Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lake Arthur, LA
November 5, 2024 10:47 PM CST (04:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:29 AM Sunset 5:23 PM Moonrise 10:25 AM Moonset 8:21 PM |
GMZ452 Coastal Waters From Intracoastal City To Cameron La Out 20 Nm- 937 Pm Cst Tue Nov 5 2024
Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers.
Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning.
Wednesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds.
Thursday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds.
Thursday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds.
Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds and south 1 foot at 12 seconds. A slight chance of showers early in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.
Friday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday - Tropical storm conditions possible. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Tropical storm conditions possible. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday - Tropical storm conditions possible. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 937 Pm Cst Tue Nov 5 2024
Synopsis - Winds and seas will continue to subside as the pressure gradient relaxes overnight. Showers and storms chances will remain elevated through Wednesday as a cool front stalls over the region, with rain chances diminishing for Thursday and Friday. Tropical cyclone rafael has recently strengthened to a hurricane as it crosses the northwestern caribbean sea, and is expected to move into the southeast gulf of mexico by Thursday. Uncertainty on track and intensity continues thereafter for the weekend. For the latest information, visit the national hurricane center website at www.nhc.noaa.gov.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Mermentau River entrance Click for Map Tue -- 06:29 AM CST Sunrise Tue -- 10:26 AM CST Moonrise Tue -- 10:52 AM CST 0.11 feet Low Tide Tue -- 05:22 PM CST Sunset Tue -- 07:55 PM CST 3.20 feet High Tide Tue -- 08:23 PM CST Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Mermentau River entrance, Louisiana, Tide feet
12 am |
3 |
1 am |
3 |
2 am |
2.9 |
3 am |
2.7 |
4 am |
2.5 |
5 am |
2.1 |
6 am |
1.7 |
7 am |
1.3 |
8 am |
0.8 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.1 |
12 pm |
0.3 |
1 pm |
0.6 |
2 pm |
1.1 |
3 pm |
1.6 |
4 pm |
2.2 |
5 pm |
2.7 |
6 pm |
3 |
7 pm |
3.2 |
8 pm |
3.2 |
9 pm |
3.2 |
10 pm |
3.2 |
11 pm |
3.2 |
Calcasieu Pass Click for Map Tue -- 01:47 AM CST 1.61 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:30 AM CST Sunrise Tue -- 10:27 AM CST Moonrise Tue -- 10:28 AM CST -0.38 feet Low Tide Tue -- 05:23 PM CST Sunset Tue -- 07:11 PM CST 2.05 feet High Tide Tue -- 08:23 PM CST Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana, Tide feet
12 am |
1.6 |
1 am |
1.6 |
2 am |
1.6 |
3 am |
1.6 |
4 am |
1.4 |
5 am |
1.2 |
6 am |
0.9 |
7 am |
0.5 |
8 am |
0.1 |
9 am |
-0.2 |
10 am |
-0.4 |
11 am |
-0.4 |
12 pm |
-0.2 |
1 pm |
0.2 |
2 pm |
0.6 |
3 pm |
1 |
4 pm |
1.4 |
5 pm |
1.8 |
6 pm |
2 |
7 pm |
2 |
8 pm |
2 |
9 pm |
1.9 |
10 pm |
1.8 |
11 pm |
1.7 |
Area Discussion for Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 060405 AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1005 PM CST Tue Nov 5 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 948 PM CST Tue Nov 5 2024
KLCH and KPOE radars continue to show bands of scattered showers moving northeast across the area this evening, along and ahead of a frontal boundary that extends from Toledo Bend Reservoir to Beaumont. The latest CAM guidance shows this pattern will continue overnight amid decent moisture transport ahead of the front, with perhaps some enhancement of convection late tonight into Wednesday morning. Made some slight adjustments to PoPs for tonight to reflect latest radar obs and expected trends.
Otherwise, some tweaks to hourly T/Td/Wind grids were made to reflect evening observations, but inherited forecast grids continue to be on track. Overnight lows will again be unusually warm, nearly 20 degrees above seasonal normals across the eastern half of the area. Further west, behind the front, lows are expected to fall into the lower 60s (and possibly the upper 50s in a few isolated spots).
24
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Wx map shows cool front extending from Alexandria to just west of Lake Charles, LA. Radar showing the majority of the showers with a few claps of thunder along the frontal boundary. Temperatures vary this afternoon, in the mid 80s outside the rain areas, mainly upper 70s to lower 80s elsewhere. Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall and severe weather continues across Central and Southern Louisiana, mainly for this afternoon and evening along the slowing cool front. Chances of intermittent showers remain through Wednesday morning. Diminished precipitation chances expected by Wednesday afternoon through Thursday as the main shortwave energy lifts northeast of the area. The weak frontal boundary not expected to bring any significantly cooler air, as temperatures expected to remain above normal.
08/DML
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Monday)
The upper air pattern expected to transition as the mid to upper ridge over the Southeast U.S. flattens with the broadening mid to upper trough. The future of Tropical Cyclone Rafael still remains highly uncertain, as wind shear and drier air likely to begin weakening the system. Otherwise, perturbations in the upper level trough likely to bring at least a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. No frontal system expected, so above normal temperatures will continue.
