Monday, October14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Glencoe, LA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 6:39PM Monday October 14, 2019 8:43 PM CDT (01:43 UTC) Moonrise 6:28PMMoonset 6:41AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ435 Vermilion Bay- 310 Pm Cdt Mon Oct 14 2019
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 310 Pm Cdt Mon Oct 14 2019
Synopsis.. A light to moderate onshore flow, along with scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms, can be expected through Wednesday. A cold front will move through the coastal waters by Wednesday afternoon, bringing elevated seas with the moderate offshore flow, and lowering of the precipitation chances.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Glencoe, LA
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location: 29.73, -91.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 150009
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
709 pm cdt Mon oct 14 2019

Discussion
For 00z TAF issuance.

Aviation
Local 88ds show plenty of mainly light showers ongoing across the
forecast area although a diminishing trend appears to have
begun... Have mainly initiated for rain across all sites for the
first hour or so, followed by a period of vcsh for any lingering
activity which is progged to gradually end by later this evening.

Thereafter, expect ifr conditions or possibly lower to dominate
through the night. Latest high res runs in relative agreement that
spotty convection will begin to develop impact the sern terminals
prior to sunrise, then gradually increase in coverage while
spreading over the remainder of the area through the day.

25

Prev discussion issued 330 pm cdt Mon oct 14 2019
discussion...

wx map shows warm front now just north of jasper, tx and approaching
leesville & alexandria, la this afternoon. South of the warm
front, warmer temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s, and a
return to dewpoints ranging from the lower to upper 70s. Radar
showing the first area of moderate showers across central and
south central louisiana. Additional showers and isolated thunderstorms
has developed in the warmer sector across southeast texas where
the mid to upper 70s dewpoints readings were noted. A marginal
risk of flash flooding continues for southeast texas and central
louisiana. As the front lifts further north and the first upper
level disturbance moves east, precipitation expected to lift north
and diminish over our region for the time being.

The active subtropical jet will continue to bring increased
chances of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon through
Wednesday morning. This next disturbance will consist of a
slightly sharper shortwave approaching the region across texas,
coupled with remnants of an east pacific tropical disturbance, and
approaching cold front. Thus, precipitation chances will increase
significantly across inland southeast texas and central louisiana
Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. The threat of heavy
rain will continue for this region into early Wednesday morning as
the cold front pushes southward. For Tuesday night into early
Wednesday, a marginal risk of excessive precipitation, mainly
north of the i-10 corridor, with the edge of the slight risk on
Wednesday across the far northern parishes and counties of central
louisiana and inland southeast texas.

Once the cold front clears the area Wednesday afternoon, cooler
and drier air, and the end of the precipitation expected through
Friday. Clearing skies could be questionable as the subtropical
jet remains fairly active across the gulf.

By late Friday into Saturday, the front is expected to lift back
north, along with increased moisture and lift from a tropical wave
over the western gulf. This will increase chances of precipitation
during this time. Still early for exact specifics on where the
best chances of precipitation will occur.

Dml
marine...

onshore winds ~ 10-15 knots and seas 1-3 feet, along with
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, can be expected
through Wednesday. A cold front will move through the coastal
waters by Wednesday afternoon, bringing moderate offshore flow
around 15-20 knots and seas 3-5 feet possible by Wednesday night
into early Thursday morning. Lowering of the precipitation
chances will occur, with slight chances lingering across the
20-60nm zones as the front becomes stationary.

Dml

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 65 84 61 72 40 80 80 20
lch 73 87 71 77 20 40 80 50
lft 71 88 69 78 20 50 80 50
bpt 74 86 71 76 20 40 80 50

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TESL1 - Tesoro Marine Terminal - 8764044 - Berwick, LA 26 mi55 min ENE 9.9 G 12 74°F 77°F1016.6 hPa
MRSL1 - Marsh Island, LA / CSI03 27 mi103 min 14 G 16 77°F
AMRL1 - 8764227 - Amerada Pass, LA 28 mi55 min ENE 6 G 8.9 74°F 80°F1016.3 hPa
EINL1 30 mi55 min E 14 G 16 77°F 79°F1016.1 hPa74°F
FRWL1 - 8766072 - Fresh Water Canal Locks, LA 33 mi55 min NE 7 G 11 73°F 77°F1016 hPa
KSCF 43 mi28 min ENE 17 79°F 75°F

Wind History for Tesoro Marine Terminal, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Patterson Memorial, LA21 mi47 minENE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F72°F94%1016.9 hPa
Acadiana Regional Airport, LA22 mi50 minENE 510.00 miFair72°F72°F100%1016.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KP92

Wind History from P92 (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Cote Blanche Island, West Cote Blanche Bay, Louisiana
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Cote Blanche Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:05 AM CDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM CDT     1.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:07 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:41 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:11 PM CDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:20 PM CDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.111.11.21.31.41.51.61.51.41.10.90.80.70.70.811.21.41.61.71.71.61.4

Tide / Current Tables for Weeks Bay, Vermilion Bay, Louisiana
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Weeks Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:21 AM CDT     1.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM CDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:08 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:41 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:27 PM CDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:45 PM CDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.11.11.21.41.51.71.61.61.41.210.80.70.70.91.11.31.61.81.81.71.61.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.