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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 307 Am Cst Sun Dec 10 2023
.small craft advisory in effect until noon cst today...
.low water advisory in effect until 3 pm cst this afternoon...
Today..North winds 20 to 30 knots with some higher gusts early this morning, gradually diminishing through the late morning and afternoon to 10 to 15 knots late in the day. Bay waters rough becoming slightly choppy late.
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Monday..East winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth, becoming slightly choppy in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.
Thursday night..East winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 307 Am Cst Sun Dec 10 2023
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
strong north winds in the wake of the front last night should begin diminishing during the late morning and afternoon hours today. Low water conditions can be expected in the bays today, especially around low tide times. Elevated seas will also trend downward but take a bit longer to subside offshore. High pressure moves overhead Sunday night followed by a return of southeast winds. Heading into the early and middle parts of the week, a long fetch of moderate east winds set up across the gulf which will cause building seas and above normal tides.

FXUS64 KHGX 100934 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 334 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday Night)
Issued at 334 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Clouds are gradually working their way to the coast and offshore this morning as dry air works its way in with the associated high pressure. Expect today to be much quieter than yesterday, with sunny skies and much cooler temperatures. Highs for today will be in the 50s area wide. Mostly clear to clear skies tonight will enhance radiational cooling, allowing temperatures to drop into the 30s across the area. A few locations further inland and in northern counties will likely get below freezing tonight. This may necessitate a Freeze Warning for locations that have yet to experience a widespread freeze; however, it is very borderline, and temperatures are not expected to stay below freezing for more than a couple of hours. In any case, protecting any vulnerable plants and pots would not be a bad idea for tonight.

Winds will be out of the NW this morning at 10-15 mph, with gusts of 25-30 mph for locations along and south of I-10. Highest winds remain along the coast, where a Wind Advisory is in place until 9 AM this morning. Winds will weaken significantly during the afternoon hours.

Onshore flow will return Monday afternoon, allowing moisture to return to the area once again. This will lead to a slight increase in cloud cover along the coast, however, most locations should experience partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies on Monday.
Temperatures will warm back into the 60s.

Adams

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 334 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Mostly seasonable conditions can be expected into Thursday for most inland locations with a broad area of high pressure situated to our east and a mostly dry ene low level flow in place. Exceptions might be along the coastal counties late Wednesday night and Thursday when an upper disturbance, currently situated west of Baja, tracks across Mexico and into the Gulf. Coastal areas might see the northern periphery of some sct shra situated offshore.

Guidance is pointing toward a deeper, more southeastward track of the next western upper trof...more in line with what was the outlier GFS was depicting yesterday at this time. Fairly good agreement with the global models taking the base of the trof thru the Desert Southwest toward the Big Bend area Friday, then off to the e/se Saturday afternoon. At the surface, would expect a coastal trof to develop off the coast as the upper trof approaches. Combination of increasing moisture and large scale lift cloudiness look to provide some fairly good rain (and maybe some elevated tstm) chances across the region Fri-Sat...eventually ending late Sat as the system passes and a drier airmass/front fills back in. 47

AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1041 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

Only a few SHRA left out there across coastal areas, and these should be east of the TAF sites before 6Z. Will see mid level clouds shift east overnight as well, with clear skies and breezy NW winds expected tomorrow. Will see N winds subside early eve tomorrow when mixing ceases.

Wood

MARINE
Issued at 334 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Winds have underperformed in the bays, so will be downgrading to a small craft advsy there. Speeds in the 25-40kt range and 10ft= seas are being observed offshore so will maintain the gale warning there, but will likely be able to transition to a small craft advsy after noon. Conditions should gradually begin improving this afternoon and tonight. Low water conditions can be expected in the bays today, especially around low tide times. High pressure moves overhead tonight followed by a return of southeast winds. Heading into the early and middle parts of the week, a long fetch of moderate east winds set up across the Gulf which will cause building seas and above normal tides. Periods of unsettled weather are possible in the offshore Gulf waters late Wednesday night into Thursday in association with a upper disturbance passing through. 47

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 56 32 62 40 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 58 35 62 43 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 58 44 62 55 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Wind Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ330-335.

Low Water Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for GMZ330-335.

Gale Warning until noon CST today for GMZ350-355-370-375.

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