Friday, August7, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ormond Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 8:12PM Friday August 7, 2020 9:09 AM EDT (13:09 UTC) Moonrise 9:54PMMoonset 9:18AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 333 Am Edt Fri Aug 7 2020
Today..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 5 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Monday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 333 Am Edt Fri Aug 7 2020
Synopsis..Very favorable open water boating conditions are expected through the weekend and early next week. Seas will be 2 feet or less as light southerly flow gradually backs to the southeast. Only isolated late night and morning storms are expected.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, august 5th. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ormond Beach, FL
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location: 29.29, -81.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 071304 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 904 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020

UPDATE.

Typical Moist Summertime Southwest flow pattern with Precipitable Water Amounts around 2 inches and expect scattered showers and storms to break out across inland NE FL along the I-75 corridor by the late morning/early afternoon hours as the Gulf Coast sea breeze front pushes slowly inland, then expect scattered to numerous storms as the Gulf Coast/East Coast sea breeze fronts meet along the US301 corridor during the mid-late afternoon hours then storms will drift back towards the I-95 corridor through the late afternoon/early evening hours and slowly weaken by sunset as they drifts towards the Atlc Beaches. Decent mid level lapse rates and relatively cool 500 mb temps (-6C to -7C) for early August will support scattered strong to isolated severe wet microburst activity btwn the US301 to I-95 corridors with wind gusts of 40-60 mph, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall, mainly across NE FL and the St Johns River Basin and mainly between the hours of 3pm- 8pm. Storm motion towards the Northeast at 10-15 mph. Prior to convection still expect Max Temps into the lower to middle 90s inland and upper 80s/near 90 at the Atlc Coast with peak Heat Indices/Feels Like values of 102-106.

PREV DISCUSSION [720 AM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Hot, humid, stormy conditions to continue today. A weak trough remains draped over the region with an elongated ridge of high pressure just to our east. This will lead to continued deep layer south-southwesterly flow today and tonight. The highest area of thunderstorm coverage today is expected to be along the I-95 corridor and across north-central FL where PW values are forecast to be 2"+ and afternoon MLCAPE of 2000+ J/kg will be on tap. Some of these storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and hail. As for temperatures, highs this afternoon will be in the low-mid 90s with heat indices of 100-105. Overnight, temperatures will only dip into the mid-upper 70s.

SHORT TERM [Saturday Through Sunday].

Latest guidance indicating a hot, humid weekend for our area, with high temperatures in the mid 90s inland, lower 90s coast, and dew points in the mid 70s leading to afternoon heat index values in the 104-108 range. Models show scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with sea breezes that collide over interior portion of northern FL peninsula and southeast GA, resulting in precipitation coverage maximum. Environment will feature precipitable water values above 2 inches and 500mb temperature around -7C or -8C . fairly favorable for wet microbursts from the more intense storms that develop along converging boundaries each afternoon.

LONG TERM [Monday Through Friday].

Latest medium range guidance shows very little pattern change, with upper ridge stuck across our forecast area . continued hot and humid with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each afternoon with sea breezes. Very little change in max/min temperatures through this period.

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Saturday]

Typical Moist Southwest flow with Precipitable Water Amounts around 2 inches will support another brief round of heavy storms at local TAF sites, 18-21Z at GNV, 19-22Z at VQQ and generally 20-24Z for the remaining TAF sites. For now have kept the TEMPO groups with mainly MVFR conds with gusty winds to 25 knots, but some potential for IFR conds and stronger winds gusts exists and will be updated as conditions warrant.

MARINE.

The area will remain situated on the western edge of a ridge of high pressure. This will lead to predominantly south-southwesterly flow with a shift to onshore winds each afternoon as the daily sea breeze front moves inland. Daily afternoon showers and thunderstorms anticipated.

Rip Currents: SE GA - Low risk of rip currents into the weekend NE FL - Moderate risk of rip currents into the weekend

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 94 74 96 74 95 / 20 10 50 30 60 SSI 89 78 91 78 91 / 20 20 30 20 50 JAX 92 75 96 76 95 / 40 20 50 30 60 SGJ 90 75 92 75 92 / 30 20 30 20 60 GNV 92 74 95 75 94 / 40 20 40 40 70 OCF 93 74 95 75 93 / 50 20 50 30 70

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 27 mi85 min Calm 75°F 1020 hPa74°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 41 mi70 min W 1 G 1.9 80°F 83°F1018.7 hPa (+1.0)78°F
41117 49 mi44 min 83°F2 ft

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL3 mi80 minN 010.00 miFair0°F0°F%1018.6 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL8 mi77 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F75°F100%1018.4 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL17 mi83 minno data10.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%0 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOMN

Wind History from OMN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S8CalmE8E8E8E8E8SE7N4----------------------CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS4CalmCalmE8E9
G14
SE8SE8S6S4SE5----------------------CalmCalmS3
2 days agoW3S4S4SW5NE8E7E6SE10
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S6----------------------CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Ormond Beach, Halifax River, Florida
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Ormond Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:09 AM EDT     0.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:18 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:27 PM EDT     0.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:27 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.60.70.70.70.60.50.40.30.20.20.20.30.40.60.60.70.60.60.50.40.40.30.4

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida (4)
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Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:08 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:17 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:17 PM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:35 PM EDT     4.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.13.42.41.50.70.40.61.22.12.93.63.93.83.32.51.710.70.81.32.12.93.64

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.