Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shoreacres, TX
December 1, 2023 9:37 AM CST (15:37 UTC)
Sunrise 6:56AM Sunset 5:21PM Moonrise 9:18PM Moonset 10:55AM
GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 407 Am Cst Fri Dec 1 2023
.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am cst this morning...
Today..West winds around 5 knots, becoming northeast late this morning and afternoon. Bay waters smooth. Areas of fog this morning. Patchy fog early this afternoon. A chance of showers late this morning and early afternoon. Showers likely with isolated Thunderstorms early.
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of showers. Patchy fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest late. Bay waters smooth. Patchy fog in the morning.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Monday night and Tuesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am cst this morning...
Today..West winds around 5 knots, becoming northeast late this morning and afternoon. Bay waters smooth. Areas of fog this morning. Patchy fog early this afternoon. A chance of showers late this morning and early afternoon. Showers likely with isolated Thunderstorms early.
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of showers. Patchy fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest late. Bay waters smooth. Patchy fog in the morning.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Monday night and Tuesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 407 Am Cst Fri Dec 1 2023
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
areas of fog...some dense...can be expected early this morning in and around the bays and nearshore waters. Winds and seas will continue to lower as the day progresses. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible through Saturday as a cold front slowly moves off the coast. Fog could develop again until the front moves off to the east. Light winds and lower seas and no rain can be expected beginning late Saturday night and continuing into the middle of next week.
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
areas of fog...some dense...can be expected early this morning in and around the bays and nearshore waters. Winds and seas will continue to lower as the day progresses. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible through Saturday as a cold front slowly moves off the coast. Fog could develop again until the front moves off to the east. Light winds and lower seas and no rain can be expected beginning late Saturday night and continuing into the middle of next week.
Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 011112 AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 512 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Today is December 1st, which means we've officially made it to Meteorological Winter! If we squint juuust hard enough, it kinda looks like a winter wonderland out there...only we're talking about fog instead of snow. There's nothing frozen out there...let it go! Light winds as a weak frontal boundary approaches along with very humid conditions from both elevated dew points and Thursday's antecedent rainfall have allowed for plenty of radiation fog to develop across the area. As of right now, most of the decreased visibilities are west of I-45, but look for conditions to gradually deteriorate eastward as the night/morning goes on. A Dense Fog Advisory was issued at 2am CST and will be in effect through 9am CST...be on the lookout for more counties to be added to the advisory as fog continues to develop throughout the early morning hours. Sea fog is also in the equation with coastal areas and areas around the bays possibly seeing bouts of varying visibilities throughout the day and into tonight.
A cold front will gradually push through Southeast TX beginning early this morning and will take nearly the entire day to get near the coast. There's nothing of note in the upper levels to push it cleanly through...at least not yet. With the front lingering around the coastal areas later this afternoon along with PVA from a passing shortwave, favorable upper level dynamics (right entrance region of a jet streak), and PW values in the 1.5"-1.9" range south of I-10 (90th percentile: ~1.47"), we can expect to see some additional development of showers and thunderstorms focused around the frontal boundary. Due to the elevated PW values, locally heavy rainfall will be possible in any of the stronger storms. With some locations having received 3"-4" rain from Thursday, water may runoff more quickly leading to the potential for minor flooding in low-lying areas or areas with poor drainage. As a result, there is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 4) of excessive rainfall mainly for portions of Galveston, Chambers, and Liberty Counties today. The highest rain chances will be along and south of the I-10 corridor this afternoon/evening. Once the front moves offshore, it'll stall out and become the focus of a developing surface trough. This will keep moisture elevated along the coast going into Saturday, so rain chances will linger until another cold front pushes through on late Saturday afternoon/evening with a push from a mid/upper level trough sweeping through the central CONUS. Much drier air filters in behind this cold front as PW values quickly drop into the 0.2"-0.4" range by Saturday night (10th percentile: ~0.36").
As far as temperatures go, expect temperatures to range from the upper 60s to low 70s this afternoon with most locations topping out in the low 70s on Saturday as 850mb temperatures remain above the 90th percentile. Temperatures tonight will be a little bit cooler thanks to the first FROPA...lows will range from the low 50s to upper 50s north of I-10 and the upper 50s to low 60s south of I-10.
