Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Groves, TX

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday night)

Wx map shows surface high pressure ridge across the Southeast U.S.
and Eastern Gulf, with a cold front extending across West Texas and the Red River Valley into Southeast Oklahoma and Arkansas.
Southeast winds around 15-20 mph with gusts 20-25 mph prevail across the area. Temperatures this afternoon in the lower to mid 80s, expected to reach the upper 80s. NBM winds were a bit lower this morning, but the latest run were slightly higher, closer to observed levels. Radar showing a few very light showers across Southeast Texas & Southwest Louisiana, with no significant echos present further east. Chances of precipitation remain below 10%

A mid to upper level ridge off the Southeast U.S. and Gulf will slowly erode as the upper level shortwave trough over New Mexico & West Texas moves east across the remainder of Texas tonight and lifts northeast across the ArkLaTex Wednesday. Thereafter, a generally zonal but diffluent flow aloft expected over the area. This will continue the mostly cloudy to cloudy conditions through the period. Chances of showers and thunderstorms expected to increase late Wednesday night across Inland Southeast Texas, and the remainder of the area Thursday. The highest chances of thunderstorms in the 40-70% range expected to be north of I-10, with 20-40% expected further south. A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) of severe thunderstorms is outlined for areas north of I-10. Temperatures tonight through Thursday night will remain above normal, with morning lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s, and afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s.

08/DML

LONG TERM
(Friday through next Monday)

A deeper mid to upper level trough expected to dig southeast across the Upper Midwest across the Eastern U.S. Friday through the weekend.
This will gradually give west northwest flow aloft across the area, allowing for a cool front to approach and move through the area Friday night into Saturday morning. The ongoing increased moisture and lift ahead and along the front will continue the higher shower and thunderstorm chances Friday through Saturday. A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) of Excessive Rainfall expected for areas across Southeast Texas and Central Louisiana north of I-10.

Lower chances of precipitation expected by Saturday night trough Monday. Slightly cooler temperatures expected Saturday through Monday behind the cool front.

08/DML

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the taf period. SCT fair weather CU will give way to BKN high clouds overnight before redeveloping by mid Wednesday morning. Patchy ground fog may develop, reducing visibilities intermittently between 09-14Z although winds will remain elevated enough to prevent this in most locations. Winds will become gusty by late Wednesday morning through the evening in response to an increasing pressure gradient between high pressure off the Atlantic coast and a developing low across north Texas.

Jones

MARINE

Surface high pressure ridging across the northern Gulf will keep light to moderate south to southeast winds across the coastal waters through the period. The next chance of showers and thunderstorms expected Friday and Saturday as a cool front approaches and moves across the coastal waters.

08/DML

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 66 86 68 85 / 0 10 10 70 LCH 71 83 72 85 / 0 10 10 30 LFT 70 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 40 BPT 71 84 72 86 / 0 10 10 30

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.