Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Newberry, FL

SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 322 AM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Seasonably warm conditions will persist through the short-term period, supporting daily chances for afternoon thunderstorms, especially across interior SE GA.

On Thursday, isolated showers may first develop early in the afternoon near a residual surface trough and leftover boundaries from Wednesday's convective episode. Convective coverage is expected to increase west of Waycross late in the day and into the evening as the Gulf and Atlantic sea breezes merge and interact with outflow boundaries pushed out by storms in SW GA. Isolated storms could become strong with additional lift offered by an incoming shortwave.
Meanwhile, convection over NE FL will likely remain limited due to a lack of mid-level moisture. The upper-level impulse crossing Georgia Thursday evening may sustain isolated shower activity through the late night hours across SE GA, although most areas will remain dry.

On Friday, forecast uncertainty increases regarding moisture placement aloft and thus convective coverage. Model guidance trends toward marginal moisture remaining in southeast Georgia, with only isolated storms expected north of Waycross. Northeast Florida will remain drier, with lower rain chances.

By Saturday, moisture availability will still be limited, but isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two may develop—mainly along and north of the I-10 corridor as the sea breeze progresses inland. A weakening frontal boundary approaching the region late Saturday night may provide additional forcing for showers and storms, potentially into early Sunday morning.

Temperatures will continue to climb, with highs nearing daily record values—reaching the upper 80s to low 90s by Saturday afternoon.
Overnight lows will remain mild, generally in the low to mid-60s.
Patchy inland fog is possible each morning where skies clear overnight.

LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 322 AM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025

A backdoor cold front associated with high pressure wedging down the Eastern Seaboard will slide into the region on Sunday, helping to pool moisture along the boundary and fueling scattered afternoon storms along the east coast sea breeze.

By Monday, lingering moisture will maintain isolated to scattered storm chances (20–30%) across the area. A drying trend will then take shape on Tuesday as cooler and drier air advects in from the Atlantic behind the departing front.

Temperatures will moderate behind the front, with inland highs falling into the low to mid-80s and coastal areas remaining in the upper 70s.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM Wed Apr 23 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at the regional terminals through at least 06Z Thursday. Scattered convection that develops this afternoon and evening should remain to the west and north of the regional terminals, but a few leftover showers may approach SSI from the west after 01Z this evening. Confidence was too low to include any mention in the SSI TAF at this time. Fog and low stratus ceilings will be possible during the predawn and early morning hours, especially at VQQ and GNV. Confidence was only high enough to include a mention of MVFR conditions at VQQ and GNV at this time, but a brief period of MVFR visibilities could extend to JAX and SSI around sunrise on Thursday. East to southeast surface winds will remain sustained at 10-15 knots at the SSI and SGJ coastal terminals through around 01Z this evening. Light and variable surface winds at the rest of the terminals early this afternoon will shift to easterly after 18Z, with sustained speeds increasing to around 10 knots as the Atlantic sea breeze boundary pushes inland. Surface winds will shift to southeasterly at the coastal terminals after 01Z, with speeds diminishing to around 5 knots by 04Z. Winds will diminish at the inland terminals after 03Z tonight.

MARINE
Issued at 1235 PM Wed Apr 23 2025

Atlantic high pressure will continue to extend its axis across our local waters as a weakening frontal boundary stalls across the southeastern states. Another high pressure center building to the north of this stalled front will briefly wedge down the southeastern seaboard on Thursday afternoon, creating breezy onshore winds through Thursday evening. This high pressure center will push offshore of the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts on Thursday night ahead of a cold front that will move across the southeastern states on Saturday afternoon and evening. This front may bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to our local waters on Saturday night and Sunday. Seas of 2-4 feet will prevail through Sunday morning both near shore and offshore.

Strong high pressure building over the Great Lakes states in the wake of this front during the weekend will shift towards the southeastern seaboard early next week, with winds shifting to northeasterly and strengthening across our local waters by Sunday afternoon, with seas expected to gradually build on Sunday night and Monday. Seas will build to the 3-5 foot range offshore by Sunday afternoon, with Caution conditions possible across our local waters by Sunday night and Monday.

Rip Currents: A persistent easterly ocean swell will combine with breezy onshore winds will keep a lower end moderate risk in place at all area beaches through the upcoming weekend.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1235 PM Wed Apr 23 2025

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon and early this evening and again on Thursday afternoon and evening across inland portions of southeast GA and possibly northern portions of the Suwannee Valley. Activity should become isolated across these inland locations on Friday afternoon and evening. Otherwise, increasingly hot temperatures at inland locations will drop minimum relative humidity values to the 30-35 percent range for locations west of I-95 corridor this afternoon and again on Thursday afternoon. Breezy easterly surface and transport winds will overspread the I-95 corridor this afternoon, and fair to good daytime dispersion values are forecast area-wide.
Breezy easterly surface and transport winds will develop during the late morning hours at coastal locations on Thursday, with these winds spreading inland during the afternoon hours, creating mostly good daytime dispersion values across our region. Elevated mixing heights and southeasterly surface and transport winds on Friday will create good daytime dispersion values at most locations on Friday, with marginally high values possible across north central FL.

CLIMATE
Issued at 1235 PM Wed Apr 23 2025

DAILY RECORD HIGHS

WED THU FRI SAT SUN

JAX 92 (1970) 93 (1999) 92 (1958) 92 (2011) 94 (1986)

GNV 92 (1970) 94 (1999) 93 (1896) 93 (1908) 96 (2011)

AMG 94 (1968) 93 (1999) 91 (1958) 93 (1986) 96 (1986)

CRG 89 (2020) 92 (1999) 91 (2006) 91 (1989) 93 (2011)

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 88 62 86 60 / 50 40 30 20 SSI 82 67 81 66 / 10 10 10 0 JAX 87 62 86 61 / 20 10 10 0 SGJ 82 66 81 65 / 10 10 0 0 GNV 90 61 89 60 / 20 20 0 0 OCF 91 61 91 59 / 20 20 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.