Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Horseshoe Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:21AMSunset 5:37PM Monday December 9, 2019 7:21 AM EST (12:21 UTC) Moonrise 4:04PMMoonset 4:40AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ775 Expires:201912092015;;075691 Fzus52 Ktae 090709 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 209 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz750-752-755-770-772-775-092015- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 209 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019 /109 Am Cst Mon Dec 9 2019/
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers through the day.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Patchy fog.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots early in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Patchy fog through the night. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds in the afternoon. Protected waters a moderate chop. Rain showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night through Thursday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers
Friday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 209 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019
Synopsis.. Easterly winds will increase on Wednesday and Thursday with advisory level conditions possible outside of apalachee bay. Patchy fog is possible both Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. Expect winds and seas to remain elevated into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Horseshoe Beach, FL
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location: 29.2, -83.95     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 091138 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 638 AM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Tuesday] Widespread IFR and LIFR cigs/vsbys outside of ECP and TLH will slowly improve to VFR late morning/early afternoon. Winds east- southeast veering to south-southwest, and increasing to around 10 knots with gusts 15-20 knots during the day. A return to IFR cigs/vsbys expected at TLH and VLD after 00Z.

PREV DISCUSSION [159 AM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Today].

Patchy fog mainly north of I-10 will dissipate by mid-morning.

A weak wave of low pressure along a northward lifting warm front will maintain considerable cloudiness. A westerly flow aloft will limit gulf moisture, so expect no more than scattered showers, with greatest coverage west of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers.

High temperatures will be above normal in the middle 70s away from the gulf coast.

SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Wednesday].

Potential for patchy fog the next couple of nights, and increasing rain chances Tuesday, which will persist into Wednesday.

With ample low-level moisture in place, expect low clouds and patchy fog across much of the area tonight and again Tuesday night mainly east of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers.

A cold front will approach the region on Tuesday, with its passage complete on Wednesday morning. Precipitation chances will increase on Tuesday, especially west of an Albany to Panama City line, then persist into Wednesday across much of the region as an overrunning regime sets up north of the front. Highs on Tuesday around 80 degrees will fall into the mid-50s to mid-60s on Wednesday, with normals in the middle to upper 60s for reference.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Night Through Monday].

The main concern is a period of heavier rainfall in the Friday and Saturday time frame, associated with low pressure developing near the area, but any severe weather threat is low right now.

A complex pattern unfolds with the approach of a cold front and high pressure wedged southward into the area. There is a large amount of disagreement in the deterministic and ensemble model runs, but the trend has been to develop low pressure further northwest, which would put the area within the warm sector of the system. Instability is limited with trajectories off the cooler gulf waters, despite a modest wind field, so any severe weather threat is low.

As the system exits, a return to fair weather is expected on Sunday and Monday. High temperatures below normal in the mid-50s to mid-60s on Thursday and Friday moderate to at or above normal this weekend into early next week.

MARINE.

Easterly winds will increase on Wednesday and Thursday with advisory level conditions possible outside of Apalachee Bay. Expect winds and seas to remain elevated into the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER.

Outside of patchy morning fog and high dispersions across portions of the region on Tuesday, a wet pattern precludes any hazardous fire weather concerns.

HYDROLOGY.

A wet pattern will be in place through the weekend with the potential for heaviest rainfall centered on Friday and Saturday, when up to around an inch of rainfall is possible. Overall, total rainfall of 1-2 inches is possible through the weekend. Given rather dry antecedent conditions, there are no flooding concerns at this time.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 77 61 79 57 67 / 20 10 30 50 40 Panama City 75 63 77 55 63 / 30 10 50 60 50 Dothan 75 59 78 49 57 / 30 10 60 60 50 Albany 76 61 79 52 60 / 20 10 50 60 50 Valdosta 79 61 81 60 68 / 10 10 10 40 50 Cross City 78 58 81 62 75 / 0 10 10 30 50 Apalachicola 74 63 75 59 68 / 40 10 30 50 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for Coastal Franklin.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . LF SHORT TERM . LF LONG TERM . LF AVIATION . LF MARINE . LF FIRE WEATHER . LF HYDROLOGY . LF


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 47 mi22 min E 7 G 8.9 61°F 1018.9 hPa (+0.0)60°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 49 mi82 min SE 8.9 G 9.9 63°F 1019.1 hPa (-0.3)61°F
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 50 mi22 min SSE 19 G 19 71°F 1017.4 hPa (-0.3)68°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cross City Airport, FL54 mi47 minSE 410.00 miFair60°F59°F99%1019 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCTY

Wind History from CTY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE5NE6NE7E7E6SE7E7E7E4NE6NE5E4E5E6E5E5E3E3E3E5E4CalmSE3
1 day agoE3CalmCalmE5E3E3CalmN3CalmCalmE3NE3NE4E4E6NE6NE6NE6E5E4NE4NE4NE5NE6
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmS3S5SW7SW8SW7SW5SW6W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4

Tide / Current Tables for Pepperfish Keys, Florida
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Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:38 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:16 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:31 PM EST     2.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:01 PM EST     1.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:39 PM EST     2.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.41.91.20.60.1-0.1-00.411.72.42.72.72.521.51.21.11.21.62.12.62.9

Tide / Current Tables for Suwannee River entrance, Florida
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Suwannee River entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:37 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:10 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:25 PM EST     2.79 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:00 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:55 PM EST     1.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:33 PM EST     2.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.41.81.20.50.1-0.100.41.11.82.42.82.72.421.51.21.11.21.62.22.62.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.