Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bell, FL
November 28, 2023 6:22 PM EST (23:22 UTC)
Sunrise 7:03AM Sunset 5:31PM Moonrise 6:33PM Moonset 8:28AM
GMZ765 Expires:202311290300;;557772 Fzus52 Ktae 281907 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 207 pm est Tue nov 28 2023
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-755-765-775-290300- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 207 pm est Tue nov 28 2023
This afternoon..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds after midnight. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of rain after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of rain. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 207 pm est Tue nov 28 2023
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-755-765-775-290300- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 207 pm est Tue nov 28 2023
This afternoon..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds after midnight. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of rain after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of rain. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 207 Pm Est Tue Nov 28 2023
Synopsis..
a brief increase in northerly winds over area waters tonight will lead to cautionary conditions across our western waters. High pressure moves in through the next 2 days which will keep winds and seas low. The next storm system comes in by Friday with winds becoming easterly and southeasterly by Thursday afternoon. Winds increase and become south and southwesterly over the weekend with widespread showers and storms expected into the weekend. Advisory level conditions are likely during this time, especially on Friday.
Synopsis..
a brief increase in northerly winds over area waters tonight will lead to cautionary conditions across our western waters. High pressure moves in through the next 2 days which will keep winds and seas low. The next storm system comes in by Friday with winds becoming easterly and southeasterly by Thursday afternoon. Winds increase and become south and southwesterly over the weekend with widespread showers and storms expected into the weekend. Advisory level conditions are likely during this time, especially on Friday.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 281911 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 211 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Tonight: With the high clouds holding temps below guidance today, then clearing taking place just as radiational cooling begins tonight, along with diminishing winds through the night towards sunrise Wednesday morning, have tweaked the ongoing Freeze/Frost headlines further southward in anticipation of Min Temp guidance likely to come in slightly lower by a degree or two. So have higher confidence in Freeze taking place by sunrise Wednesday morning from BQK-JAX-GNV with lows in the lower 30s, while most locations in previous Freeze Warning will still fall into the upper 20s across inland SE GA and the Suwannee Valley of inland North FL (Lake City/Live Oak vicinity). Have expanded the Frost Advisory down along the I-95 corridor from Brunswick/Jacksonville and down the US 17 corridor from Orange Park to Palatka and into the Ocala Metro area, where temps of 33F to 36F are expected along with light enough winds around sunrise Wednesday morning to support at least Areas of Frost formation, along with enough low level moisture from this weekend's rainfall to help with moisture for Frost formation. Also, a factor in the expansion is the slightly earlier than usual timing of this Frost/Freeze event...
Average First Freeze (Low Temp of <=32F) Date...
Jacksonville is December 8th and Gainesville is December 4th
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
High pressure slowly plants itself almost directly over northern portions of the area during the day Wednesday, resulting in a pleasant but cool late fall day as temps remain below average in the 50s to north and near to slightly above 60 south. Skies will be mainly sunny, though some high clouds will begin to bleed in from the west late in the day towards sunset.
With the high almost directly overhead Wednesday Night and therefore lighter winds compared to Tuesday Night, another cold night looks to be in store Wednesday Night and into Thursday Morning. Somewhat similar to Tuesday Night, some high clouds may be an inhibiting factor for some locations to drop too significantly. However, that being said, the cool airmass in place combined with lighter winds will still result in widespread frost and possible freeze conditions over interior areas. Currently have a Freeze Watch in place away from the coasts and St. Johns River, which may need to be extended pending trends through Wednesday. At this time, a frost advisory looks to be likely in areas outside of the current watch for Wednesday Night, to be evaluated again Wednesday...
High pressure will shift offshore on Thursday, bring us more of a southeasterly flow throughout the day. This will gradually increase our surface moisture as well as rebounding our high temps closer to average. Expect to have more mid and high clouds present Thursday, though we will remain dry as our next weather maker takes shape to our west. With above said, also expect warmer overnight lows Thursday Night with the shift in flow and warm air advection, and therefore any frost or freeze unlikely.
