Hunters Creek Village, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hunters Creek Village, TX

June 18, 2024 3:15 AM CDT (08:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:20 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 4:31 PM   Moonset 2:29 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 1037 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning - .

Tonight - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers early in the morning, then showers in the late morning and afternoon.

Tuesday night - East winds near 25 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.

Wednesday - East winds near 25 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Bay waters rough. Thunderstorms likely in the evening. Showers. A chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Thursday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely.

Thursday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, easing to around 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters choppy, easing to slightly choppy after midnight. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely early in the evening, then a chance of showers in the late evening and overnight.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming east around 10 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy, easing to smooth after midnight. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening.

Saturday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon.

Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 1037 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern gulf of mexico will bring unsettled weather to the gulf waters through much of this week. Look for increasing winds, seas, and water levels across the upper texas coastal waters over the next few days. With the exception of galveston bay, a tropical storm watch is in effect due to the broad. Even though the center of the potential storm should remain well to our south, an expansive wind field stretches well north of this system. Small craft advisory remains in effect for galveston bay, but some gusts above 30 knots are possible at times. Water levels will be rising and would anticipate some coastal flooding in the bays and along the beaches. Small craft should consider remaining in port until weather conditions start improving later this week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hunters Creek Village, TX
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Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 180538 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1238 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 952 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

No significant changes were made to the forecast tonight...mainly updating short term POPs based on observed trends. TS Watches will remain in place in our coastal waters, except Galveston Bay. There are no land based TS Watches in our CWA ..just locations south of Port O'Conner. Still anticipate breezy/windy conditions esp as one gets closer to the beaches, but sustained chances of TS force winds appear quite low over the land at the moment.

This system is still very broad and unorganized without a clearly defined low. Wind field is fairly expansive with 20-40kt winds displaced well to the north in the Gulf.

Main take aways at this time: look for water to pile up along the coast with a fairly good chance of coastal flood impacts - including the bays. Very hazardous marine conditions with large waves will be in place. Small craft should consider remaining in port til things settle down. Look for rain chances to gradually increase through the day tomorrow...and moreso tomorrow night and Wednesday as we get into the real juicy tropical airmass. There will probably be "haves" and "have nots" in regards to rainfall amounts with a fairly significant zone that might set up somewhere in the region. Right now, looking like that might occur somewhere along/south of the I-10 corridor...but confidence isn't overly high given the overall unorganized nature we currently have. Like most of these events, it'll be important to see if/where any training bands set up. This, and any very efficient rain rates, will pose the higher FF threats. 47

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

We continue to closely monitor the development of a tropical disturbance in the Western Gulf of Mexico, which will be the main driver of a prolonged period of rainfall that will impact SE TX over the next several days. As of the writing of this discussion, the National Hurricane Center is assessing the system for a potential designation as a depression and/or tropical storm.
Regardless of this designation, however, we anticipate impacts from both excessive rainfall and coastal flooding across portions of the area, particularly between Tuesday night and Wednesday. A Flash Flood Watch has been issues for portions of the area, taking effect at 7 PM tomorrow and remaining in effect through late Wednesday night.

Synoptic conditions leading into this event will be highly conducive for periods of heavy rainfall, which at this time will likely be concentrated roughly along and south of the I-10 corridor. Global deterministic models continue to depict the west/northwestward progress of the aforementioned surface low, which, over the course of the next 48 hours, will push into the Coastal Bend region to our SW. Given the presence of the low, as well as a robust surface high over the NE CONUS and a developing lee cyclone in the Central Plains, a strong onshore-oriented pressure gradient will allow for a deep plume of Gulf moisture to push onshore. Global models show abundant moisture availability by tomorrow, with total PW values reaching as high as 2.75 inches by the evening. With the approach of the disturbance and associated strong midlevel PVA, we expect scattered showers and storms to become widespread by Tuesday afternoon, with the potential heavier bands of rainfall to develop later in the day.
Locally heavy rain may lead to flash flooding in the locations where the heaviest bands of rainfall develop, with the highest potential concentrated around the Matagorda Bay region.
Additionally, this prolonged period of rainfall will pose a hydrologic concern, with rises along area creeks, streams, rivers, and bayous potentially leading to additional instances of flooding. Initial rainfall totals through Tuesday evening may reach as high as 3-4 inches along the immediate coast (see Long Term section for additional information on rainfall totals).

While winds do not post a primary concern with this system, the aforementioned gradient winds will produce some gusts in excess of 30 mph across portions of the area. This will lead to the onset of coastal flooding along the barrier islands, potentially impacting coastal roadways like Hwy 87. As such, a Coastal Flood Warning has been issued through Wednesday (see Marine Section Below).

