Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Nocatee, FL
February 19, 2025 3:00 AM EST (08:00 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 7:00 AM Sunset 6:18 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 10:35 AM |
AMZ452 Expires:202502192230;;150153 Fzus52 Kjax 190640 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 140 am est Wed feb 19 2025
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-192230- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 140 am est Wed feb 19 2025
.small craft exercise caution tonight - .
Today - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming north 15 to 20 knots this afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: northeast 4 feet at 7 seconds and north 2 feet at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. Showers this morning, then showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms this afternoon.
Tonight - North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: north 5 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. A chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: northwest 4 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 4 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy.
Thursday night - North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: north 6 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough.
Friday - North winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: northeast 6 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough.
Friday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: northeast 5 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Saturday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet, subsiding to 2 to 3 feet after midnight. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers through the night.
Sunday - North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 140 am est Wed feb 19 2025
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-192230- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 140 am est Wed feb 19 2025
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 140 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2025
Synopsis -
low pressure will move across area waters later today, with an associated cold front then passing through tonight. Widespread showers as well as winds in the 10 to 15 knot range will accompany the low today, with an increase in northwesterly flow to small craft advisory levels offshore tonight. Cool/dry conditions as well as a brisk flow will persist through the end of the week as high pressure builds into the waters. Another chance for rain will occur this weekend as a mostly dry front pushes through the area, with weaker high pressure building in its wake towards the beginning on next week.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 15, 2025 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 75 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 95 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
low pressure will move across area waters later today, with an associated cold front then passing through tonight. Widespread showers as well as winds in the 10 to 15 knot range will accompany the low today, with an increase in northwesterly flow to small craft advisory levels offshore tonight. Cool/dry conditions as well as a brisk flow will persist through the end of the week as high pressure builds into the waters. Another chance for rain will occur this weekend as a mostly dry front pushes through the area, with weaker high pressure building in its wake towards the beginning on next week.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 15, 2025 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 75 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 95 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
Palm Valley Click for Map Wed -- 02:41 AM EST 1.56 feet High Tide Wed -- 07:01 AM EST Sunrise Wed -- 09:06 AM EST -1.74 feet Low Tide Wed -- 10:35 AM EST Moonset Wed -- 02:29 PM EST 1.17 feet High Tide Wed -- 06:17 PM EST Sunset Wed -- 09:24 PM EST -2.07 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Palm Valley, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.7 |
1 am |
1.2 |
2 am |
1.5 |
3 am |
1.6 |
4 am |
1.3 |
5 am |
0.8 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
-0.5 |
8 am |
-1.2 |
9 am |
-1.7 |
10 am |
-1.3 |
11 am |
-0.4 |
12 pm |
0.4 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
1.1 |
3 pm |
1.1 |
4 pm |
0.9 |
5 pm |
0.5 |
6 pm |
-0.1 |
7 pm |
-0.8 |
8 pm |
-1.4 |
9 pm |
-2 |
10 pm |
-1.9 |
11 pm |
-0.9 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Vilano Beach, Tolomato River, Florida, Tide feet
Area Discussion for Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 190714 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 214 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Stratiform rain is just starting to enter the upper Suwannee River Valley area as of 7Z, and will continue to spread across most of the region through this morning as a rather messy low pressure area/frontal wave moves almost directly over the CWA Although model guidance has backed off a bit with respect to QPF amounts, still expecting a beneficial rain generally in the 0.5 to 1.5" range through this evening, with the highest "stripe" of amounts expected to be in the vicinity of the I-10 corridor. Amounts in this area (generally between about Waycross and Gainesville) are expected to be towards the higher end of this range, with some isolated locally higher amounts near the 2" range likely. Very isolated thunder remains possible over furthest southern areas (generally Marion/Southern Putnam/Flagler Counties) where marginally higher buoyancy will be in place south of the low/front. Cyclogenesis will begin well off the Florida Peninsula this evening and tonight as the low pulls away to the northeast, which will progress a cold front southeastward tonight and into Thursday Morning with fairly strong cool/dry high pressure building in from the northwest.
Given the rainfall today and low/wave passing almost directly across the "center" of the CWA, there will be a sharp gradient in high temperatures from north to south across the area. Highs will range from the low to mid 50s over interior GA, to upper 50s to mid 60s near the I-10 corridor region, to the low mid 70s south of a line from about Gainesville to Saint Augustine. Cold air advection will result in a much more uniform drop in temperatures area wide tonight and into Thursday Morning, with mid to upper 30s over southeast GA to 40s over northeast FL. A modest north to northwesterly breeze tonight behind the front in the 5-10 mph range should limit any frost potential over southeast GA, though wind chills will dip to near or slightly below freezing for these same areas towards early Thursday Morning.
SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Thursday...Cold High pressure builds to the Northwest of the area over the Central US and cold air advection will clear skies, but despite full sunshine, highs will remain well below normal in the lower 50s across SE GA and mid/upper 50s across NE FL. Brisk Northwest winds will increase to 15-20 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph and will continue through the afternoon hours.
Thursday Night...Cold high pressure builds closer to the region, but center remains to the NW of the local area over the SE US states, along with elevated North winds at 5-10 mph inland and 10-15 mph along the Atlantic Coast, this will set up more of an advective freeze situation with low temps well below normal and expect a Hard Freeze across inland SE GA with lows in the middle 20s, while lows in the upper 20s/around 30F are expected across coastal SE GA and most of inland NE FL with a Light Freeze expected. The north flow by sunrise Friday morning will keep the NE FL Coastal Counties/I-95 corridor and St. Johns River Basin to the south of Jacksonville likely just above freezing with lows in the 33-37F range. Another impact in this period will be the wind chill values, as they are expected to reach Cold Weather Advisory Criteria in the 15-20F range across all of SE GA and 20-25F range across most of NE FL, except for the Atlantic Coastal areas south of JAX.
Friday...Cold high pressure slides East into the Carolinas and surface flow becomes more Northeast and breezy at 15-20G25-30 mph along the Atlantic Coast and 10-15G20-25 mph over inland areas, but this will not modify temps much under Mostly Sunny skies as highs remain well below normal and only in the upper 40s/near 50F across SE GA and coastal NE FL and into the lower/middle 50s across inland NE FL.
Friday Night...The onshore flow will keep the Atlantic Coast and most of NE FL above freezing, but another Light Freeze with lows in the upper 20s/near 30F is expected across all of inland SE GA and likely southward into the Suwannee Valley of inland North FL, along with wind chill values in the upper 20s/lower 30s, likely just above Cold Weather Advisory criteria.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Saturday...High pressure builds off the Carolinas and into the Western Atlantic, while a coastal trough develops over the local Atlantic waters with a few showers there, while over the land areas expect dry conditions to continue with a slight upward tick in Max temps into the 60s, but still below normal under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Temps expected to remain above freezing Saturday night falling into the upper 30s inland SE GA and in the 40s elsewhere.
Sunday...Long range models still trying to push a mid level disturbance through the region from the North Gulf and into the Atlantic but confidence remains low in rainfall chances at this time, but for now the model blends are still supporting a slight chance of showers area-wide, with best chances across NE FL as disturbance appears to be trending southward with each run. Temps remain slightly below normal with highs in the 60s and lows in the upper 30s inland SE GA and 40s elsewhere Sunday Night.
Monday...Models pushing a High pressure center pushing Eastward from the Gulf Coast region and settling across the Florida Peninsula. Expect a better chance of skies becoming Mostly Clear and with airmass source region not as cold, expect temps to rebound to near normal values with highs in the mid/upper 60s SE GA and upper 60s/near 70F across NE FL. Lows generally near 40F over inland areas and in the 40s near the Atlantic Coast Monday Night.
Tuesday...Next frontal boundary approaches the region from the Northwest across the SE US states, but appears to be much weaker and mainly dry when it reaches the local area on Tuesday Night.
West to Southwest flow ahead of this boundary will push Max Temps to above normal levels and warmest during the entire forecast period, back into the lower/middle 70s area-wide. Lows generally in the 40s for Tuesday Night.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Low clouds are beginning to spread across area terminals early this morning, which is expected to continue through the rest of the morning with a drop in cloud base as well. MVFR is expected area wide by around sunrise, with IFR cigs and vsbys by mid morning as rainfall also spreads to all airfields. Heavy rainfall at times may reduce vsbys to under 1SM, which will be more refined over the next 6 to 12 hours. Thunder will be very unlikely today, with the highest chance being at GNV and SGJ with chances under 5 percent at this time. Wind directions and speeds will be tricky as low pressure passes almost directly over the region, but expecting multiple modest shifts in wind direction today and tonight with coastal sites (SSI and SGJ) likely to be near or over 10 knots this afternoon and tonight. IFR is expected to be locked in for all airfields as rain ends tonight and continue through the end of the forecast period. Improvement as well as breezy northwesterly flow will hold off until during the day Thursday.
