Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hedwig Village, TX

November 29, 2023 5:34 AM CST (11:34 UTC)
Sunrise 6:56AM Sunset 5:23PM Moonrise 7:22PM Moonset 9:21AM
GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 313 Am Cst Wed Nov 29 2023
.small craft should exercise caution starting late tonight...
Today..East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots early. Bay waters smooth, becoming slightly choppy early.
Tonight..Southeast winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters becoming choppy. A chance of showers with isolated Thunderstorms after midnight. Showers likely with isolated Thunderstorms late.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms. Some Thunderstorms may be severe.
Thursday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southwest around 15 knots after midnight, then becoming west around 10 knots late. Bay waters choppy, becoming slightly choppy after midnight, then becoming smooth late. Showers with Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers.
Friday night..North winds around 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy. A chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night and Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Sunday night..South winds around 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
.small craft should exercise caution starting late tonight...
Today..East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots early. Bay waters smooth, becoming slightly choppy early.
Tonight..Southeast winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters becoming choppy. A chance of showers with isolated Thunderstorms after midnight. Showers likely with isolated Thunderstorms late.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms. Some Thunderstorms may be severe.
Thursday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southwest around 15 knots after midnight, then becoming west around 10 knots late. Bay waters choppy, becoming slightly choppy after midnight, then becoming smooth late. Showers with Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers.
Friday night..North winds around 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy. A chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night and Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Sunday night..South winds around 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 313 Am Cst Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
light east winds early this morning will become southeast and begin to strengthen as the day progresses. Increasing winds and building seas can be expected tonight through Thursday along with widespread showers and Thunderstorms. On Thursday, some Thunderstorms may be severe and wind gusts could approach gale force. A cold front is expected to push off the coast late Thursday night or early Friday resulting in a shift to north to northeast winds, but this front may stall offshore leading to periods of unsettled conditions lasting into the weekend. Gradually lowering seas can be expected beginning Thursday night.
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
light east winds early this morning will become southeast and begin to strengthen as the day progresses. Increasing winds and building seas can be expected tonight through Thursday along with widespread showers and Thunderstorms. On Thursday, some Thunderstorms may be severe and wind gusts could approach gale force. A cold front is expected to push off the coast late Thursday night or early Friday resulting in a shift to north to northeast winds, but this front may stall offshore leading to periods of unsettled conditions lasting into the weekend. Gradually lowering seas can be expected beginning Thursday night.

Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 291005 AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, CLIMATE
SYNOPSIS
Key Points:
1) Rain and thunderstorms are likely on Thursday.
2) A few thunderstorms may produce damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes.
3) Primary time frame of concern is late morning through the afternoon.
A strong mid/upper trough will bring a good chance of rain and thunderstorms to southeast Texas on Thursday. Some thunderstorms could be strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5) of severe weather for areas north of I-10 while areas farther south are under a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5).
The primary concerns with any strong to severe storm will be damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. Though the highest risk of severe weather will be during the late morning and afternoon hours, heavy showers and thunderstorms could occur as early as the morning commute on Thursday.
Self
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
Surface high pressure pushes east into the southeast CONUS today while an aggressive eastward propagating mid/upper trough over the southwest CONUS induces LL pressure falls over West Texas. The resulting tightening pressure gradient will be noticed via gradually increasing southeasterly winds. Most areas are expected to reach the mid/upper 60s. Some of you could hit 70F today. An overall benign weather day. Unfortunately, the benign weather does not last.
The aforementioned mid/upper trough is expected to become more negatively tilted tonight as its axis moves across New Mexico.
Meanwhile at the low-levels, Sfc-850mb winds increase further while becoming more SSE. This trajectory will support a surge of deep tropical moisture into SE Texas. Both HRRR ensemble and global ensemble means surge CWA wide PWs into the 1.40-1.70 inch range by Thursday morning. Weak shortwaves embedded in the WSW flow aloft will add lift to this increasingly moist environment, increasing the chance of scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms after midnight.
A strong mid/upper jet streak associated with the negative tilted trough will eject eastward across Texas on Thursday, inducing LL cyclogenesis over northwestern portions of the state. At the surface, this will equate to gusty SSE winds. But just above the surface at 850 mb, a strengthening low-level S to SSW jet will push eastward over southeast Texas. Ensemble means and forecast soundings show 850 mb winds increasing from the S to 30-40 knots by the 12-15Z time frame before increasing further from the SSW to 40-50 knots in the 16-20Z time frame. Meanwhile over northeast Mexico, lee side vorticity stretching to the east of the Sierra Madre will add additional shortwaves embedded in the mid/upper SW to WSW flow aloft, boosting lift even further. With a strong veering wind shear profile, surging moisture, and ample PVA, one would correctly assume there is a risk of severe thunderstorms on Thursday. However, now we need to talk about the more uncertain aspect of the forecast...the instability.
