Wednesday, July17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Hill, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:25PM Wednesday July 17, 2019 7:12 AM EDT (11:12 UTC) Moonrise 8:13PMMoonset 6:07AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 350 Am Edt Wed Jul 17 2019
Today..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 350 Am Edt Wed Jul 17 2019
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge of high pressure will stretch from the atlantic across east central florida through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. Generally favorable boating conditions are expected for small craft operation through Sunday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday july 14th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Hill, FL
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location: 29.22, -81.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 170742
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
342 am edt Wed jul 17 2019

Discussion
Today-tonight... Similar setup today as previously this week with
ridge axis still bisecting the peninsula. Southeasterly flow will
favor yet again the east coast sea breeze, leading to a collision
with the west coast breeze over the interior. Prior to noon,
isolated showers and storms over the atlantic waters may push
onshore to the southern treasure coast by mid morning before the
sea breeze ramps up. Coverage of precip will be scarce for the
northern coastline, with isolated to scattered storm development
initiating along i-95 in the early afternoon. Storms will push
inland, with additional development likely along boundary
collisions through sunset. Activity should subside by dusk,
although lingering isolated storms over lake western orange may
last through midnight. Weak steering flow will again lead to slow
storm motion, aiding in the potential for heavy downpours and
localized flooding. Additional storm threats today will be
frequent lightning strikes and wind gusts up to 50 mph.

Highs will MAX out in the lower 90s across the south coastal sites,
mid to upper 90s over the interior. Factoring in high dewpoints,
heat index values will reach the low 100s this afternoon,
approaching 106 107 in portions of lake and volusia counties during
peak afternoon heating. Overnight lows in the low to mid 70s, with
more potential warm min records in store.

Thu-sat... Persistence based forecast will be continued each day
with the subtropical western atlc ridge remaining across central
fl. Inland areas will be favored for higher pcpn chcs due to
afternoon boundary collisions and weakly onshore component
steering level winds. A couple of weak upr disturbances moving
across ga N fl Thu and into Fri wl partially erode influence of
the local ridge to the north of the local area, but not enough to
significantly affect pop from n-s attm. Expect highs in the l-m
90s and lows in the mid 70s. With 20-30 pop coastal co's and
35-45 pct inland.

Next week... Looking ahead for any changes to forecast regime,
which is typically dependent on surface ridge placement this time
of year, shows only subtle hints as weakening of the western atlc
ridge by the middle of next week. Positioning across central fl
early in the week will keep a coastal -vs- inland pop split with
deep moisture and the weak wind environment continuing to favor
inland areas for best chcs of daily measurable rains. A broader
and fuller latitude upper wave advertised to enter the SE states
and N gulf by Wed will help raise pop areawide toward the end of
the forecast period at midweek, and likely continuing toward the
end of the work week as well.

Aviation
GenerallyVFR. Calm winds at nearly all sites will return to S SE by
daybreak before east coast sea breeze development around 17z.

Iso sct shra tsra pushing onshore to kvrb-ksua through mid morning
ahead of afternoon breeze development. SE flow will favor east coast
breeze again today, leading to sct tsra for interior terminals after
18z, with activity wrapping up 00-02z for most sites.

Marine
Today-tonight... Favorable boating conditions will continue due to
proximity of the sfc ridge axis over the atlantic waters. SE winds 5-
10 kts becoming 10-15 kts this afternoon with 1-2 ft seas becoming 2-
3 ft north of sebastian inlet overnight. Slight chance of afternoon
thunderstorms, with light sprinkles this morning across the southern
waters.Thu-sat... Favorable winds and seas with dominant surface
ridge over the marine area. Winds largely 8-13 kts or less with
seas 1-3 ft.

Extended... Early next week shows continuation of favorable open
water conditions with s-se winds becoming onshore in the
afternoon. Seas 2-3 ft.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 91 75 93 75 20 20 30 10
mco 94 75 95 75 50 20 40 20
mlb 90 76 91 76 30 20 20 10
vrb 91 74 92 74 30 20 20 20
lee 95 76 96 76 50 30 40 20
sfb 94 76 96 76 40 20 40 20
orl 94 76 95 76 50 20 40 20
fpr 91 74 92 73 30 20 30 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Smith
long term... .Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 32 mi88 min Calm 74°F 1021 hPa74°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 46 mi73 min SSW 5.1 G 5.1 78°F 77°F1019.3 hPa (-0.0)78°F
RCYF1 49 mi55 min 88°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 60 mi55 min SW 1.9 G 1.9 80°F 84°F1021 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL3 mi80 minN 010.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1019.4 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL8 mi23 minN 04.00 miFog/Mist75°F75°F100%1019.6 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL12 mi26 minN 010.00 miFair77°F75°F94%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSW3W4Calm3E7E8E8E8E6E6SE4SE4S5S4S3S3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW3W4W3CalmSW5NE4E7E8E644E3E3CalmCalmW3CalmCalmSW3S3SW3W3CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmSW3S43S4N3E8E7E8E6E5E4E3CalmCalmCalmS3S4S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach (Ocean), Florida
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Daytona Beach (Ocean)
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Wed -- 03:12 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:03 AM EDT     3.46 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:00 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:27 PM EDT     4.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.31.20.4-00.10.71.62.53.23.53.22.61.70.80.1-0.20.10.81.933.94.54.43.9

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.