Saturday night will feature a return of sweater weather for all of Southeast TX as temperatures drop into the mid 40s to low 50s area- wide behind the second FROPA. There is some question as to how much cloud cover clears out on Saturday night for max radiational cooling since we'll be in the right entrance region of a jet streak (upper level divergence). From what I've seen so far, it doesn't appear we'll have a solid blanket of upper level clouds in place...so I felt comfortable going a little bit below guidance for Saturday night's temperatures.
--------------------
Just a reminder that the KHGX WSR-88D radar went down for maintenance on November 27th and will be out of service for approximately two weeks from that date as it is receiving an important upgrade to extend its lifespan! During its downtime, adjacent radars are available for use including the local Terminal Doppler Weather Radars (TIAH and THOU) and other WSR-88D radars including KGRK, KSHV, KLCH, KPOE, KEWX, and KCRP.
Batiste
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Sunday through Thursday is still looking to be on the quiet side with surface high pressure generally in control. A northwest flow aloft will help to bring a dry cold front across the area Sunday night through Monday morning and another dry cold front across the area on Tuesday night. A persistent onshore flow returns to the area beginning on Thursday as the surface high moves off to the east.
Throughout this period, high temperatures will be mostly in the 60s with some 70s popping up here and there, and low temperatures will be mostly in the 40s with some 50s popping up here and there.
42
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 512 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Widespread IFR to LIFR conditions across the area as patchy dense fog and low cloud ceilings continue to persist and expand.
Expecting these trends to continue through 15Z before gradual improvements begin. IAH and southward, ceilings likely won't rise above MVFR throughout the day due to lingering moisture as a cold front pushes through. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along and south of I-10 between the 21Z-02Z timeframe.
After this, the focus turns to patchy fog/low ceilings once again as another round of widespread IFR/LIFR conditions are expected.
Batiste
MARINE
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Areas of fog have developed across portions of our bays and coastal waters. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for parts of these areas until 9 AM, and it may need to be extended. Additional fog development (maybe dense) will remain a possibility, perhaps into Saturday or Saturday evening before a cold front moves through the area and some drier air filters on in. Shower and thunderstorm development is anticipated (better chances today/tonight and lower chances on Saturday) before the front's passage. Besides the fog, we will have some caution and advisory flags up for a couple more hours early this morning for elevated seas. After all this mess moves on out, light winds and lower seas can be expected on into the middle of next week.
42
CLIMATE
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Two November 30th record rainfall events were set with yesterday's storms.
Galveston's 3.93 inches broke the old record of 1.40 inches set in 1921.
Houston Hobby's 1.67 inches broke the old record of 1.05 inches set in 1982.
Here are some preliminary November 2023 climate numbers...
College Station had an average temperature of 61.2 degrees (0.8 degrees above normal) and a rainfall total of 0.94 inches (2.37 inches below normal).
Houston had an average temperature of 61.3 degrees (0.7 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 2.36 inches (1.51 inches below normal).
Houston Hobby had an average temperature of 62.9 degrees (0.4 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 4.36 inches (0.46 inches above normal).
Galveston had an average temperature of 64.2 degrees (1.3 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 5.37 inches (1.09 inches above normal).
Palacios had an average temperature of 62.5 degrees (2.1 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 5.39 inches (2.00 inches above normal).
42
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 68 51 72 46 / 20 10 10 0 Houston (IAH) 73 59 73 52 / 40 50 10 0 Galveston (GLS) 69 61 69 56 / 70 60 20 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ176-177- 195>199-210>214-226-227-235>238-313-335>338-436>439.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ330-335- 350-355.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ350-355-370-375.
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ370-375.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 512 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Today is December 1st, which means we've officially made it to Meteorological Winter! If we squint juuust hard enough, it kinda looks like a winter wonderland out there...only we're talking about fog instead of snow. There's nothing frozen out there...let it go! Light winds as a weak frontal boundary approaches along with very humid conditions from both elevated dew points and Thursday's antecedent rainfall have allowed for plenty of radiation fog to develop across the area. As of right now, most of the decreased visibilities are west of I-45, but look for conditions to gradually deteriorate eastward as the night/morning goes on. A Dense Fog Advisory was issued at 2am CST and will be in effect through 9am CST...be on the lookout for more counties to be added to the advisory as fog continues to develop throughout the early morning hours. Sea fog is also in the equation with coastal areas and areas around the bays possibly seeing bouts of varying visibilities throughout the day and into tonight.