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Chances for showers and perhaps some isolated thunder increases Friday and into the weekend, as pieces of energy aloft from both the Polar and Subtropical Jets stream from southwest to northeast and impact our area. Guidance is generally in agreement of a weakening front approaching our area for Friday before the Polar and Subtropical Jets phase together just to the north, with several upper impulses moving southwest to northeast along the nearly stationary boundary. This will essentially result in periods of showers with some embedded thunder throughout the weekend, and perhaps even into early next week before a "kicker" upper trough swings across the eastern US and pushes the stalled boundary through the area. There is certainly timing position discrepancies amongst guidance, though the general consensus is for an unsettled pattern for most of this period before drying out behind the front sometime Monday or Tuesday. Temps trend slightly above average for this period with the flow regime both near the surface and aloft.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
VFR with high clouds at the moment with NW flow around 10 knots with coastal TAF sites gusting to 17-18 knots. High cloud shield still on track to shift southward enough to allow SKC at SSI, and just FEW-SCT 250 at NE FL TAF sites tonight through the end of the TAF period with light NW winds at 6 knots or less.
MARINE
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
A ridge of high pressure over area waters will weaken through Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure passes just north of the area and offshore. A cold front will approach the area on Friday, stalling in the vicinity of waters through the weekend and into Monday as well. This will result in an active pattern through this time frame, with periods of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms. The front moves through area waters by Monday Night and through Tuesday.
Rip Currents: Rip current risk decreases to low tonight and Wednesday with high pressure in the vicinity.
CLIMATE
Issued at 847 PM EST Mon Nov 27 2023
Record low temperatures at our designated climate sites on Wednesday and Thursday mornings:
Nov 29 Nov 30 ---------------------- Jacksonville 30 (1959) 26 (1959)
Gainesville 28 (1959) 22 (1959)
Alma, GA 22 (1938) 22 (1955)
Craig Airport 34 (1988) 32 (1979)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 28 54 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 37 56 37 65 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 32 57 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 39 58 40 69 / 0 0 0 0 GNV 32 58 33 68 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 34 60 34 70 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ020-021- 023-024-030-031-035-122-136-222-225-232-236-425.
Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for FLZ020-021-023-024-030-031-035-122-136-222-225-232-236- 425.
Frost Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ033-124- 125-132-137-140-237-240-325-340.
GA...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ132>136- 149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for GAZ132>136-149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
Frost Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ154-166.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 211 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Tonight: With the high clouds holding temps below guidance today, then clearing taking place just as radiational cooling begins tonight, along with diminishing winds through the night towards sunrise Wednesday morning, have tweaked the ongoing Freeze/Frost headlines further southward in anticipation of Min Temp guidance likely to come in slightly lower by a degree or two. So have higher confidence in Freeze taking place by sunrise Wednesday morning from BQK-JAX-GNV with lows in the lower 30s, while most locations in previous Freeze Warning will still fall into the upper 20s across inland SE GA and the Suwannee Valley of inland North FL (Lake City/Live Oak vicinity). Have expanded the Frost Advisory down along the I-95 corridor from Brunswick/Jacksonville and down the US 17 corridor from Orange Park to Palatka and into the Ocala Metro area, where temps of 33F to 36F are expected along with light enough winds around sunrise Wednesday morning to support at least Areas of Frost formation, along with enough low level moisture from this weekend's rainfall to help with moisture for Frost formation. Also, a factor in the expansion is the slightly earlier than usual timing of this Frost/Freeze event...
Average First Freeze (Low Temp of <=32F) Date...
Jacksonville is December 8th and Gainesville is December 4th
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
High pressure slowly plants itself almost directly over northern portions of the area during the day Wednesday, resulting in a pleasant but cool late fall day as temps remain below average in the 50s to north and near to slightly above 60 south. Skies will be mainly sunny, though some high clouds will begin to bleed in from the west late in the day towards sunset.
With the high almost directly overhead Wednesday Night and therefore lighter winds compared to Tuesday Night, another cold night looks to be in store Wednesday Night and into Thursday Morning. Somewhat similar to Tuesday Night, some high clouds may be an inhibiting factor for some locations to drop too significantly. However, that being said, the cool airmass in place combined with lighter winds will still result in widespread frost and possible freeze conditions over interior areas. Currently have a Freeze Watch in place away from the coasts and St. Johns River, which may need to be extended pending trends through Wednesday. At this time, a frost advisory looks to be likely in areas outside of the current watch for Wednesday Night, to be evaluated again Wednesday...
