Steinhatchee, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Steinhatchee, FL

June 17, 2024 12:47 PM EDT (16:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:42 PM
Moonrise 3:42 PM   Moonset 2:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ765 Expires:202406172300;;178348 Fzus52 Ktae 171450 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 1050 am edt Mon jun 17 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-765-172300- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- 1050 am edt Mon jun 17 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 8 pm edt this evening through Thursday afternoon - .

Rest of today - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 4 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers this afternoon.

Tonight - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers in the evening.

Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 8 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.

Tuesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 9 seconds. Protected waters rough. A slight chance of showers.

Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 9 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 9 seconds. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Thursday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Friday night - South winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1050 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis -
a prolonged period of strong easterly breezes will get underway late today, lasting through at least Thursday and possibly Friday. The strong breezes will be driven by the tight pressure gradient between strong high pressure off the northeast u.s. Coast, and a deepening area of tropical low pressure over the southwest and western gulf this week. Easterly flow will demonstrate a familiar rhythm of nighttime and morning surges, and afternoon lulls. An easterly wave will arrive around Friday, disrupting the strong easterly flow and increasing Thunderstorm chances.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Steinhatchee, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 171449 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1049 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 1032 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Satellite imagery this shows a mix of cirrus passing over head from convection over the central Gulf, while cumulus begins to bubble. The slight chance for a few pop up showers and thunderstorms where PWATs remain elevated. The sounding from this morning had us at about 1.6" of PW, which matches closely with the SPC mesoanalysis page. The best chances for any precip this afternoon, which are low and generally about 25 percent or less, should be over the western FL Panhandle, western FL Big Bend, southeast AL, and perhaps in the counties along and west of the Flint and Ochlocknee Rivers. Anything that forms should generally be typical, run of the mill afternoon storms, but some gusty winds could be possible in the FL Big Bend and southwest GA counties where DCAPE is currently highest.



SYNOPSIS
Issued at 255 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Strong high pressure to the northeast and falling pressure over the southwest Gulf will drive unseasonably strong easterly breezes across the region from today through at least Thursday morning.
Dry air flowing out of the high pressure will limit afternoon thunderstorm potential through at least Wednesday. An easterly wave will approach the region on Thursday and pass by on Friday, increasing moisture enough to start a day-to-day increase in PM thunderstorm coverage which will continue into next weekend.

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 255 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A strong 500 mb high will strengthen today over the Carolinas and expand toward the Northeast U
S
In response, surface high pressure will strengthen just off the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast. At the same time, a broad area of tropical low pressure over the southwest Gulf will gradually deepen. Between these two systems over our area, pressure gradients will tighten today, and a prolonged period of unseasonably strong easterly breezes will get underway. This will be a rough week on the waters for mariners, and for rip current hazards at the beaches.

Satellite-derived Precipitable Water (PW) imagery shows a large nose of drier air off the Southeast U.S. coast. Drier PW values of 1.2-1.4 inches have already worked into northeast Florida.
Increasing deep-layer easterly flow today will bring the drier air across the forecast area, while pushing out yesterdays moist air mass. Enough lingering moisture could persist over our FL Panhandle counties for long enough today to support a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms, but areas east and northeast of there will see a near-shutdown of convection this afternoon.

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 255 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

High pressure nosing in from the northeast will keep the air mass dry, with PW values in the 1-1.4 inch range. These values in the summertime would typically spell complete convective shutdown.
However, the continuation of unseasonably strong easterly breezes could support speed convergence at the leading edge of any mesoscale speed surges, which could be enough to eek out a couple of weak, low-topped, and fast-moving showers. Have therefore reluctantly kept 15-30 percent rain chances along and southeast of a Panama City-Valdosta line, with a dry forecast north of there.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 255 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

The strong 500 mb high over the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region will become more east-west oriented on Thursday. It will then weaken from Friday through next weekend while settling south off the Southeast U.S. coast.

