Bridge City, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bridge City, TX

June 16, 2024 10:11 PM CDT (03:11 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:13 AM   Sunset 8:19 PM
Moonrise 2:29 PM   Moonset 1:24 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 252 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 16 2024

Tonight - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Lake waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Lake waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters choppy. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters rough. Showers likely. Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters rough. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.

Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters rough. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.

Thursday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.

Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Friday - East winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 252 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 16 2024

Synopsis - A trough will gradually move west across the southern gulf of mexico from early to mid week. Deep moisture will be associated with this system that will bring widespread shower activity. The gradient between the trough and high pressure to the northeast will bring moderate to strong east to southeast winds at or above 20 knots by Monday afternoon that will continue through mid week. This prolonged wind field will allow for a significant increase in wave heights and swells. A small craft advisory is in effect. Also, tides will be 1 to 2 feet above normal predicted levels that may lead to coastal flooding.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridge City, TX
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Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 162350 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 650 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New AVIATION

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A disturbance coming out of the Central American Gyre is expected to move gradually west-northwest across the southern and western Gulf of Mexico through mid week. As of the last TWO, NHC has given tropical cyclone formation for the next 48 hours at 30 percent and through the next 7 days at 70 percent.

The consensus looks like if the system does form a closed off low it will move into the northeast Mexico coast. However, it also looks like it will remain sloppy with most of the higher moisture and higher winds off and maybe well off to the north. Therefore, impacts as far as heavy rainfall that may lead to flooding, high wave heights, and high tides that may lead to coastal flooding are also possible.

Both high rainfall rates and duration may be factors through mid week, along with high tide levels along the coast not allowing for proper drainage of river systems. Reasonable rainfall totals of 5 to 8 inches for lower southeast Texas and lower southwest Louisiana through Wednesday night, with 2 to 4 for the remainder of the forecast area. A Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall (Level 3 of of 4) is outlined for that lower southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana area, with greater potential from Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. If this risk continues then a Flash Flood Watch will be issued as we get closer to the event and confidence grows in the flood potential.

There will also be increased winds and seas over the coastal waters, along with increased in tides and potential for coastal flooding. Please see the marine section for more details.

Rua

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Forecast in the short term will depend on how the disturbance in the southern Gulf develops over the period. For now will go with the scenario that system remains sloppy with best moisture plume extending well off to the north.

The upper level ridge over the northwest Gulf continues to weaken today allowing highly anomalous moisture to move into the forecast area. This moisture has already worked with daytime heating and the sea breeze to produce shower and storm activity. This activity is expected to weaken this evening with the loss of daytime heating.

Rich Gulf moisture will hang around into Monday allowing for widespread shower and storm activity to develop by mid to late morning and expand during the afternoon. Heavy rainfall will be the main concern from the activity with a quick 1 to 2 inches in a short period will be possible.

The deeper tropical moisture plume will over take the forecast area on Tuesday. The air mass will definitely have a tropical origin to it with highly anomalous moisture values. Precipitable Water values will range from 2.2 to 2.5 inches which is well above the 90th percentile for this time of year of around 2 inches, and closer to max moving averages and daily highs. Also, 1000-500 mean layer relative humidity values will be over 90 percent and warm cloud layer depth will be between 14k-16k feet, which all means that convection will be highly efficient warm process rain makers.

Right now, the higher moisture values are focusing on lower southeast Texas and lower southwest Louisiana, where also the better 85H-70H southeast flow will be parallel to the developing theta-e ridge, allowing for a possibility of training. With these possibilities a Moderate Risk (level 3 out of 4) is already outlined for that area, and a flash flood watch may be needed as we near closer to the event.

Usually in these air masses, plenty of nocturnal activity will occur over the Gulf and right along the coast. Therefore, expect plenty of showers and a few storms over the coastal waters and just inland during the overnight hours. With low convective temperatures, this activity will spread quickly inland through the morning hours and continue into the afternoon before some decrease in activity during the evening with loss of any daytime heating.

Some breezy winds may occur right along the coast, and also during any convection some of the stronger winds may be brought down to the surface.

If there is some good news, high temperatures should be a little below normal and stay in the 80s.

Rua

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

The start of the longterm period carries the remainder of widespread showers and thunderstorms from disturbance navigating the western Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of whether a closed low pressure center develops in the short term, guidance continues the trend of pushing this system into either eastern Mexico or southeast Texas late Wednesday into Thursday. The large northward displacement of rainfall away from the low will be the driver for rain chances Wednesday with some influence for Thursday. Global models keep an airmass with PWATs well above 2.25 inches (greater than the daily climo max) entrenched over the region in conjunction with rainfall for at least Wednesday, thus we can expect very efficient rain rates and flooding concerns to prevail.