In theory, the aforementioned deep tropical flow should provide enough moisture and WAA to destabilize the atmosphere. In fact, model guidance leans in this direction. HRRR ensemble means show peak MU CAPE in the 1000-1700 range. Global ensembles favor a very high chance of at least 500 CAPE with a greater than 50% chance of 1000 CAPE west of I-45. Given the shear parameters, only modest CAPE may be needed to induce the helical updrafts needed for a tornado.
However, ensembles also suggest the potential for much less instability. Early day showers/storms could cap the instability potential later in the day when LL shear maximizes. There is also the prospect of warming temperatures aloft, acting as a suppressive force on instability. So the instability is not a slam dunk for severe thunderstorms. But it is worth mentioning again that it may not take much instability coupled with the shear to result in isolated supercells capable of producing a tornado and damaging wind gusts.
The best chance of strong to severe thunderstorms will be during the late morning and afternoon hours. However, heavy showers and thunderstorms could occur as early as the morning commute. The primary concerns will be damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. The I-10 corridor points south is under a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms while areas farther north are under an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5). Showers and thunderstorms are expected to move quickly enough to limit the flooding potential. That being said, we cannot rule out training of showers and storms that could result in localized minor flooding, especially in areas of poor drainage. The Weather Prediction Center continues to keep us in a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall.
Self
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
The cold front that will move off the coast late Thursday night or early Friday morning will linger near or just past our offshore waters to close out the week and on into the first half of the weekend. With weak disturbances riding across the area in a lingering southwest flow aloft, periods of mainly showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two will be possible through the weekend with better chances closer to the coast and very low to nil chances up north (Brazos Valley to Piney Woods area). At least several days of dry weather are in the area's forecast starting on Monday as surface high pressure builds into the state and a drier northwest flow aloft becomes established.
For high temperatures, looks for highs in the 60s to around 70 on Friday and Saturday and in the 60s Sunday through Tuesday. For inland low temperatures, Friday and Saturday nights will be in the 40s/50 while Sunday night and Monday night will be in the 40s. Lows near/along the beaches will be a little warmer...close to 60 on Friday night, in the mid to upper 50s Saturday night and in the low to mid 50s Sunday night and Monday night.
42
AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1030 PM CST Tue Nov 28 2023
Light, variable winds and VFR conditions should prevail overnight.
Southeasterly winds and BKN cirrus decks develop across the region late Wednesday morning. Light showers and MVFR CIGS fill in from west to east late Wednesday night through early Thursday morning.
Light to moderate southeasterly flow should limit fog potential, though CIGS could drop to IFR levels during this early morning period.
03
MARINE
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
Light east winds early this morning will become southeast and begin to strengthen as the day progresses. Increasing winds and building seas can be expected tonight through Thursday along with the eventual development of widespread showers and thunderstorms. On Thursday, some thunderstorms may be severe. Starting this evening and on into at least tomorrow evening, Small Craft Advisories will be in effect for the nearshore and offshore waters (on Thursday, strong onshore winds at 20 to 25 knots with gusts near gale force and seas building close to 6 to 9 feet nearshore and 10 to 14 feet offshore) while caution flags will be in effect for the bays but may need to be upgraded to advisories. A cold front is expected to push off the coast late Thursday night or early Friday resulting in a shift to north to northeast winds, but this front is expected to stall offshore leading to periods of unsettled conditions lasting into the weekend. Gradually lowering seas can be expected beginning Thursday night.
42
CLIMATE
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
Here are Thursday's rainfall records (11/30) for our five major climate sites.
CLL - 1.91 inches set in 1968 IAH - 1.41 inches set in 1968 HOU - 1.05 inches set in 1982 GLS - 1.40 inches set in 1921 PSX - 1.28 inches set in 1968
42
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 65 57 70 54 / 0 80 100 40 Houston (IAH) 66 58 70 63 / 0 70 100 70 Galveston (GLS) 67 64 70 63 / 0 50 90 70
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution from late tonight through Thursday evening for GMZ330-335.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight CST Thursday night for GMZ350-355.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to midnight CST Thursday night for GMZ370-375.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, CLIMATE
SYNOPSIS
Key Points:
1) Rain and thunderstorms are likely on Thursday.
2) A few thunderstorms may produce damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes.
3) Primary time frame of concern is late morning through the afternoon.
A strong mid/upper trough will bring a good chance of rain and thunderstorms to southeast Texas on Thursday. Some thunderstorms could be strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5) of severe weather for areas north of I-10 while areas farther south are under a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5).