Cady/Ellis

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

The broad low over the West/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico, in conjunction with deep moisture, will bring thunderstorms and heavy rainfall to SE Texas through mid week. WPC has a Moderate (level 3/4) to Slight (level 2/4) Risk of excessive rainfall across portions of SE Texas on Wednesday. The swath of heavier precipitation should shifts further west on Wednesday, with areas south of I-10 most at risk for heavy rains and flooding (denoted by the Moderate Risk area). This includes the Houston Metro area, with urban locations such as these already prone to flooding due to poor drainage. These areas could see rainfall totals reach 5-8 inches through early Thursday, with isolated higher amounts possible. Areas to the north will generally receive 2-4 inches during this same period. A Flood Watch will remain in effect across portions of SE Texas until 1 AM Thursday. This rainfall will likely result in rises in rivers, streams, creeks and bayous. The main swath of heavy rainfall may vary greatly depending on the path of the aforementioned low pressure system. Keep a close eye on the forecast and make sure to have multiple ways of receiving warnings.

Additionally, near Tropical Storm force winds and a long fetch over the Gulf will result in minor to moderate coastal flooding across the Texas coastline through early Thursday. Tide levels will rise by an additional 3 to 4 feet, with coastal locations from High Island to Freeport seeing the greatest impacts from coastal flooding. These locations will be under a Coastal Flood Warning until Thursday, while areas near Matagorda bay will remain under a Coastal Flood Watch for that same time frame.
Numerous coastal roads may be flooded as a result. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure may be inundated in these coastal locations.

The heavy rainfall threat diminishes on Thursday as the aforementioned system tracks into Mexico and dissipates. Minor coastal flooding/inundation could linger until late Thursday evening. Lighter showers/storms continue daily into the weekend as an upper level low traverses through the Gulf of Mexico. Ridging aloft still tries to keep that next disturbance restricted to the Southern Gulf, and it's current impacts to SE Texas look minimal.

03

AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

VFR conditions with breezy southeasterly winds and isolated showers will prevail through sunrise. The potential for scattered showers will continue through the day, with some bands of thunderstorms beginning to move through the area during the afternoon (generally around 17-22z) bringing temporary periods of MVFR conditions due to CIGs down to 1500-2500ft and visibility reductions due to heavy rainfall. There will be a lull in the thunderstorm activity during the late afternoon/evening, but widespread moderate to heavy showers with embedded thunderstorms will slide into SE Texas from the coast during the overnight hours between Tuesday and Wednesday, continuing into the day on Wednesday. Gusty winds up to around 20-25kt inland, and up to 30-35kt along the coast (impacting mostly GLS) will begin to pick up this afternoon and continue through Wednesday.

Fowler

MARINE
Issued at 422 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A potential Tropical Cyclone will bring numerous thunderstorms, strong winds and high seas across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through early Thursday. Tropical Storm Watches and Small Craft Advisories are in effect. Winds of 20-30 knots with gusts up to 35-45 knots are expected through early Thursday. Tropical Storm Force winds are possible. Seas are expected to reach 10 to 15 feet at times. These strong onshore winds over a long fetch will also bring a high risk of rip currents. Tide levels rising by 3 to 4 feet will bring minor to moderate coastal flooding across the Texas coastline into late Thursday. Stay tuned over the next several days as we monitor this system. Conditions will begin to improve on Thursday as the aforementioned tropical disturbance dissipates over Mexico, with winds and seas falling below Small Craft criteria on Friday.

03

TROPICAL
Issued at 422 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A broad area of low pressure, now Potential Tropical Cyclone One, has developed over the Bay of Campeche. Recon aircraft has measured the strongest winds to be 30-35 knots, however, these strongest winds are well removed from the center of the storm, further northeast as models have suggested days prior. Even though this system is expected to track northwest into Mexico over the next few days, it's impacts will still be felt across portions of SE Texas. Heavy rainfall with totals of 5-8 inches expected with isolated higher amounts possible. Tide levels across the Texas coast should rise by an additional 3-4 feet, resulting in minor to moderate coastal flooding. Tropical Storm force winds will be possible across the nearshore waters from High island to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 60 NM, including Matagorda Bay.
Therefore, a Tropical Storm watch is in effect for these locations through Thursday morning.

03

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 74 82 75 90 / 30 60 30 20 Houston (IAH) 74 83 76 90 / 60 80 40 40 Galveston (GLS) 79 87 81 88 / 80 90 60 50

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch from this evening through late Wednesday night for TXZ197-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.

Coastal Flood Warning until 1 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ214-313- 335>338-436>439.

High Rip Current Risk through late Wednesday night for TXZ436>439.

GM...Tropical Storm Watch for GMZ330-350-355-370-375.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ335.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 11 mi46 minS 5.1G8.9 81°F 29.82
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 26 mi46 minESE 21G27 82°F 87°F29.83
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 35 mi46 minESE 21G27 84°F 85°F29.82
GRRT2 44 mi46 minESE 14G21 82°F 86°F29.80
GTOT2 47 mi46 minSE 9.9G15 83°F 89°F29.79
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 48 mi46 minSE 22G26 83°F 87°F29.80


Wind History for Manchester, TX
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: MCJ
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Tide / Current for Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas
   
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Lynchburg Landing
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Tue -- 01:14 AM CDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:27 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:24 AM CDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:23 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
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Clear Lake
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Tue -- 02:34 AM CDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:27 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:20 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:32 AM CDT     0.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:01 PM CDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:03 PM CDT     0.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Houston/Galveston, TX,




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