High pressure ridges over the seUS and into Mississippi by Thursday.
This feature and east to northeast flow aloft will help to move some dry(er) air into the region with forecast PWATs Thursday ranging from 1.60 to 1.75 inches in cenLA to around 2.00 inches at the coastline. With ridge and aforementioned airmass moving in from the north and east, the efficiency and northward extent of convection should be limited to typical afternoon convection along the coastline and I-10 corridor Thursday and Friday.

Longterm models continue hinting at the possibility of another inverted trof moving along the northern Gulf of Mexico over the next weekend. If this solution is correct, another period of heavy rain and widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible.

Rain-and-cloud-cooled temperatures in the 80s on Wednesday will give way to highs closer to climate normals in the lower 90s for the remainder of the work week and weekend.

11/Calhoun

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 650 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

No significant changes to previous TAF thinking at this time. Per local 88Ds, ongoing convection appears to be waning as heating ceases...maintained VC mentions in the near term for all but KBPT just in case. Next round of precip progged to begin moving inland from the coast prior to sunrise...timed this activity south to north beginning with VC mentions early, eventually increasing to prevailing showers/prob30 thunder by afternoon. Otherwise outside of thunderstorms, VFR conditions should continue per forecast soundings/time-height sections.

25

MARINE
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A trough from a disturbance moving out of Central America will gradually move west-northwest across the southern and western Gulf of Mexico from early to mid week. The gradient between the trough and high pressure to the northeast will bring moderate to strong east to southeast winds at or above 20 knots by Monday afternoon, that will continue through mid week. This prolonged wind field will allow for a significant increase in wave heights and swells.
Wave heights are expected to be 4 to 8 feet on Monday increasing to 6 to 12 feet on Tuesday and Wednesday. A small craft advisory is in effect.

Also, with the long duration and fetch of the easterly winds, Ekman spiral affects will allow for water piling along the coast increasing tide levels. Tides will be around 2 feet above astronomical predicted levels. P-ETSS guidance shows actual tide levels during high tide times staring late Monday night through Wednesday at 1.5 to 2.0 Mean Higher High Water (MHHW) which are in coastal flood advisory category, with 10 percent exceedance, reasonable highest tide levels possible, in the 2.5 to 3.5 MHHW which would be over coastal flood warning criteria.

Currently a coastal flood advisory will be in effect for Monday night through Wednesday, and portions of it, especially the Cameron Parish and Jefferson County coast may be upgraded to a coastal flood warning as we get closer to the event.

Deep moisture will also be associated with this system that will bring widespread shower activity across the coastal waters through mid week.

Rua

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 73 88 71 83 / 20 80 20 60 LCH 76 87 74 83 / 40 80 50 80 LFT 75 88 76 84 / 40 80 50 80 BPT 76 88 75 84 / 50 80 50 80

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 4 PM CDT Wednesday for LAZ073-074-252>254.

TX...Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 4 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ615.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Monday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 10 mi54 minESE 8.9G12 84°F 87°F29.84
TXPT2 20 mi54 minESE 15G19 89°F29.83
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 28 mi54 minSSE 12G16 85°F 90°F29.89
BKTL1 30 mi54 min 93°F
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 35 mi54 min 81°F 93°F29.91
HIST2 41 mi54 minSE 5.1G7 85°F 95°F29.83


Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KORG ORANGE COUNTY,TX 6 sm16 minSE 0610 smClear84°F75°F74%29.90
KBPT JACK BROOKS RGNL,TX 12 sm18 minESE 1010 smClear82°F77°F84%29.86
KBMT BEAUMONT MUNI,TX 23 sm16 minESE 0710 smClear82°F75°F79%29.87
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KORG
   
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Wind History graph: ORG
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas
   
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Mesquite Point
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Sun -- 02:21 AM CDT     1.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:24 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:05 AM CDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:41 AM CDT     1.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:05 PM CDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:18 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1
2
am
1
3
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1
4
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1
5
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0.9
6
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0.9
7
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0.9
8
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0.9
9
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1
10
am
1
11
am
1
12
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1
1
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1
2
pm
0.9
3
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0.7
4
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0.5
5
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0.3
6
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0.2
7
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0.2
8
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0.2
9
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0.3
10
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0.4
11
pm
0.6


Tide / Current for Sabine Pass, North, Texas
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Sabine Pass
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Sun -- 02:10 AM CDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:24 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:46 AM CDT     1.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:45 AM CDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:55 PM CDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:17 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sabine Pass, North, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
1.2
1
am
1.3
2
am
1.4
3
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1.4
4
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1.3
5
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1.2
6
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1.2
7
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1.1
8
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1.2
9
am
1.2
10
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1.3
11
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1.4
12
pm
1.4
1
pm
1.3
2
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1.2
3
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1
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
0.4
6
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0.3
7
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0.2
8
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0.3
9
pm
0.4
10
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0.7
11
pm
0.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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Lake Charles, LA,




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