To its south on Thursday, an easterly wave will work its way westward from near 70W toward the Southeast U.S. coast, with the trough axis passing across the forecast area around Friday. NHC continues to outlook a low chance (30 percent) of tropical cyclone development within this trough axis before arrival along the Southeast Atlantic coast. Regardless of development, the main impact for us will be a disruption of the strong easterly flow as soon as Thursday afternoon, and then a steady moistening of the air mass from Thursday night through next Sunday. The forecast reflects this with a slow and steady increase in rain chances each day from Thursday through Sunday. I have doubts if moistening can take place soon enough on Thursday to increase rain chances that soon, but there is good agreement on sufficient moistening by Friday for increasing the chance of PM thunderstorms.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 643 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Today, expect VFR, with chances of SHRA/TSRA limited by dry air aloft. Highest confidence is for VCTS at ECP, and it cannot be ruled out at DHN, but potential was too low to include in the TAF. Brisk easterly flow gets underway today as the pressure gradient tightens. Winds may gust around 20 kts from the late morning into the evening hours, with highest confidence at ABY, before lowering to closer to 10 kts after sunset.

MARINE
Issued at 255 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A rough week on the waters is coming up, thanks to multiple upcoming days of unseasonably strong easterly breezes.

From CWF synopsis...A prolonged period of strong easterly breezes will get underway today, lasting through at least Thursday and possibly Friday. The strong breezes will be driven by the tight pressure gradient between strong high pressure off the Northeast U.S. coast, and a deepening area of tropical low pressure over the southwest and western Gulf this week. Easterly flow will demonstrate a familiar rhythm nighttime and morning surges, and afternoon lulls.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 255 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A pattern featuring unseasonably strong easterly breezes will get underway today and last until about Friday. When combined with seasonably deep mixing, the result will be a high afternoon dispersion values that will repeat each day through at least Thursday, and possibly longer. Otherwise, arrival of the easterly flow today will push out Sundays moist air mass, so look for drying today. The drier air will eliminate, or at least limit, the coverage of afternoon showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday and possibly Thursday.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 255 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Widespread or significant flooding is not expected for the next 7 days. Riverine flooding is not expected.

Little, if any, rain is expected through Thursday. Rainfall on Friday and Saturday should not be hydrologically significant.

Late next weekend, the air mass will start a more substantial moistening trend. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase, and storm motion may slow down. So starting around next Sunday, we could see the start of a pattern in which we need to look for for short-lived runoff issues in intense downpours beneath heavier thunderstorms.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 94 72 93 74 / 20 0 20 0 Panama City 92 75 92 76 / 40 10 10 10 Dothan 93 71 90 73 / 10 10 10 0 Albany 94 71 91 72 / 20 0 10 0 Valdosta 94 71 92 72 / 10 10 20 10 Cross City 94 70 94 72 / 20 0 30 0 Apalachicola 88 79 89 78 / 40 10 20 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening to 1 PM EDT /noon CDT/ Thursday for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770- 772-775.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 46 mi173 minE 8G13 83°F 30.0476°F
CKYF1 49 mi47 minE 16G20 85°F 88°F30.05


Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCTY CROSS CITY,FL 24 sm12 minENE 0810 smPartly Cloudy88°F72°F59%30.08
KFPY PERRYFOLEY,FL 24 sm12 minE 1310 smMostly Cloudy90°F72°F56%30.09
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for K40J
   
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Wind History graph: 40J
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Fishermans Rest, Florida
   
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Fishermans Rest
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Mon -- 03:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:52 AM EDT     1.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:09 AM EDT     2.97 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:33 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Fishermans Rest, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.4
1
am
2.3
2
am
2.1
3
am
1.8
4
am
1.6
5
am
1.5
6
am
1.6
7
am
1.9
8
am
2.2
9
am
2.6
10
am
2.8
11
am
3
12
pm
2.9
1
pm
2.7
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
2.2


Tide / Current for Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida
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Steinhatchee River ent.
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Mon -- 03:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:51 AM EDT     1.63 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:08 AM EDT     2.97 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:32 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.4
1
am
2.3
2
am
2.1
3
am
1.9
4
am
1.7
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.7
7
am
2
8
am
2.3
9
am
2.6
10
am
2.9
11
am
3
12
pm
2.9
1
pm
2.7
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
2.2


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Tallahassee, FL,




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