Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bolivar Peninsula, TX

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1220 PM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

Low level ridging stretching across the Atlantic into the western Gulf will maintain a persistent fetch of se/s winds across the region. This onshore flow will keep unseasonably warm temperatures in place across the region going into the weekend with lows in the 60s and highs in the 80s.

In terms of rainfall potential: though PW's will be on a gradual climb, there's not much in the way of forcing during the work week.
Trof/shortwave currently situated over the Rockies, will weaken and track newd on Wed. Its associated surface frontal boundary won't come close to making it into or close to our region...so other than some spotty shra (and maybe an iso tstm or two west of I-45 and the Brazos Valley), most of us will be lucky to see any measurable rain. We should see a deeper western trof emerge later in the week. With this particular system, a cold front will try its best to move closer, or into, northern parts of the CWA this weekend. Given that we should see the southern part of the mid- upper trof cut-off and retrograde toward Baja, it's looking doubtful the front will have enough momentum to push further south to the coast without some mesoscale help. But, that's not impossible with higher PW's pooling along and south of the the surface boundary, a series of upper disturbances in the sw flow aloft, and somewhat diffluent flow further up. This scenario should provide opportunities for shra/tstm development both Saturday and Sunday. 47

AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 538 PM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

SSE winds ease down this evening with MVFR to IFR CIGS filling in overnight. Generally areas north of the I-10 corridor will stay primarily at MVFR FLs, while areas further south will be at IFR for longer segments of the night. LIFR CIGs /VIS are looking more likely at KGLS due to sea fog. Forecast sounding are also hinting at some improvement in CIGs inland during the early morning hours, mainly those south of I-10. Included an additional line to reflect this, but primarily keep these sites at IFR, though it could possibly lift to MVFR prior to daybreak. Conditions improve during the daytime, returning to VFR for most areas by the afternoon. Isolated rain chances across our northern tier of counties during the afternoon hours.

03

MARINE
Issued at 1220 PM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

Onshore winds. generally in the 10-17kt range and 3-5ft seas, will prevail into the weekend. There will probably be some periods of haze and sea fog over the waters as well, though any dense fog should mainly be situated closer to the beach and offshore hours and should be intermittent in nature...primarily in the night time and early morning hours. 47

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 67 83 67 85 / 10 50 20 10 Houston (IAH) 69 83 68 84 / 20 20 0 10 Galveston (GLS) 66 73 67 73 / 10 10 0 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.