08/DML
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 557 PM CST Tue Nov 5 2024
A band of scattered SHRA extends from near Cameron to Effie with more isolated SHRA elsewhere. Skies are mostly VFR across the area, with intermittent MVFR cigs beginning to form near the Acadiana terminals. Isolated to scattered showers will be ongoing through the night and into the day Wednesday, but confidence in timing is too low to warrant anything more than VC mention at any particular site. Cigs will continue to lower this evening and overnight, reaching low MVFR/IFR levels by 07-09Z, with some patchy fog reducing vsbys to MVFR at times. Cigs will gradually improve through the day, potentially becoming VFR during the afternoon. Winds will generally stay below 10 KT through the period, remaining southeasterly at LFT/ARA and more variable at the other airports.
24
MARINE
Winds and seas will continue to subside as the pressure gradient relaxes this evening and overnight. A cool front approaching the coastal waters is expected to stall overnight into Wednesday, keeping chances of showers and thunderstorms. Expect diminished chances of showers and thunderstorms for Thursday and Friday.
Tropical Storm Rafael across the Northwestern Caribbean Sea is expected to move northwest and enter the Southeast Gulf of Mexico by Thursday afternoon as a hurricane. Uncertainty on track and intensity continues thereafter for the weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 65 79 65 82 / 70 40 20 20 LCH 68 82 69 85 / 60 30 10 10 LFT 73 85 70 86 / 40 30 0 10 BPT 66 81 70 84 / 30 10 10 10
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1005 PM CST Tue Nov 5 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 948 PM CST Tue Nov 5 2024
KLCH and KPOE radars continue to show bands of scattered showers moving northeast across the area this evening, along and ahead of a frontal boundary that extends from Toledo Bend Reservoir to Beaumont. The latest CAM guidance shows this pattern will continue overnight amid decent moisture transport ahead of the front, with perhaps some enhancement of convection late tonight into Wednesday morning. Made some slight adjustments to PoPs for tonight to reflect latest radar obs and expected trends.
Otherwise, some tweaks to hourly T/Td/Wind grids were made to reflect evening observations, but inherited forecast grids continue to be on track. Overnight lows will again be unusually warm, nearly 20 degrees above seasonal normals across the eastern half of the area. Further west, behind the front, lows are expected to fall into the lower 60s (and possibly the upper 50s in a few isolated spots).
24
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Wx map shows cool front extending from Alexandria to just west of Lake Charles, LA. Radar showing the majority of the showers with a few claps of thunder along the frontal boundary. Temperatures vary this afternoon, in the mid 80s outside the rain areas, mainly upper 70s to lower 80s elsewhere. Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall and severe weather continues across Central and Southern Louisiana, mainly for this afternoon and evening along the slowing cool front. Chances of intermittent showers remain through Wednesday morning. Diminished precipitation chances expected by Wednesday afternoon through Thursday as the main shortwave energy lifts northeast of the area. The weak frontal boundary not expected to bring any significantly cooler air, as temperatures expected to remain above normal.
08/DML
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Monday)
The upper air pattern expected to transition as the mid to upper ridge over the Southeast U.S. flattens with the broadening mid to upper trough. The future of Tropical Cyclone Rafael still remains highly uncertain, as wind shear and drier air likely to begin weakening the system. Otherwise, perturbations in the upper level trough likely to bring at least a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. No frontal system expected, so above normal temperatures will continue.
08/DML
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 557 PM CST Tue Nov 5 2024
A band of scattered SHRA extends from near Cameron to Effie with more isolated SHRA elsewhere. Skies are mostly VFR across the area, with intermittent MVFR cigs beginning to form near the Acadiana terminals. Isolated to scattered showers will be ongoing through the night and into the day Wednesday, but confidence in timing is too low to warrant anything more than VC mention at any particular site. Cigs will continue to lower this evening and overnight, reaching low MVFR/IFR levels by 07-09Z, with some patchy fog reducing vsbys to MVFR at times. Cigs will gradually improve through the day, potentially becoming VFR during the afternoon. Winds will generally stay below 10 KT through the period, remaining southeasterly at LFT/ARA and more variable at the other airports.
24
MARINE
Winds and seas will continue to subside as the pressure gradient relaxes this evening and overnight. A cool front approaching the coastal waters is expected to stall overnight into Wednesday, keeping chances of showers and thunderstorms. Expect diminished chances of showers and thunderstorms for Thursday and Friday.
Tropical Storm Rafael across the Northwestern Caribbean Sea is expected to move northwest and enter the Southeast Gulf of Mexico by Thursday afternoon as a hurricane. Uncertainty on track and intensity continues thereafter for the weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 65 79 65 82 / 70 40 20 20 LCH 68 82 69 85 / 60 30 10 10 LFT 73 85 70 86 / 40 30 0 10 BPT 66 81 70 84 / 30 10 10 10
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA | 28 mi | 47 min | S 11G | 79°F | 78°F | 29.85 | ||
FRWL1 - 8766072 - Fresh Water Canal Locks, LA | 30 mi | 47 min | SE 12G | 79°F | 80°F | 30.00 | ||
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA | 40 mi | 47 min | 76°F | 78°F | 29.88 | |||
BKTL1 | 41 mi | 47 min | 85°F | |||||
42091 | 47 mi | 21 min | 78°F | 5 ft |
Wind History for Calcasieu Pass, LA
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KCMB
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KCMB
Wind History Graph: CMB
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley
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Lake Charles, LA,
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