A cold front will gradually push through Southeast TX beginning early this morning and will take nearly the entire day to get near the coast. There's nothing of note in the upper levels to push it cleanly through...at least not yet. With the front lingering around the coastal areas later this afternoon along with PVA from a passing shortwave, favorable upper level dynamics (right entrance region of a jet streak), and PW values in the 1.5"-1.9" range south of I-10 (90th percentile: ~1.47"), we can expect to see some additional development of showers and thunderstorms focused around the frontal boundary. Due to the elevated PW values, locally heavy rainfall will be possible in any of the stronger storms. With some locations having received 3"-4" rain from Thursday, water may runoff more quickly leading to the potential for minor flooding in low-lying areas or areas with poor drainage. As a result, there is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 4) of excessive rainfall mainly for portions of Galveston, Chambers, and Liberty Counties today. The highest rain chances will be along and south of the I-10 corridor this afternoon/evening. Once the front moves offshore, it'll stall out and become the focus of a developing surface trough. This will keep moisture elevated along the coast going into Saturday, so rain chances will linger until another cold front pushes through on late Saturday afternoon/evening with a push from a mid/upper level trough sweeping through the central CONUS. Much drier air filters in behind this cold front as PW values quickly drop into the 0.2"-0.4" range by Saturday night (10th percentile: ~0.36").
As far as temperatures go, expect temperatures to range from the upper 60s to low 70s this afternoon with most locations topping out in the low 70s on Saturday as 850mb temperatures remain above the 90th percentile. Temperatures tonight will be a little bit cooler thanks to the first FROPA...lows will range from the low 50s to upper 50s north of I-10 and the upper 50s to low 60s south of I-10.
Saturday night will feature a return of sweater weather for all of Southeast TX as temperatures drop into the mid 40s to low 50s area- wide behind the second FROPA. There is some question as to how much cloud cover clears out on Saturday night for max radiational cooling since we'll be in the right entrance region of a jet streak (upper level divergence). From what I've seen so far, it doesn't appear we'll have a solid blanket of upper level clouds in place...so I felt comfortable going a little bit below guidance for Saturday night's temperatures.
--------------------
Just a reminder that the KHGX WSR-88D radar went down for maintenance on November 27th and will be out of service for approximately two weeks from that date as it is receiving an important upgrade to extend its lifespan! During its downtime, adjacent radars are available for use including the local Terminal Doppler Weather Radars (TIAH and THOU) and other WSR-88D radars including KGRK, KSHV, KLCH, KPOE, KEWX, and KCRP.
Batiste
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Sunday through Thursday is still looking to be on the quiet side with surface high pressure generally in control. A northwest flow aloft will help to bring a dry cold front across the area Sunday night through Monday morning and another dry cold front across the area on Tuesday night. A persistent onshore flow returns to the area beginning on Thursday as the surface high moves off to the east.
Throughout this period, high temperatures will be mostly in the 60s with some 70s popping up here and there, and low temperatures will be mostly in the 40s with some 50s popping up here and there.
42
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 512 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Widespread IFR to LIFR conditions across the area as patchy dense fog and low cloud ceilings continue to persist and expand.
Expecting these trends to continue through 15Z before gradual improvements begin. IAH and southward, ceilings likely won't rise above MVFR throughout the day due to lingering moisture as a cold front pushes through. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along and south of I-10 between the 21Z-02Z timeframe.
After this, the focus turns to patchy fog/low ceilings once again as another round of widespread IFR/LIFR conditions are expected.
Batiste
MARINE
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Areas of fog have developed across portions of our bays and coastal waters. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for parts of these areas until 9 AM, and it may need to be extended. Additional fog development (maybe dense) will remain a possibility, perhaps into Saturday or Saturday evening before a cold front moves through the area and some drier air filters on in. Shower and thunderstorm development is anticipated (better chances today/tonight and lower chances on Saturday) before the front's passage. Besides the fog, we will have some caution and advisory flags up for a couple more hours early this morning for elevated seas. After all this mess moves on out, light winds and lower seas can be expected on into the middle of next week.
