Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Montegut, LA
May 31, 2024 8:55 PM CDT (01:55 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:01 AM Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 1:00 AM Moonset 12:58 PM |
GMZ550 Coastal Waters From Port Fourchon La To Lower Atchafalaya River La Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From The Southwest Pass Of The Mississippi River To Port Fourchon Louisiana Out 20 Nm- 341 Pm Cdt Fri May 31 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 4 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.
Saturday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Monday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds.
Tuesday - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds.
Tuesday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the evening.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ500 341 Pm Cdt Fri May 31 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
high pressure will remain in place to the northeast through the weekend. This will result in continued south to southeast winds across the coastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage somewhat Saturday and Sunday. Any stronger Thunderstorms could produce gusts up to gales.
high pressure will remain in place to the northeast through the weekend. This will result in continued south to southeast winds across the coastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage somewhat Saturday and Sunday. Any stronger Thunderstorms could produce gusts up to gales.
Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
  HIDE  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KLIX 312332 AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 632 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 446 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Broad rainfall has dropped temperatures up to 8-10 degrees below forecast, so made adjustments to T grid to reflect actuals.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Tonight through Saturday... Generally, a couple more upper level impulses will move through over the next couple of days. There is still a ton of model uncertainty in the timing of these storms. And in general, the models, especially the CAMs, are going to continue to struggle to pinpoint timing until storms are ongoing and start firing up (real-time to near-time weather basically). So, the timing is a factor that will remain quite uncertain over the next few days.
But overall, scattered to numerous showers and storms will be expected, especially during the afternoon and early evening hours with peak daytime heating. These storms will have the risk of hail and damaging winds (30-60mph), based on the lapse rates and instability available. Locally heavy rainfall will be a concern (PWs are quite high, climatologically) and could cause minor flooding or ponding on local roads and make visibility while driving difficult.
The localized flooding risk would be higher for urban or vulnerable locations, as is common for this time of year. Overall, stay weather aware over the next few days as we continue in this unsettled pattern for the atmosphere. MSW
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Sunday through mid-week... Sunday and Monday, several more upper level impulses will be moving through the area. These will look pretty similar to the last few days, and there are still a lot of uncertainties in the models regarding timing of the best convection.
Generally though, scattered to numerous showers and storms will be expected, especially during the afternoon/evening hours on Sunday and Monday. On Monday, the bulk of the rainfall will be more for our northern areas, but this could change as we get closer. These storms will, based on model soundings, likely have the risk of locally heavy rainfall, small hail, and winds (30-60mph). Stay weather aware on Sunday and Monday of next week.
Tuesday through mid-week, conditions should be a bit drier as a weak ridge starts to build in over the area. Generally, rain chances will be lower. An isolated shower will be possible, but likely will not be severe at this time, looking at the models. Temperatures will be a little warmer though, as a result. Highs are forecast to be in the low 90s with lows in the mid 70s. MSW
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
VCTS has been the headline with a line of thunderstorms moving west to east across the area. Storm intensity has decreased and most terminals are now VCSH. As the evening progresses, terminals will improve to VFR, with exceptions of MVFR due to lowered ceilings and reduced visibilities at KMCB and KBTR in the early morning hours.
MARINE
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Benign marine conditions overall. Generally, southerly to southeasterly winds will prevail with moderate to calm winds (10-15kts) throughout the forecast period. Showers and storms will be possible every day, especially in the afternoon and evening hours, through Tuesday which could produce locally higher gusts.
MSW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 68 83 67 86 / 60 80 20 60 BTR 73 89 73 90 / 30 80 20 60 ASD 73 88 71 89 / 60 90 30 60 MSY 76 88 75 88 / 40 90 30 60 GPT 75 85 73 86 / 70 90 50 60 PQL 73 86 71 87 / 70 90 50 50
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 632 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 446 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Broad rainfall has dropped temperatures up to 8-10 degrees below forecast, so made adjustments to T grid to reflect actuals.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Tonight through Saturday... Generally, a couple more upper level impulses will move through over the next couple of days. There is still a ton of model uncertainty in the timing of these storms. And in general, the models, especially the CAMs, are going to continue to struggle to pinpoint timing until storms are ongoing and start firing up (real-time to near-time weather basically). So, the timing is a factor that will remain quite uncertain over the next few days.
But overall, scattered to numerous showers and storms will be expected, especially during the afternoon and early evening hours with peak daytime heating. These storms will have the risk of hail and damaging winds (30-60mph), based on the lapse rates and instability available. Locally heavy rainfall will be a concern (PWs are quite high, climatologically) and could cause minor flooding or ponding on local roads and make visibility while driving difficult.