The primary concerns with any strong to severe storm will be damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. Though the highest risk of severe weather will be during the late morning and afternoon hours, heavy showers and thunderstorms could occur as early as the morning commute on Thursday.
Self
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
Surface high pressure pushes east into the southeast CONUS today while an aggressive eastward propagating mid/upper trough over the southwest CONUS induces LL pressure falls over West Texas. The resulting tightening pressure gradient will be noticed via gradually increasing southeasterly winds. Most areas are expected to reach the mid/upper 60s. Some of you could hit 70F today. An overall benign weather day. Unfortunately, the benign weather does not last.
The aforementioned mid/upper trough is expected to become more negatively tilted tonight as its axis moves across New Mexico.
Meanwhile at the low-levels, Sfc-850mb winds increase further while becoming more SSE. This trajectory will support a surge of deep tropical moisture into SE Texas. Both HRRR ensemble and global ensemble means surge CWA wide PWs into the 1.40-1.70 inch range by Thursday morning. Weak shortwaves embedded in the WSW flow aloft will add lift to this increasingly moist environment, increasing the chance of scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms after midnight.
A strong mid/upper jet streak associated with the negative tilted trough will eject eastward across Texas on Thursday, inducing LL cyclogenesis over northwestern portions of the state. At the surface, this will equate to gusty SSE winds. But just above the surface at 850 mb, a strengthening low-level S to SSW jet will push eastward over southeast Texas. Ensemble means and forecast soundings show 850 mb winds increasing from the S to 30-40 knots by the 12-15Z time frame before increasing further from the SSW to 40-50 knots in the 16-20Z time frame. Meanwhile over northeast Mexico, lee side vorticity stretching to the east of the Sierra Madre will add additional shortwaves embedded in the mid/upper SW to WSW flow aloft, boosting lift even further. With a strong veering wind shear profile, surging moisture, and ample PVA, one would correctly assume there is a risk of severe thunderstorms on Thursday. However, now we need to talk about the more uncertain aspect of the forecast...the instability.
In theory, the aforementioned deep tropical flow should provide enough moisture and WAA to destabilize the atmosphere. In fact, model guidance leans in this direction. HRRR ensemble means show peak MU CAPE in the 1000-1700 range. Global ensembles favor a very high chance of at least 500 CAPE with a greater than 50% chance of 1000 CAPE west of I-45. Given the shear parameters, only modest CAPE may be needed to induce the helical updrafts needed for a tornado.
However, ensembles also suggest the potential for much less instability. Early day showers/storms could cap the instability potential later in the day when LL shear maximizes. There is also the prospect of warming temperatures aloft, acting as a suppressive force on instability. So the instability is not a slam dunk for severe thunderstorms. But it is worth mentioning again that it may not take much instability coupled with the shear to result in isolated supercells capable of producing a tornado and damaging wind gusts.
The best chance of strong to severe thunderstorms will be during the late morning and afternoon hours. However, heavy showers and thunderstorms could occur as early as the morning commute. The primary concerns will be damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. The I-10 corridor points south is under a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms while areas farther north are under an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5). Showers and thunderstorms are expected to move quickly enough to limit the flooding potential. That being said, we cannot rule out training of showers and storms that could result in localized minor flooding, especially in areas of poor drainage. The Weather Prediction Center continues to keep us in a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall.
Self
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
The cold front that will move off the coast late Thursday night or early Friday morning will linger near or just past our offshore waters to close out the week and on into the first half of the weekend. With weak disturbances riding across the area in a lingering southwest flow aloft, periods of mainly showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two will be possible through the weekend with better chances closer to the coast and very low to nil chances up north (Brazos Valley to Piney Woods area). At least several days of dry weather are in the area's forecast starting on Monday as surface high pressure builds into the state and a drier northwest flow aloft becomes established.
For high temperatures, looks for highs in the 60s to around 70 on Friday and Saturday and in the 60s Sunday through Tuesday. For inland low temperatures, Friday and Saturday nights will be in the 40s/50 while Sunday night and Monday night will be in the 40s. Lows near/along the beaches will be a little warmer...close to 60 on Friday night, in the mid to upper 50s Saturday night and in the low to mid 50s Sunday night and Monday night.
42
AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1030 PM CST Tue Nov 28 2023
Light, variable winds and VFR conditions should prevail overnight.
Southeasterly winds and BKN cirrus decks develop across the region late Wednesday morning. Light showers and MVFR CIGS fill in from west to east late Wednesday night through early Thursday morning.
Light to moderate southeasterly flow should limit fog potential, though CIGS could drop to IFR levels during this early morning period.