MARINE
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Low pressure will move across area waters later today, with an associated cold front then passing through tonight. Widespread showers as well as breezy conditions will accompany the low today, with an increase in northwesterly flow tonight behind the front and low. Cool/dry conditions as well as a brisk flow will persist through the end of the week as high pressure builds into the region. Another chance for rain will occur this weekend as a mostly dry front pushes through the area, with weaker high pressure building in its wake towards the beginning on next week.
Rip Currents: Rip current risk will remain moderate today as low pressure passes over the area. Breezy flow generally along the shore will keep the risk moderate for Thursday as well.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 53 36 50 25 / 90 20 0 0 SSI 59 39 53 32 / 100 40 0 0 JAX 62 40 56 31 / 100 40 0 0 SGJ 67 44 59 36 / 80 40 0 0 GNV 66 43 59 31 / 70 40 0 0 OCF 73 47 61 32 / 70 30 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning for FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-120-124-136-220-225-232-236-237- 240-322-340-422-425-522.
GA...Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning for GAZ154-166.
Freeze Watch from Thursday evening through Friday morning for GAZ132>136-149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday for AMZ470-472-474.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 214 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Stratiform rain is just starting to enter the upper Suwannee River Valley area as of 7Z, and will continue to spread across most of the region through this morning as a rather messy low pressure area/frontal wave moves almost directly over the CWA Although model guidance has backed off a bit with respect to QPF amounts, still expecting a beneficial rain generally in the 0.5 to 1.5" range through this evening, with the highest "stripe" of amounts expected to be in the vicinity of the I-10 corridor. Amounts in this area (generally between about Waycross and Gainesville) are expected to be towards the higher end of this range, with some isolated locally higher amounts near the 2" range likely. Very isolated thunder remains possible over furthest southern areas (generally Marion/Southern Putnam/Flagler Counties) where marginally higher buoyancy will be in place south of the low/front. Cyclogenesis will begin well off the Florida Peninsula this evening and tonight as the low pulls away to the northeast, which will progress a cold front southeastward tonight and into Thursday Morning with fairly strong cool/dry high pressure building in from the northwest.
Given the rainfall today and low/wave passing almost directly across the "center" of the CWA, there will be a sharp gradient in high temperatures from north to south across the area. Highs will range from the low to mid 50s over interior GA, to upper 50s to mid 60s near the I-10 corridor region, to the low mid 70s south of a line from about Gainesville to Saint Augustine. Cold air advection will result in a much more uniform drop in temperatures area wide tonight and into Thursday Morning, with mid to upper 30s over southeast GA to 40s over northeast FL. A modest north to northwesterly breeze tonight behind the front in the 5-10 mph range should limit any frost potential over southeast GA, though wind chills will dip to near or slightly below freezing for these same areas towards early Thursday Morning.
SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Thursday...Cold High pressure builds to the Northwest of the area over the Central US and cold air advection will clear skies, but despite full sunshine, highs will remain well below normal in the lower 50s across SE GA and mid/upper 50s across NE FL. Brisk Northwest winds will increase to 15-20 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph and will continue through the afternoon hours.
Thursday Night...Cold high pressure builds closer to the region, but center remains to the NW of the local area over the SE US states, along with elevated North winds at 5-10 mph inland and 10-15 mph along the Atlantic Coast, this will set up more of an advective freeze situation with low temps well below normal and expect a Hard Freeze across inland SE GA with lows in the middle 20s, while lows in the upper 20s/around 30F are expected across coastal SE GA and most of inland NE FL with a Light Freeze expected. The north flow by sunrise Friday morning will keep the NE FL Coastal Counties/I-95 corridor and St. Johns River Basin to the south of Jacksonville likely just above freezing with lows in the 33-37F range. Another impact in this period will be the wind chill values, as they are expected to reach Cold Weather Advisory Criteria in the 15-20F range across all of SE GA and 20-25F range across most of NE FL, except for the Atlantic Coastal areas south of JAX.
Friday...Cold high pressure slides East into the Carolinas and surface flow becomes more Northeast and breezy at 15-20G25-30 mph along the Atlantic Coast and 10-15G20-25 mph over inland areas, but this will not modify temps much under Mostly Sunny skies as highs remain well below normal and only in the upper 40s/near 50F across SE GA and coastal NE FL and into the lower/middle 50s across inland NE FL.
Friday Night...The onshore flow will keep the Atlantic Coast and most of NE FL above freezing, but another Light Freeze with lows in the upper 20s/near 30F is expected across all of inland SE GA and likely southward into the Suwannee Valley of inland North FL, along with wind chill values in the upper 20s/lower 30s, likely just above Cold Weather Advisory criteria.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Saturday...High pressure builds off the Carolinas and into the Western Atlantic, while a coastal trough develops over the local Atlantic waters with a few showers there, while over the land areas expect dry conditions to continue with a slight upward tick in Max temps into the 60s, but still below normal under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Temps expected to remain above freezing Saturday night falling into the upper 30s inland SE GA and in the 40s elsewhere.
