Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Apalachicola, FL

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2025

Ridging will build in across the eastern US with high pressure building into the southeast. Drier air will move into the area from the east which will help mitigate rain chances. Only isolated showers and storms are expected Wednesday afternoon, mostly west of the Flint River. Lows will be in the 60s with highs in the upper half of the 80s. Some patchy fog will develop the next few nights as well.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2025

Ridging breaks down late in the week as a trough crosses the Mississippi River. A cold front moves into our area Friday into Saturday. Moisture quality is not great with PWATs around 1.3 to 1.5 inches, but enough for some scattered showers and storms Friday through Saturday. Most of these will be diurnally driven storms, peaking during the afternoon then fading some overnight.
It's too early to determine any specifics on strong or severe storm potential, but at this point, the shear looks pretty weak with moderate instability. This would lend toward maybe a strong storm or two, but more clarity to come later in the week.

Temperatures remain above normal through the period with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the 60s.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2025

MVFR ceilings linger across KVLD, KABY, and KDHN as a backdoor cold front is pushing southwest across the region. This front will be the focal point for showers and storms this afternoon, so have included some VCTS for KVLD, KDHN, and KTLH along with KECP for any seabreeze storms that get going. Showers and storms should wind down this evening as another round of MVFR to IFR ceilings develop across most TAF sites. There are some indications fog may develop over the Florida Panhandle, so have introduced some lower visibility for KECP with this TAF package. Other sites may see fog develop near the aerodrome, especially those that see rain this afternoon/evening, but confidence was not high enough to include at this sites quite yet.

MARINE
Issued at 213 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2025

A backdoor cold front slides into our marine area tonight with strong high pressure building southwestward into our area.
Easterly flow develops with potentially some nocturnal surges up to cautionary levels. As a cold front approaches the area late in the week, flow turns more southerly Thursday into Friday. The weakens as it moves through the area late in the week, leading to a decrease in winds. Seas will generally be tranquil only around 1 to 3 feet.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 213 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2025

A backdoor cold front is in the process of stalling over the region this afternoon and evening. As a result, isolated to scattered showers and storms remain in the forecast through at least Tuesday with lesser coverage anticipated Wednesday. Storms will be capable of producing gusty, erratic winds and dangerous lightning. Easterly to southeasterly breezes are forecast for all districts during the day Tuesday with MinRH generally between 40 to 45 percent.

Another round of fog is expected tonight, mainly in the Florida Panhandle into southeastern Alabama.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 213 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2025

Some locally heavy downpours are possible in some thunderstorms this afternoon and again Tuesday afternoon. However, this won't be enough to cause any significant flooding concerns.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 91 67 88 64 / 40 30 40 10 Panama City 86 68 85 68 / 10 0 20 10 Dothan 88 66 88 66 / 30 20 30 10 Albany 85 67 86 64 / 40 10 30 10 Valdosta 88 67 86 63 / 70 30 30 0 Cross City 91 66 86 61 / 50 20 50 0 Apalachicola 82 71 81 70 / 0 0 20 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.