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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mexico Beach, FL

April 25, 2025 10:38 PM CDT (03:38 UTC)
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Sunrise 6:03 AM   Sunset 7:17 PM
Moonrise 4:30 AM   Moonset 5:07 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025
GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 859 Am Cdt Wed Mar 19 2025

.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Friday morning - .

Rest of today - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.

Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers after midnight.

Thursday - West winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet, building to 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet in the afternoon. Wave detail: west 4 feet at 5 seconds, becoming west 7 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.

Thursday night - Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: west 7 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters rough.

Friday - North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: northwest 5 feet at 7 seconds and northwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.

Friday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 7 seconds and north 1 foot at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.

Saturday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth.

Saturday night - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.

Sunday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 851 Pm Edt Fri Apr 25 2025

Synopsis -
high pressure will build over the weekend into next week. During the weekend, expect the afternoon seabreeze to pick up along the coast. For next week, expect light to gentle breezes with seas mainly around 1 foot.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mexico Beach, FL
   
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Tide / Current for Farmdale, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
  
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Farmdale
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Fri -- 12:14 AM CDT     0.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:01 AM CDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:04 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:53 AM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:06 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:15 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:06 PM CDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Farmdale, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Farmdale, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
  
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Laird Bayou
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Fri -- 12:05 AM CDT     0.80 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:46 AM CDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:04 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:44 AM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:07 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:16 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:51 PM CDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
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Area Discussion for Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 260049 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 849 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 848 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.

NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

A line of showers and thunderstorms across Mississippi currently will continue moving eastward are expected to weaken rapidly as they approach our area. High convective inhibition with surface high pressure in place will prevent this system from persisting through the region, according to all the latest guidance.
Overnight another round of fog is expected across the FL Panhandle and SE Alabama.

Tomorrow weather will be primarily driven by diurnal mechanisms such as buoyancy and the sea breeze. Current guidance expects there to be a convergence zone along the FL/AL state line late tomorrow afternoon and early evening for storms to fire off of.
Showers and/or storms are expected to wind down after sunset.

Expect overnight lows generally in the 60s with daytime highs generally in the upper 80s to low 90s.

SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

An upper level ridge will begin to flatten during the day Sunday.
A weak cold front will be passing through the region on Sunday.
Along the front, there is a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms to develop Sunday afternoon through the overnight hours. PoPs range from 20 to 30 percent for Sunday afternoon and evening. The location of thunderstorm development will likely be where the cold front and the afternoon sea breeze collide. At this time, it looks like it'll be along and north of I-10 and towards the I-75 corridor. Severe storms are not anticipated. Temperatures on Sunday will be well above normal with highs in the low to mid 90s. Overnight lows will be in the mid 60s.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

During the week, upper level ridging will build in from the Gulf.
This is expected to hold steady through the week. The high pressure will limit coverage for showers and thunderstorms to around 20 percent and less. PWATs will be around 1.5" with decent instability of 500-1200 J/Kg during the afternoon hours. Shear is low around 20 kts, and the high pressure will limit forcing and capping lift. Even though the parameters are there, the warm and dry mid-levels will keep PoPs near zero for most of the week. By Thursday, the ridge will begin to retreat, and an upper level trough will be approaching the region. This will bring in some westerly flow aloft and cool the mid and upper level temperatures, weakening the cap. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be able to develop again. Temperatures will be warm with highs in the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows in the mid-60s.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 714 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

High clouds will stream over the TAF sites this evening from a weakening thunderstorm complex to our west. Skies clear later tonight, allowing some fog to form over the Florida Panhandle into southeastern Alabama. The highest confidence is at ECP with DHN and TLH on the fringe. This will bring IFR to LIFR ceilings and visibility. VFR conditions are anticipated Saturday as a light to moderate southwesterly to westerly breeze develops.

MARINE
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

High pressure will build over the weekend into next week. During the weekend, expect the afternoon seabreeze to pick up along the coast. For next week, expect light to gentle breezes with seas mainly around 1 foot.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

The main fire weather highlights continue to revolve around daily chances for morning fog, pockets of high afternoon dispersions, and unseasonably hot conditions with a diurnal seabreeze.
Southerly low-level winds keep min RH above critical thresholds, or 35-40% away from the immediate coast. Winds turn more southwesterly on Saturday, then switch out of the NE mainly north of the FL state line.

Expect hot weather this weekend as forecast inland high temperatures soar to the upper 80s/low 90s. Sunday is shaping up to be even hotter with more widespread low 90s (isolated mid 90s).
A backdoor front sagging south may provide some relief via modest increases in cloud cover and rain chances. The best potential for precipitation and/or thunderstorms is along the I-75 corridor where the front likely interacts favorably with the seabreeze(s).
High dispersions are forecast that afternoon along/north of the I-10 corridor.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

No flooding is expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 64 91 65 93 / 0 10 10 10 Panama City 66 84 67 86 / 0 10 10 10 Dothan 64 89 65 91 / 10 20 10 20 Albany 65 89 65 91 / 10 10 10 20 Valdosta 66 91 67 93 / 0 10 10 20 Cross City 62 89 61 91 / 0 10 10 10 Apalachicola 66 81 66 82 / 0 10 10 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EDT /4 AM CDT/ Saturday for FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM CDT Saturday for GMZ735.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 13 mi51 minS 5.1G6 78°F
PCBF1 25 mi51 minSSE 8G8.9 73°F 77°F30.09
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi51 minNNW 1.9G2.9 71°F 76°F30.10
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 36 mi39 minSW 1.9 71°F 30.1568°F


Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL 6 sm43 minSSW 0410 smMostly Cloudy72°F68°F88%30.08

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast  
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Northwest Florida,





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