7NE7E5N4N3E3NE3NW6CalmCalmCalm
1 day ago----------------N20
G27
N18
G34
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N20
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2 days ago----------------NW8NW8NW11N11
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G16

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.