42
CLIMATE
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Dec 1 2023
Two November 30th record rainfall events were set with yesterday's storms.
Galveston's 3.93 inches broke the old record of 1.40 inches set in 1921.
Houston Hobby's 1.67 inches broke the old record of 1.05 inches set in 1982.
Here are some preliminary November 2023 climate numbers...
College Station had an average temperature of 61.2 degrees (0.8 degrees above normal) and a rainfall total of 0.94 inches (2.37 inches below normal).
Houston had an average temperature of 61.3 degrees (0.7 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 2.36 inches (1.51 inches below normal).
Houston Hobby had an average temperature of 62.9 degrees (0.4 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 4.36 inches (0.46 inches above normal).
Galveston had an average temperature of 64.2 degrees (1.3 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 5.37 inches (1.09 inches above normal).
Palacios had an average temperature of 62.5 degrees (2.1 degrees below normal) and a rainfall total of 5.39 inches (2.00 inches above normal).
42
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 68 51 72 46 / 20 10 10 0 Houston (IAH) 73 59 73 52 / 40 50 10 0 Galveston (GLS) 69 61 69 56 / 70 60 20 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ176-177- 195>199-210>214-226-227-235>238-313-335>338-436>439.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ330-335- 350-355.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ350-355-370-375.
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ370-375.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX | 3 mi | 50 min | 29.85 | |||||
| EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX | 12 mi | 50 min | E 1G | 65°F | 60°F | 29.85 | ||
| NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX | 16 mi | 50 min | 0G | 69°F | 67°F | 29.84 | ||
| GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX | 24 mi | 56 min | SE 5.1G | 67°F | 62°F | 29.83 | ||
| GRRT2 | 24 mi | 50 min | SE 1.9G | 64°F | 62°F | 29.83 | ||
| GTOT2 | 25 mi | 50 min | SSE 1.9G | 68°F | 64°F | 29.85 | ||
| RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX | 27 mi | 50 min | SE 2.9G | 64°F | 63°F | 29.85 | ||
| HIST2 | 32 mi | 50 min | 0G | 67°F | 67°F | 29.87 | ||
| LUIT2 | 40 mi | 50 min | ESE 1.9G | 67°F | 64°F | 29.85 | ||
| KGVW | 42 mi | 23 min | G | 72°F | 72°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KEFD ELLINGTON,TX | 9 sm | 43 min | calm | 1/4 sm | Overcast | Fog | 68°F | 68°F | 100% | 29.86 |
| KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX | 15 sm | 30 min | calm | 4 sm | Overcast | Mist | 72°F | 68°F | 88% | 29.87 |
| KLVJ PEARLAND RGNL,TX | 16 sm | 5 min | calm | 1/2 sm | -- | Fog | 68°F | 68°F | 100% | 29.89 |
Wind History from EFD
(wind in knots)Clear Lake
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:41 AM CST 0.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM CST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:55 AM CST Moonset
Fri -- 05:20 PM CST Sunset
Fri -- 07:10 PM CST -0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:17 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:41 AM CST 0.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM CST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:55 AM CST Moonset
Fri -- 05:20 PM CST Sunset
Fri -- 07:10 PM CST -0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:17 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 0.7 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Bolivar Roads
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:09 AM CST -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:55 AM CST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:53 AM CST Moonset
Fri -- 11:19 AM CST -2.12 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:20 PM CST 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:20 PM CST Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM CST 1.87 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 09:17 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:09 AM CST -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:55 AM CST Sunrise
Fri -- 10:53 AM CST Moonset
Fri -- 11:19 AM CST -2.12 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:20 PM CST 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:20 PM CST Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM CST 1.87 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 09:17 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bolivar Roads, Texas Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| -0.3 |
| 5 am |
| -0.5 |
| 6 am |
| -0.8 |
| 7 am |
| -1.1 |
| 8 am |
| -1.5 |
| 9 am |
| -1.8 |
| 10 am |
| -2 |
| 11 am |
| -2.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -2.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.9 |
| 2 pm |
| -1.5 |
| 3 pm |
| -1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.4 |
Houston/Galveston, TX,
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