The localized flooding risk would be higher for urban or vulnerable locations, as is common for this time of year. Overall, stay weather aware over the next few days as we continue in this unsettled pattern for the atmosphere. MSW
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Sunday through mid-week... Sunday and Monday, several more upper level impulses will be moving through the area. These will look pretty similar to the last few days, and there are still a lot of uncertainties in the models regarding timing of the best convection.
Generally though, scattered to numerous showers and storms will be expected, especially during the afternoon/evening hours on Sunday and Monday. On Monday, the bulk of the rainfall will be more for our northern areas, but this could change as we get closer. These storms will, based on model soundings, likely have the risk of locally heavy rainfall, small hail, and winds (30-60mph). Stay weather aware on Sunday and Monday of next week.
Tuesday through mid-week, conditions should be a bit drier as a weak ridge starts to build in over the area. Generally, rain chances will be lower. An isolated shower will be possible, but likely will not be severe at this time, looking at the models. Temperatures will be a little warmer though, as a result. Highs are forecast to be in the low 90s with lows in the mid 70s. MSW
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
VCTS has been the headline with a line of thunderstorms moving west to east across the area. Storm intensity has decreased and most terminals are now VCSH. As the evening progresses, terminals will improve to VFR, with exceptions of MVFR due to lowered ceilings and reduced visibilities at KMCB and KBTR in the early morning hours.
MARINE
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Benign marine conditions overall. Generally, southerly to southeasterly winds will prevail with moderate to calm winds (10-15kts) throughout the forecast period. Showers and storms will be possible every day, especially in the afternoon and evening hours, through Tuesday which could produce locally higher gusts.
MSW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 68 83 67 86 / 60 80 20 60 BTR 73 89 73 90 / 30 80 20 60 ASD 73 88 71 89 / 60 90 30 60 MSY 76 88 75 88 / 40 90 30 60 GPT 75 85 73 86 / 70 90 50 60 PQL 73 86 71 87 / 70 90 50 50
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
GISL1 - 8761724 - Grand Isle, LA | 31 mi | 56 min | SE 8G | 81°F | 84°F | 29.96 | ||
BYGL1 - 8762482 - Bayou Gauche, LA | 35 mi | 56 min | 73°F | 83°F | 29.96 | |||
LOPL1 - Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, LA | 39 mi | 79 min | SSE 20G | 81°F | 3 ft | 29.95 | 76°F | |
AMRL1 - 8764227 - Amerada Pass, LA | 44 mi | 56 min | ENE 5.1G | 80°F | 29.94 | |||
EINL1 | 45 mi | 56 min | E 15G | 78°F | 79°F | 29.93 | 75°F | |
TESL1 - Tesoro Marine Terminal - 8764044 - Berwick, LA | 45 mi | 56 min | ENE 5.1G | 74°F | 79°F | 29.96 | ||
CARL1 | 49 mi | 56 min | 79°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KGAO SOUTH LAFOURCHE LEONARD MILLER JR,LA | 18 sm | 20 min | SE 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 79°F | 73°F | 84% | 29.95 | |
KHUM HOUMATERREBONNE,LA | 20 sm | 20 min | ENE 04 | 7 sm | Partly Cloudy | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.96 |
Cocodrie
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:00 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:02 AM CDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:03 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 12:47 PM CDT 0.79 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:59 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 07:57 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:00 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:02 AM CDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:03 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 12:47 PM CDT 0.79 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:59 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 07:57 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cocodrie, Terrebonne Bay, Louisiana, Tide feet
12 am |
0.4 |
1 am |
0.4 |
2 am |
0.3 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.2 |
5 am |
0.2 |
6 am |
0.3 |
7 am |
0.4 |
8 am |
0.5 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.8 |
1 pm |
0.8 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
0.7 |
4 pm |
0.7 |
5 pm |
0.7 |
6 pm |
0.6 |
7 pm |
0.6 |
8 pm |
0.6 |
9 pm |
0.6 |
10 pm |
0.6 |
11 pm |
0.6 |
Tide / Current for Pelican Islands, Timbalier Bay, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana
EDIT HIDE  HelpPelican Islands
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:59 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:22 AM CDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:03 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 01:58 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:12 PM CDT 0.73 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:59 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:22 AM CDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:03 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 01:58 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:12 PM CDT 0.73 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Pelican Islands, Timbalier Bay, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet
12 am |
0.5 |
1 am |
0.4 |
2 am |
0.3 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.2 |
5 am |
0.2 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
0.3 |
8 am |
0.4 |
9 am |
0.5 |
10 am |
0.6 |
11 am |
0.6 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.7 |
3 pm |
0.7 |
4 pm |
0.7 |
5 pm |
0.7 |
6 pm |
0.7 |
7 pm |
0.7 |
8 pm |
0.7 |
9 pm |
0.6 |
10 pm |
0.6 |
11 pm |
0.5 |
New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA,
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