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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 257 Pm Est Tue Dec 5 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through late Wednesday night...
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 4 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 257 Pm Est Tue Dec 5 2023
Synopsis..A secondary surge of fresh northerly winds will overspread the local waters late tonight and Wednesday as low pressure develops off the eastern u.s. Coast. This will produce hazardous boating conditions, especially in the gulf stream where higher seas may linger into Thursday morning. Boating conditions are then forecast to improve only slightly later in the day Thursday as high pressure builds into the southeast u.s. The high pressure center will push offshore late this week as the next cold front approaches this weekend.

Gulf stream hazards..Northwest winds increasing to 20 knots with seas building to between 5 and 6 feet late tonight north of sebastian inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, december 3rd.
43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KJAX 052353 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 653 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 652 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Forecast remains on track.

NEAR TERM
Issued at 242 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Dry conditions will continue through the night, with low temperatures falling into the 40s across NE FL and SE GA with mainly clear skies.

SHORT TERM
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 242 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

A dry cold front will move through southeast Georgia and northeast Florida Wednesday morning, leaving cool temperatures and breezy northwesterly winds in it's wake. High temperatures Wednesday will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s, with overnight low temperatures in the 30s inland, and lower to mid 40s near the east coast. With calm winds and clear skies, frost potential exists over all of southeast Georgia and near the Suwannee valley/west of Jacksonville late Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
Temperatures will not warm up Thursday, with high temps forecast to be similar to Wednesday, but with calmer, more variable winds.
However, low temps will be a few degrees warmer Thursday night, limiting frost potential at this time.

LONG TERM
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 242 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

Temperatures will return to near normal Friday, with highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s, increasing further on Saturday to above climo. Dry weather will continue until Saturday night when a cold front sweeps across the region from the west, bringing showers ahead and along the front Sunday. Plenty of moisture with this front will allow an isolated threat for locally heavy rainfall, as well as an isolated thunderstorm threat from Saturday night through Sunday. Warmer weekend temps will be short lived, as the quick moving cold front drops high temperatures Monday back into the 60s.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 556 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Breezy northwesterly winds develop on Wednesday in the wake of a frontal passage.
Prevailing winds will be around 10 kts and gusts between 20-25 kts through the day.

MARINE
Issued at 242 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

A dry cold front will cross the local waters early Wednesday morning, trailed by strengthening northwest winds and Small Craft Advisory conditions over the near and offshore waters. Winds and seas begin to weaken Wednesday night as high pressure builds north of the local waters through Thursday. The high builds offshore of the southeast Atlantic coast Friday.

Rip Currents: Moderate rip current risk for NE FL beaches Wednesday, and a low risk for SE GA beaches.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 242 PM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

Drier, cooler air will be in place midweek as a dry cold front moves through the area on Wednesday morning. Northwesterly winds will be elevated Wednesday behind the frontal passage, allowing for good dispersion values and gusts up to 30 mph. Thursday, dry weather will continue but with calmer winds, daytime dispersion values will be critically low north of I-10. Rain chances return this weekend. Patchy to areas of frost inland areas are possible early Thursday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 42 59 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 46 61 43 61 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 45 60 39 62 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 47 61 46 64 / 0 0 0 0 GNV 45 60 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 46 61 38 66 / 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday for AMZ450-452-454.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday for AMZ470-472-474.

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Ormond Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:25 AM EST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:51 AM EST     Last Quarter
Tue -- 05:23 AM EST     0.57 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:41 PM EST     0.64 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:06 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:40 PM EST     0.61 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ormond Beach, Halifax River, Florida, Tide feet

Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:51 AM EST     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:28 AM EST     3.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:38 AM EST     0.90 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:06 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 01:42 PM EST     3.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:16 PM EST     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida, Tide feet

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