Horseshoe Beach, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Horseshoe Beach, FL

June 13, 2024 5:51 AM EDT (09:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:41 PM
Moonrise 12:09 PM   Moonset 12:26 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ775 Expires:202406131515;;926330 Fzus52 Ktae 130602 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 202 am edt Thu jun 13 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-755-765-775-131515- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 202 am edt Thu jun 13 2024

Today - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest late. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly this morning.

Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Friday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 2 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning.

Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 202 Am Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

Synopsis -
generally light winds are expected through the weekend outside of maritime convection with dominant wave periods of 6 to 7 seconds. By Monday, cautionary easterly flow develops and likely increases to or near advisory levels later next week as the pressure gradient tightens across the gulf. Seas should also build from southwest to northeast during that time. The persistence of tropical moisture keeps Thunderstorms in the forecast as well.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Horseshoe Beach, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 130711 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 311 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Upper level trough axis will be over the region this afternoon as it slowly slides southeast with an upper level ridge axis expected to be building south and east into tonight. At the surface, an area of disturbed weather to our south will move off the Florida coast as an area of weak low pressure slowly develops.
East and northeasterly flow around this weak disturbance, along with relatively dry low to mid-level air, should keep rain chances a little lower this afternoon. The best chances will likely be confined to our Panhandle counties and the southeast Big Bend where seabreeze convergence with the northeasterly low-level flow will be maximized and POPs will be around 40 to 50%.
Coverage will be more isolated across central portions of the Big- Bend near Tallahassee and across our AL/GA counties where deep- layer moisture and the lack of any significant low-level convergence will keep rain chances lower.

Enjoy the last day of "cooler" temperatures, with highs in the mid 90s, because as we move into weekend conditions will warm up and dry out.

SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

The main story will be the heat for Friday and into the weekend.
As the upper level trough elongates and lifts northeast, an upper level ridge will build into the southeast. With relatively light winds, absent the seabreeze along the coast, expect mostly sunny skies and very warm temperatures as the ridge and limited deep- layer moisture supress most, if not all, shower and storm development outside a few small showers along the seabreeze.

The limited deep-layer moisture should at least put a cap on the heat indices and concerns for widespread dangerous heat, but with heat indices around 100 to 105 across the area under sunny skies, it won't be a pleasant summer day and folks outside this weekend should be very vigilant about staying hydrated and aware of the signs of heat stress and heat exhaustion. Weekend temperatures could be the hottest of the summer season so far.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Heat continues into Sunday as the upper level ridge slowly slides east into the early part of the week. As the ridge slides east, low-level flow will become easterly and southeasterly into next week. This should bring an increase in low-level moisture and a return to more summer-like rain chances, but the eventual position of the upper level ridge will determine if better tropical moisture can move in. The best rain chances in this pattern will likely be across the Gulf and into our Florida counties with lower, but not zero, rain chances across our AL/GA counties.

With low-level moisture beginning a comeback on Sunday, and the ridge still having an influence on the sensible weather, Sunday could be the hottest day of the forecast period heat index wise as air temperatures remain fairly similar to Saturday. It's possible we'll need heat advisories across much of the area on Sunday depending on how forecasts evolve.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 142 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

The VLD forecast of reduced cigs/vsbys around sunrise is based largely on persistence, or what happened there on Wed morning, though the 05z dewpoint depression was 2 degrees greater than at the same time 24 hours earlier.

Low-mid level flow will come in from the northeast on Thursday, providing a little dry air advection. This will stunt convective development, except in the most favored seabreeze focus areas over the FL Panhandle. With the general northeast wind, the seabreeze will be pinned pretty close to the coast, so the mention of thunder is confined to the ECP TAF during the most favored late afternoon hours.

MARINE
Issued at 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Generally light winds are expected through the weekend outside of maritime convection with dominant wave periods of 6 to 7 seconds.
By Monday, cautionary easterly flow develops and likely increases to or near advisory levels later next week as the pressure gradient tightens across the Gulf. Seas should also build from southwest to northeast during that time. The persistence of tropical moisture keeps thunderstorms in the forecast as well.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Mostly dry conditions are expected the next few days, especially over the weekend. The only chances for isolated/scattered showers and storms will be across the Panhandle and the southeast Big Bend this afternoon and possibly again on Friday. Dispersions will be on the higher end the next few days with dry and hot conditions. Mixing heights will be well above 7,000 ft in the peak of afternoon heating over the upcoming weekend.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Mostly dry conditions are expected through the next 4 days with only isolated/scattered showers and storms today and on Friday.
Rainfall amounts will not likely bring riverine issues but any stalled storms, especially in urban environments, could bring localized flooding. Little to no rain is expected over the weekend and a more summerlike pattern sets up through next week as better low-level moisture returns but rainfall amounts will not bring any additional issues.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 95 73 97 74 / 30 10 20 0 Panama City 91 75 94 77 / 60 10 20 0 Dothan 93 73 97 74 / 20 0 10 0 Albany 93 70 97 73 / 10 0 10 0 Valdosta 93 70 97 73 / 10 10 10 0 Cross City 96 72 96 73 / 40 20 40 20 Apalachicola 87 76 89 78 / 40 10 20 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CKYF1 49 mi51 minNE 8G11 78°F 89°F29.83


Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCTY54 sm16 minNNE 037 smClear73°F73°F100%29.88


Tide / Current for Pepperfish Keys, Florida
   
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Pepperfish Keys
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Thu -- 01:22 AM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:58 AM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:38 PM EDT     1.59 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:54 PM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Pepperfish Keys, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.7
3
am
1
4
am
1.4
5
am
1.8
6
am
2.2
7
am
2.5
8
am
2.6
9
am
2.5
10
am
2.3
11
am
2
12
pm
1.8
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
2
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
2.5
7
pm
2.6
8
pm
2.5
9
pm
2.3
10
pm
2
11
pm
1.6


Tide / Current for Fishermans Rest, Florida
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Fishermans Rest
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Thu -- 01:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:28 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:04 AM EDT     2.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:44 PM EDT     1.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:00 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Fishermans Rest, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.9
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.8
6
am
2.2
7
am
2.5
8
am
2.6
9
am
2.6
10
am
2.3
11
am
2
12
pm
1.7
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1.9
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
2.5
7
pm
2.6
8
pm
2.5
9
pm
2.3
10
pm
2
11
pm
1.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Tallahassee, FL,




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