High pressure will shift offshore on Thursday, bring us more of a southeasterly flow throughout the day. This will gradually increase our surface moisture as well as rebounding our high temps closer to average. Expect to have more mid and high clouds present Thursday, though we will remain dry as our next weather maker takes shape to our west. With above said, also expect warmer overnight lows Thursday Night with the shift in flow and warm air advection, and therefore any frost or freeze unlikely.
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Chances for showers and perhaps some isolated thunder increases Friday and into the weekend, as pieces of energy aloft from both the Polar and Subtropical Jets stream from southwest to northeast and impact our area. Guidance is generally in agreement of a weakening front approaching our area for Friday before the Polar and Subtropical Jets phase together just to the north, with several upper impulses moving southwest to northeast along the nearly stationary boundary. This will essentially result in periods of showers with some embedded thunder throughout the weekend, and perhaps even into early next week before a "kicker" upper trough swings across the eastern US and pushes the stalled boundary through the area. There is certainly timing position discrepancies amongst guidance, though the general consensus is for an unsettled pattern for most of this period before drying out behind the front sometime Monday or Tuesday. Temps trend slightly above average for this period with the flow regime both near the surface and aloft.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
VFR with high clouds at the moment with NW flow around 10 knots with coastal TAF sites gusting to 17-18 knots. High cloud shield still on track to shift southward enough to allow SKC at SSI, and just FEW-SCT 250 at NE FL TAF sites tonight through the end of the TAF period with light NW winds at 6 knots or less.
MARINE
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
A ridge of high pressure over area waters will weaken through Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure passes just north of the area and offshore. A cold front will approach the area on Friday, stalling in the vicinity of waters through the weekend and into Monday as well. This will result in an active pattern through this time frame, with periods of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms. The front moves through area waters by Monday Night and through Tuesday.
Rip Currents: Rip current risk decreases to low tonight and Wednesday with high pressure in the vicinity.
CLIMATE
Issued at 847 PM EST Mon Nov 27 2023
Record low temperatures at our designated climate sites on Wednesday and Thursday mornings:
Nov 29 Nov 30 ---------------------- Jacksonville 30 (1959) 26 (1959)
Gainesville 28 (1959) 22 (1959)
Alma, GA 22 (1938) 22 (1955)
Craig Airport 34 (1988) 32 (1979)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 28 54 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 37 56 37 65 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 32 57 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 39 58 40 69 / 0 0 0 0 GNV 32 58 33 68 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 34 60 34 70 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ020-021- 023-024-030-031-035-122-136-222-225-232-236-425.
Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for FLZ020-021-023-024-030-031-035-122-136-222-225-232-236- 425.
Frost Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ033-124- 125-132-137-140-237-240-325-340.
GA...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ132>136- 149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for GAZ132>136-149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
Frost Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ154-166.
AM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCTY CROSS CITY,FL | 15 sm | 27 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 37°F | 66% | 30.21 |
Wind History from CTY
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida
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Steinhatchee River ent.
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:02 AM EST 3.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 08:30 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 08:38 AM EST -0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:03 PM EST 2.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 06:35 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 08:07 PM EST 1.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:02 AM EST 3.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 08:30 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 08:38 AM EST -0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:03 PM EST 2.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 06:35 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 08:07 PM EST 1.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.3 |
| 1 am |
| 3.5 |
| 2 am |
| 3.3 |
| 3 am |
| 2.9 |
| 4 am |
| 2.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1.3 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| -0.3 |
| 8 am |
| -0.7 |
| 9 am |
| -0.7 |
| 10 am |
| -0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.5 |
Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:57 AM EST 3.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 08:29 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 08:33 AM EST -0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:58 PM EST 2.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 06:36 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 08:02 PM EST 1.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:57 AM EST 3.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST Sunrise
Tue -- 08:29 AM EST Moonset
Tue -- 08:33 AM EST -0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:58 PM EST 2.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Tue -- 06:36 PM EST Moonrise
Tue -- 08:02 PM EST 1.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Pepperfish Keys, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.3 |
| 1 am |
| 3.4 |
| 2 am |
| 3.3 |
| 3 am |
| 2.8 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 1.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.3 |
| 7 am |
| -0.3 |
| 8 am |
| -0.7 |
| 9 am |
| -0.7 |
| 10 am |
| -0.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 2 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.5 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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