Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Glencoe, LA

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Next short wave to move down into the forecast area tonight into early Friday. Guidance has not done a good job lately depicting these features. There is a small cluster of storms over northeast Texas associated with it. CAMs basically have this feature falling apart before reaching the forecast area. However, with good instability, there is a decent chance that a convective feature will be able to make into at-least the northwest half of the forecast area tonight. Therefore, will go higher than what the NBM was showing for pops for central Louisiana and interior southeast Texas. If it holds together enough, then gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall can be expected.

Moist, unstable air mass will remain in place over the forecast area on Friday with remnants of short wave/convective feature moving across. Daytime heating should help initiate scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially north of the I-10 corridor.

An upper level ridge will finally start to build in on Saturday, ending any significant rain chances, with hot and humid conditions.

Rua

LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 323 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Southerly flow in the low levels will continue as a surface high over the western Atlantic ridges into the forecast area. This will continue to bring in Gulf moisture. However, an upper level ridge over northern Old Mexico is expected to build over the forecast area by Sunday and remain over the forecast area through the period.

Therefore, limited, if any, shower activity is expected.
It will feel almost summer like with hot and humid conditions.

Rua

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)

Main concern this evening is MCS thunderstorm cluster holding strong over East Texas, moving east-southeast around 20-22 kts.
Short term guidance shows this weakening as it approaches the area. However, guidance has been off lately, and climatology, as well as the recent Mesoscale Discussion from the Storm Prediction Center, suggests this feature could hold strong this evening when it approaches BPT/AEX/LCH. Thus, have left VCTS for these sites, and placed a TEMPO group for TSRA from 02-06z for BPT, and 03-07z for AEX/LCH. Left LFT/ARA out of this complex, and will address this later if needed. Thereafter, MVFR ceilings and visibilities expected overnight at all sites, with improvement by 15z Friday.
Higher chances for SHRA/TSRA for AEX by 18z Friday warranted a PROB30 group during the afternoon, otherwise VCTS was sufficient for BPT/LCH/LFT/ARA with the lower chances.

08/DML

MARINE
Issued at 320 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Surface high pressure centered off the east coast and over the Western Atlantic will ridge across into the forecast area over the next several days. This will continue a light to modest south to southeast flow with low seas into the weekend and early next week.

Rua

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 66 84 65 86 / 40 50 0 10 LCH 70 84 68 86 / 10 30 0 10 LFT 69 84 67 86 / 10 30 0 10 BPT 71 85 68 86 / 20 20 0 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.