Wednesday, October28, 2020
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L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Horseshoe Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:47AMSunset 6:53PM Wednesday October 28, 2020 9:31 PM EDT (01:31 UTC) Moonrise 4:41PMMoonset 4:05AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ775 Expires:202010290500;;983353 Fzus52 Ktae 282038 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 438 Pm Edt Wed Oct 28 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz755-775-290500- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 438 Pm Edt Wed Oct 28 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night...
Tonight..South winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 35 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas up to 11 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 20 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas up to 11 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas up to 10 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 4 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet. Protected waters a light to moderate chop.
Saturday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 feet building to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet after midnight. Protected waters choppy.
Monday..North winds 20 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 438 Pm Edt Wed Oct 28 2020
Synopsis.. Conditions over the marine waters, especially west of apalachicola, will continue to deteriorate through the evening as hurricane zeta makes landfall and moves into mississippi and alabama. Tropical storm conditions are expected west of mexico beach with small craft advisory conditions to the east. Winds and seas will only slowly subside on Thursday as a cold front moves through behind zeta. By Friday into the weekend, conditions will improve significantly as high pressure builds in.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Horseshoe Beach, FL
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location: 29.2, -83.95     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 290012 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 812 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2020

UPDATE.

Hurricane Zeta made landfall earlier today in southeast Louisiana near Cocodrie and the system will continue to accelerate quickly across central Alabama tonight. Have already seen some gusts to around 30 mph along the Florida Panhandle coast, however as the system quickly tracks to the northeast tonight, winds across portions of the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama will continue to increase. With this quick moving system, the time period for the strong winds will be fairly short. In addition, the tornado threat will ramp up later tonight. The focus will mainly be west of a Tallahassee to Albany line overnight and expanding eastward tomorrow morning. Any tornadoes that do develop will be quick moving. Between this and the potential for tornadoes overnight, make sure you have know where your safe place is, can move there quickly if a tornado warning is issued and have multiple ways to get the warnings.

PREV DISCUSSION [653 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Thursday]. Hurricane Zeta has continued to intensify today and will make landfall in southeastern Louisiana this afternoon. Upper ridge remains in place over much of the forecast area today, keeping showers isolated. However, bands will begin to approach the western zones during the late afternoon. This evening and overnight, Zeta will accelerate to the northeast across central Alabama. Thanks to the fast forward motion and interactions with the approaching mid- latitude trough, there will likely be plenty of tropical storm force gusts across portions of SE Alabama into Walton and Holmes Counties in Florida. In addition, there will be a window from just before midnight (CDT) through sunrise where there is an increased risk of tornadoes as the low-level shear is maximized across the Panhandle into SE Alabama.

Trailing band of convection will merge with an approaching cold front on Thursday and cross the forecast area with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Tornado threat should diminish with time as the strongest shear lifts rapidly northeast.

SHORT TERM [Thursday Night Through Friday Night]. Zeta will have passed north of our CWA with slight chances of leftover showers to our most eastern counties by Thursday night. Dry conditions and clear skies will follow area wide due to a cold front and associated upper-level trough passing through earlier in the day. Temperatures Friday will begin in the 50s with highs being seasonably cool from the upper 60s to low 70s

LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday]. After the frontal passage from Thursday, a ridge will develop over the region pulling in light north/northeast winds. This along with subsidence will suppress convection. For the beginning of next week, a longwave trough, originating from the Great Lakes will push a dry cold front across our region. This front will reinforce the already cool and dry air we will be experiencing. Fair weather and light winds are expected to continue through the beginning half of next week. High temperatures will remain in the upper 60s/low 70s with lows mainly in the 50s, although we could see lows in the mid to upper 40s for Tuesday morning.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Friday]

Winds will be on the increase late this evening through the overnight hours at the western terminals as Hurricane Zeta moves inland into southern Alabama. Highest winds are expected at KDHN where gusts to 40kt will be possible. Scattered showers will be possible at all terminals overnight, diminishing from west to east through the day Thursday.

MARINE. Conditions over the marine waters, especially west of Apalachicola, will continue to deteriorate through the afternoon and evening as Hurricane Zeta makes landfall and moves into Mississippi and Alabama. Tropical Storm conditions are expected west of Mexico Beach with Small Craft Advisory conditions to the east. Winds and seas will only slowly subside on Thursday as a cold front moves through behind Zeta. By Friday into the weekend, conditions will improve significantly as high pressure builds in.

FIRE WEATHER. Fire weather concerns will remain low through the next 2 days as the area begins to feel the impacts from Zeta. Dispersions are expected to be on the higher side for the next few days.

HYDROLOGY. The fast motion of Hurricane Zeta will limit the potential for heavy rainfall across the western half of the CWA. Widespread amounts of 1-2 inches of rain are possible across the Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama with locally higher amounts. Overall, the flash flood threat with this event is low. River flooding is not expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 76 83 52 72 54 / 50 70 0 0 0 Panama City 75 81 53 71 55 / 80 70 0 0 0 Dothan 73 81 49 68 50 / 80 50 0 0 0 Albany 75 82 51 70 52 / 70 70 0 0 0 Valdosta 74 84 53 72 54 / 30 70 10 0 0 Cross City 75 86 56 74 56 / 20 60 20 0 0 Apalachicola 76 82 54 71 58 / 60 70 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday for Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf- Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-South Walton.

Tropical Storm Warning for Central Walton-Holmes-North Walton- South Walton.

High Rip Current Risk through late Friday night for Coastal Bay- Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

High Surf Advisory until 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ Thursday for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf.

High Surf Warning until 6 PM CDT Thursday for South Walton.

GA . None. AL . Tropical Storm Warning for Coffee-Dale-Geneva.

GM . Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ Friday for Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.



UPDATE . Fieux NEAR TERM . Camp SHORT TERM . Montgomery LONG TERM . Montgomery AVIATION . Camp/Montgomery MARINE . Montgomery FIRE WEATHER . Montgomery HYDROLOGY . Camp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 47 mi31 min S 11 G 12 81°F 1014.3 hPa (+0.0)76°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 49 mi31 min S 4.1 G 5.1 81°F 1014.6 hPa (+0.3)76°F
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 50 mi91 min SSE 23 G 25 80°F 1012.2 hPa (-0.7)78°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cross City Airport, FL54 mi56 minSSW 310.00 miFair77°F74°F91%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCTY

Wind History from CTY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE5E4E4E4E4E5SE4E5SE5SE5SE7SE8SE6SE7E7E5S9SE5CalmS4CalmCalmS4
1 day agoE6E4E5E4E4CalmNE4E5E5E5E4E5E8E7E6E6E9E6W6E5
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2 days agoNE4NE6E4CalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE5NE4NE4NE5E7E6SE8NE7NE7E8E7NE5E5E5E5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Pepperfish Keys, Florida
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Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:38 AM EDT     3.00 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:01 AM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 01:07 PM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:18 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.932.72.31.81.20.90.70.91.31.92.52.93.132.62.11.51.10.90.91.31.92.5

Tide / Current Tables for Suwannee River entrance, Florida
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Suwannee River entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:32 AM EDT     3.03 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:55 AM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 01:01 PM EDT     3.16 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:12 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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332.72.31.71.20.90.70.91.31.92.533.232.62.11.510.80.91.31.92.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current



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