Sunday...Long range models still trying to push a mid level disturbance through the region from the North Gulf and into the Atlantic but confidence remains low in rainfall chances at this time, but for now the model blends are still supporting a slight chance of showers area-wide, with best chances across NE FL as disturbance appears to be trending southward with each run. Temps remain slightly below normal with highs in the 60s and lows in the upper 30s inland SE GA and 40s elsewhere Sunday Night.
Monday...Models pushing a High pressure center pushing Eastward from the Gulf Coast region and settling across the Florida Peninsula. Expect a better chance of skies becoming Mostly Clear and with airmass source region not as cold, expect temps to rebound to near normal values with highs in the mid/upper 60s SE GA and upper 60s/near 70F across NE FL. Lows generally near 40F over inland areas and in the 40s near the Atlantic Coast Monday Night.
Tuesday...Next frontal boundary approaches the region from the Northwest across the SE US states, but appears to be much weaker and mainly dry when it reaches the local area on Tuesday Night.
West to Southwest flow ahead of this boundary will push Max Temps to above normal levels and warmest during the entire forecast period, back into the lower/middle 70s area-wide. Lows generally in the 40s for Tuesday Night.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Low clouds are beginning to spread across area terminals early this morning, which is expected to continue through the rest of the morning with a drop in cloud base as well. MVFR is expected area wide by around sunrise, with IFR cigs and vsbys by mid morning as rainfall also spreads to all airfields. Heavy rainfall at times may reduce vsbys to under 1SM, which will be more refined over the next 6 to 12 hours. Thunder will be very unlikely today, with the highest chance being at GNV and SGJ with chances under 5 percent at this time. Wind directions and speeds will be tricky as low pressure passes almost directly over the region, but expecting multiple modest shifts in wind direction today and tonight with coastal sites (SSI and SGJ) likely to be near or over 10 knots this afternoon and tonight. IFR is expected to be locked in for all airfields as rain ends tonight and continue through the end of the forecast period. Improvement as well as breezy northwesterly flow will hold off until during the day Thursday.
MARINE
Issued at 211 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Low pressure will move across area waters later today, with an associated cold front then passing through tonight. Widespread showers as well as breezy conditions will accompany the low today, with an increase in northwesterly flow tonight behind the front and low. Cool/dry conditions as well as a brisk flow will persist through the end of the week as high pressure builds into the region. Another chance for rain will occur this weekend as a mostly dry front pushes through the area, with weaker high pressure building in its wake towards the beginning on next week.
Rip Currents: Rip current risk will remain moderate today as low pressure passes over the area. Breezy flow generally along the shore will keep the risk moderate for Thursday as well.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 53 36 50 25 / 90 20 0 0 SSI 59 39 53 32 / 100 40 0 0 JAX 62 40 56 31 / 100 40 0 0 SGJ 67 44 59 36 / 80 40 0 0 GNV 66 43 59 31 / 70 40 0 0 OCF 73 47 61 32 / 70 30 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning for FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-120-124-136-220-225-232-236-237- 240-322-340-422-425-522.
GA...Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning for GAZ154-166.
Freeze Watch from Thursday evening through Friday morning for GAZ132>136-149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday for AMZ470-472-474.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL | 13 mi | 60 min | 7G | 60°F | 30.06 | |||
41117 | 16 mi | 34 min | 62°F | 3 ft | ||||
BKBF1 | 20 mi | 42 min | NNE 6G | 58°F | 30.08 | |||
LTJF1 | 25 mi | 42 min | 58°F | 58°F | ||||
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 26 mi | 75 min | N 4.1 | 61°F | 30.09 | 58°F | ||
JXUF1 | 26 mi | 42 min | 65°F | |||||
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL | 26 mi | 42 min | NE 5.1G | 58°F | 60°F | 30.09 | ||
BLIF1 | 27 mi | 42 min | NE 5.1G | 58°F | 30.09 | |||
DMSF1 | 27 mi | 42 min | 63°F | |||||
NFDF1 | 29 mi | 42 min | NE 2.9G | 55°F | 30.07 | 55°F | ||
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL | 45 mi | 42 min | N 1.9G | 58°F | 60°F | 30.07 | ||
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) | 48 mi | 34 min | 59°F | 3 ft |
Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KSGJ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KSGJ
Wind History Graph: SGJ
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southeast
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Jacksonville, FL,

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