Delcambre, LA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Delcambre, LA

June 14, 2024 6:06 PM CDT (23:06 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM
Moonrise 12:34 PM   Moonset 12:25 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ435 Vermilion And West Cote Blanche Bays- 258 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Tonight - Southwest winds around 5 knots until early morning, becoming light and variable. Bay waters smooth.

Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bay waters light chop.

Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop.

Sunday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers, Thunderstorms.

Monday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters rough. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters rough. Showers and Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 258 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis - Light offshore flow will prevail through Saturday. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms will return by Saturday as gulf moisture slowly moves northward. Precipitation chances increase significantly Sunday through most of next week as additional moisture from the southern gulf of mexico advances northward. East to southeast winds expected to increase near or above 20 knots, along with increasing seas, beginning Monday, and remain near this level for the remainder of the period. This prolonged east to southeasterly fetch will likely cause increasing tides, with minor coastal flooding possible. Small craft advisories will be likely necessary during this time period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Delcambre, LA
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Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 141953 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 253 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The short term will be a period of transition as the current dry air mass departs.

A ridge aloft and high pressure at the surface is across the deep south this afternoon with a very dry air mass in place locally.
PWAT on this morning's KLCH sounding was 0.83" which is near the daily min for the date. This dry air mass has kept most cloud cover sparse and allowed temps to rise into the 90s which is a few degrees above normal for the date after a somewhat cool morning.

Through tonight and Saturday the ridge will shift east toward the Atlantic coast. An inverted trough that extends southwest from Florida into the Yucatan will begin to move west around the base of the ridge. Higher moisture will begin to work into the local area as the trough moves farther into the gulf. Saturday is anticipated to be dry once again, however dewpoints are expected to remain higher then nudge upwards through later Saturday and through the night.

A few showers will begin to the return to the coastal waters Saturday night with scattered convection working into the area Sunday, but mainly late in the day. Moisture will increase during the day Sunday. PWAT values will increase to over 2" along the coast of LA by sunset Sunday and may increase to near the daily max for the date in Lower Acadiana. This will occur as the inverted trough slowly moves west across the gulf and central America. The local area will be on the northern fringe of the trough with moisture being pulled northwest around the edge of the departing ridge and setting the stage for a wet extended period.

LONG TERM
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Looking like a wet period for the early to middle part of next week.

The upper level ridge over the northwest Gulf will diminish with the upper level ridge becoming centered over the southeast US and off the coast. This will develop a broad east to west wind flow across the Gulf of Mexico, and this will push the inverted trough and associated deep tropical moisture that has been over the northwest Caribbean into the Florida area to the west.

The deep moisture and trough will reach the forecast area by the beginning of the period on Monday then push it gradually west through Thursday. Currently, the most likely scenario is for the inverted trough axis to stay on the weak side, or if it does develop into a more closed off cyclone, for the closed low to stay well south of the forecast area and across the southern Gulf of Mexico.
Just how closed off or strong the low gets will impact how much of the deep moisture stays over the forecast area. For now, will keep the scenario of basically just a sloppy weak trough feature.

The air mass will definitely have a tropical origin with highly anomalous moisture values. Precipitable Water values will range from 2.2 to 2.4 inches which is well above the 90th percentile for this time of year of around 2 inches, and closer to max moving averages and daily highs. Also, 1000-500 mean layer relative humidity values will be over 80 percent and warm cloud layer will be between 13k-15k feet, which all means that convection will be highly efficient warm process rain makers.

Usually in these air masses, plenty of nocturnal activity occur over the Gulf and right along the coast, and with low convective temperatures, this activity will spread quickly inland during the day.

Reliable QPF numbers show total rainfall amounts from Monday through Wednesday averaging 3-6 inches from along and south of the I-10 corridor, and 1 to 3 inches north of the I-10 corridor. Of course, there could be some locally higher amounts, but way too soon to pinpoint any of that. With the expected rainfall, Marginal to Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 1 and 2 out of 4) that may lead to flooding has been outlined for the Day 4 and 5 periods which is Monday and Tuesday. This outlooks will probably be refined over the next few days and will probably have to be extended into Wednesday also.

Any other impacts will be breezy conditions for right along the coast and offshore with building seas and swells, to go along with some higher than normal tides.

If there is some good news, although it will be muggy, high temperatures should be a little below normal during the period.

07/Rua

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1152 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

VFR conditions with light/vrb winds are anticipated through the period.

MARINE
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Light winds and low seas will continue into Saturday, however the pressure gradient will tighten Sunday into early next week. Winds and seas will build Sunday through mid week as an inverted trough passes to the south. SCA conditons are anticipated Monday night through Thursday. Tides are also expected to run above normal and minor coastal flooding may be a concern at times of high tide.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 69 96 72 95 / 0 0 0 20 LCH 74 95 74 93 / 0 10 0 40 LFT 75 97 76 93 / 0 10 0 60 BPT 74 95 75 93 / 0 0 0 30

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
FRWL1 - 8766072 - Fresh Water Canal Locks, LA 18 mi49 minSSW 6G8 88°F30.00
AMRL1 - 8764227 - Amerada Pass, LA 39 mi49 minS 1.9G8 85°F29.90
EINL1 39 mi49 minS 7G8 83°F29.89
TESL1 - Tesoro Marine Terminal - 8764044 - Berwick, LA 40 mi49 minE 4.1G5.1 83°F29.90
42091 49 mi41 min 88°F1 ft


Wind History for Freshwater Canal Locks, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KIYA ABBEVILLE CHRIS CRUSTA MEMORIAL,LA 21 sm11 minW 0710 smClear91°F72°F53%29.86
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for K7R4
   
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Wind History graph: 7R4
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Cypremort Point, Louisiana
   
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Cypremort Point
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Fri -- 12:09 AM CDT     0.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:19 AM CDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:25 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:57 AM CDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:37 AM CDT     0.73 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:06 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:57 AM CDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:33 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:55 PM CDT     1.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:36 PM CDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cypremort Point, Louisiana, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.9
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.9
4
am
0.8
5
am
0.7
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.6
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.8
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
1
2
pm
1
3
pm
1
4
pm
1
5
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0.9
6
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0.9
7
pm
0.8
8
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0.6
9
pm
0.6
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
0.7


Tide / Current for Southwest Pass, Vermilion Bay, Louisiana
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Southwest Pass
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Fri -- 12:19 AM CDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:25 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:51 AM CDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:07 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:09 AM CDT     1.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:34 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:16 PM CDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Southwest Pass, Vermilion Bay, Louisiana, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.7
4
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0.7
5
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0.7
6
am
0.8
7
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0.9
8
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1
9
am
1.1
10
am
1.3
11
am
1.3
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
1
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
0.8
10
pm
0.9
11
pm
1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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Lake Charles, LA,




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