03
MARINE
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
Light east winds early this morning will become southeast and begin to strengthen as the day progresses. Increasing winds and building seas can be expected tonight through Thursday along with the eventual development of widespread showers and thunderstorms. On Thursday, some thunderstorms may be severe. Starting this evening and on into at least tomorrow evening, Small Craft Advisories will be in effect for the nearshore and offshore waters (on Thursday, strong onshore winds at 20 to 25 knots with gusts near gale force and seas building close to 6 to 9 feet nearshore and 10 to 14 feet offshore) while caution flags will be in effect for the bays but may need to be upgraded to advisories. A cold front is expected to push off the coast late Thursday night or early Friday resulting in a shift to north to northeast winds, but this front is expected to stall offshore leading to periods of unsettled conditions lasting into the weekend. Gradually lowering seas can be expected beginning Thursday night.
42
CLIMATE
Issued at 405 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023
Here are Thursday's rainfall records (11/30) for our five major climate sites.
CLL - 1.91 inches set in 1968 IAH - 1.41 inches set in 1968 HOU - 1.05 inches set in 1982 GLS - 1.40 inches set in 1921 PSX - 1.28 inches set in 1968
42
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 65 57 70 54 / 0 80 100 40 Houston (IAH) 66 58 70 63 / 0 70 100 70 Galveston (GLS) 67 64 70 63 / 0 50 90 70
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution from late tonight through Thursday evening for GMZ330-335.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight CST Thursday night for GMZ350-355.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to midnight CST Thursday night for GMZ370-375.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX | 16 mi | 46 min | 0G | 47°F | 65°F | 30.22 | ||
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX | 32 mi | 46 min | 30.24 | |||||
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX | 41 mi | 46 min | NNE 4.1G | 53°F | 57°F | 30.23 | ||
GRRT2 | 49 mi | 46 min | N 7G | 55°F | 56°F | 30.21 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSGR SUGAR LAND RGNL,TX | 14 sm | 41 min | NE 03 | 10 sm | Overcast | 45°F | 41°F | 87% | 30.24 | |
KIAH GEORGE BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL/HOUSTON,TX | 17 sm | 41 min | N 03 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 43°F | 39°F | 87% | 30.25 | |
KDWH DAVID WAYNE HOOKS MEMORIAL,TX | 18 sm | 41 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 41°F | 37°F | 87% | 30.25 | |
KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX | 18 sm | 41 min | N 04 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 43°F | 37°F | 81% | 30.24 | |
KTME HOUSTON EXECUTIVE,TX | 18 sm | 19 min | calm | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 43°F | 41°F | 93% | 30.25 | |
KAXH HOUSTONSOUTHWEST,TX | 20 sm | 19 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 43°F | 41°F | 93% | 30.26 |
Wind History from MCJ
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas
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Lynchburg Landing
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:05 AM CST 1.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM CST Sunrise
Wed -- 09:18 AM CST Moonset
Wed -- 04:12 PM CST -0.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:20 PM CST Sunset
Wed -- 07:19 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:05 AM CST 1.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM CST Sunrise
Wed -- 09:18 AM CST Moonset
Wed -- 04:12 PM CST -0.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:20 PM CST Sunset
Wed -- 07:19 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas, Tide feet
12 am |
1.5 |
1 am |
1.6 |
2 am |
1.6 |
3 am |
1.5 |
4 am |
1.4 |
5 am |
1.3 |
6 am |
1.3 |
7 am |
1.2 |
8 am |
1.1 |
9 am |
1 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
0.6 |
12 pm |
0.4 |
1 pm |
0.2 |
2 pm |
-0 |
3 pm |
-0.2 |
4 pm |
-0.2 |
5 pm |
-0.2 |
6 pm |
-0.1 |
7 pm |
0.2 |
8 pm |
0.5 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
1.1 |
11 pm |
1.3 |
Clear Lake
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:06 AM CST 0.88 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM CST Sunrise
Wed -- 09:17 AM CST Moonset
Wed -- 05:21 PM CST Sunset
Wed -- 05:34 PM CST -0.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:06 AM CST 0.88 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM CST Sunrise
Wed -- 09:17 AM CST Moonset
Wed -- 05:21 PM CST Sunset
Wed -- 05:34 PM CST -0.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM CST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
0.9 |
2 am |
0.9 |
3 am |
0.9 |
4 am |
0.8 |
5 am |
0.8 |
6 am |
0.8 |
7 am |
0.8 |
8 am |
0.8 |
9 am |
0.7 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
0.6 |
12 pm |
0.4 |
1 pm |
0.2 |
2 pm |
-0 |
3 pm |
-0.2 |
4 pm |
-0.4 |
5 pm |
-0.5 |
6 pm |
-0.5 |
7 pm |
-0.4 |
8 pm |
-0.2 |
9 pm |
-0 |
10 pm |
0.2 |
11 pm |
0.5 |
Houston/Galveston, TX,

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