Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Samsula-Spruce Creek, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Currently-Friday... Local radar imagery shows dry weather over east central Florida. GOES-16 satellite imagery shows scattered to broken marine stratocumulus clouds over the east central Florida Atlantic waters with partly to mostly sunny skies over land. High pressure (~1023mb) is situated over the western Atlantic with the mid/upper level ridge axis over the southwest Atlantic and the state of Florida. Temperatures are currently in the upper 70s to mid 80s near the coast and in the low to upper 80s inland to the west of I-95. Dew points are in the 60s and PWAT values are around 0.80-0.90." Winds are from the east at 10-15mph with gusts to 20-25mph. Dry weather is expected tonight except isolated showers (PoPs ~20%) are forecast over the Treasure Coast and southern Brevard waters into the overnight hours. Winds are expected weaken overnight with east winds around 4-10mph. Low temperatures in the low to upper 60s are forecast inland to the west of I-95 with the mid 60s to low 70s forecast along the coast.

Winds are expected to increase into Friday afternoon and early evening from the east at 10-15mph with gusts to 20-25mph with the east coast sea breeze. Afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s are forecast near the coast and the mid 80s to low 90s are forecast inland to the west of I-95 under partly to mostly sunny skies.

The Weekend... High pressure over the state of Florida and the southwest Atlantic is expected to weaken and shift south into Sunday before a "cool" front moves east-southeast over east central Florida late Sunday into early Monday. Isolated showers (20%) are forecast mainly to the north of St. Cloud to Patrick Air Force Base Sunday afternoon and evening with onshore flow in place and as the east coast sea breeze converges with the west coast sea breeze over the western interior of central Florida.
Seasonable to above normal temperatures are expected to continue.
Afternoon highs in the mid 80s low 90s are forecast on Saturday and the mid 80s to mid 90s are forecast on Sunday. A Moderate HeatRisk exists on Sunday over the interior of east central Florida. This level of heat can affect anyone sensitive to heat, especially without adequate hydration or effective cooling. Low temperatures in the upper 50s to low 70s are forecast.

Monday-Wednesday... Moisture increases (PWATs ~1.30-1.70") over east central Florida on Monday as the aforementioned cold front moves east-southeast over Florida and which is expected to be over south Florida by mid to late Monday morning. High pressure (~1024mb) is expected to quickly build to the north of Florida over the eastern CONUS and western Atlantic which will re- establish onshore flow early to mid week. Isolated to scattered showers (PoPs ~ 20-50%) and isolated lightning storms are forecast to develop near the coast by the late morning and early afternoon before showers are forecast to move onshore and farther inland into the afternoon and evening hours. Isolated showers are forecast to develop into Tuesday afternoon with onshore flow in place and PWATs in the 1.20-1.60" range. Dry weather is forecast on Wednesday with PWATs reducing to 0.80-1.00". Seasonable to above normal temperatures are expected with afternoon highs in the low 80s to low 90s and lows in the 60s to low 70s.



MARINE
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Currently-Friday... Favorable boating conditions are expected with high pressure (~1023mb) over the southwest Atlantic and the state of Florida. Isolated onshore moving showers (PoPs ~20%) are forecast tonight into early Friday morning over the Brevard to Treasure Coast waters. East winds at around 10-15kts with seas to 2-4ft are expected.

Saturday-Monday... Favorable boating conditions are expected through Monday. High pressure is expected to weaken and shift south on Sunday before a "cool" front is forecast to move east- southeast over the east central Florida Atlantic waters Sunday night into Monday morning. Isolated to scattered (PoPs ~20-40%)
generally west to southwest moving showers and isolated lightning storms are forecast Sunday night and on Monday. East-southeast winds at 8-12kts are forecast to increase from the east on Monday at 10-15kts. Seas to 2-4ft are expected with up to 5ft forecast offshore (20-60nm) Monday.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period. East coast sea breeze will enhance onshore flow each afternoon, increasing wind speeds to 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts through the late evenings, then diminishing during overnights. A brief onshore moving sprinkle can't be ruled out, but otherwise, dry conditions.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Warm and dry conditions are forecast through Saturday. Min RH values will reach 35-45 percent across the interior each afternoon. Min RH values are forecast between 45-55 percent near the coast. East winds today and Friday will be enhanced by the sea breeze with speeds 10-20 mph each afternoon, gusting up to 30 mph at times especially along the coast. Above normal temperatures continue across the interior with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Such warm, dry, and breezy/gusty conditions will produce fire weather sensitive conditions supporting rapid drying of fuels and spread of any new or ongoing fires. Very Good smoke dispersion is forecast both today and Friday with Poor to Generally Good dispersion on Sunday. Scattered showers (20-50%) and isolated lightning storms are forecast on Monday. Burn bans are in effect for Lake, Seminole, Orange, Volusia, and Brevard counties.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 65 84 65 86 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 66 89 65 91 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 71 84 69 84 / 10 10 10 10 VRB 70 84 68 84 / 10 10 10 10 LEE 65 89 65 91 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 65 88 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 66 88 66 91 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 68 84 67 84 / 10 10 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.