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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mexico Beach, FL

June 25, 2024 2:39 AM CDT (07:39 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:41 AM   Sunset 7:49 PM
Moonrise 11:08 PM   Moonset 9:18 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202406250145;;594187 Fzus52 Ktae 241920 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 320 pm edt Mon jun 24 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-250145- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 320 pm edt Mon jun 24 2024 /220 pm cdt Mon jun 24 2024/

Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and west 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening.

Tuesday - West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and west 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

Wednesday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Wednesday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Thursday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.

Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 320 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis -
mainly southwesterly winds should hold through tonight before teetering between westerly and southwesterly afterwards. Seas will generally be between 1 to 3 feet, with the 3 foot waves being favored west of apalachicola. However, long-period swells will continue through the period as a disturbance sits off northeast mexico. Nightly chances of showers and storms will be possible over the waters with the highest chances east of apalachicola.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mexico Beach, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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992 FXUS62 KTAE 250506 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 106 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 906 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

The only change to the previous forecast was to add south Walton county to the heat advisory for Tuesday with heat index values expected to exceed 108 there.

NEAR TERM
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 358 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

The frontal boundary that is currently pushing south through the region today is expected to become quasi-stationary across North Florida on Tuesday. This will provide a focus for showers and thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon and evening hours across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend. Areas north of the Florida border will likely remain dry as dry air behind the frontal boundary advects into SE Alabama and SW Georgia tonight. This dry air will allow for deep layer mixing and very hot daytime high temperatures, with 100 degrees forecast for much of this region.
Upper 90s to near 100 are expected for much of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend as some cloud cover may keep temperatures slightly cooler in these areas. Regardless, the moisture in place across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend will lead to dewpoints in the low to mid 70s. Dewpoints this high combined with upper 90s to near 100 degree high temperatures will lead to heat index values in the 108- 112 range across these aforementioned zones. Given these values, a heat advisory has been issued for a large portion of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend for Tuesday. Those working or playing outside for any length of time should take frequent breaks in the shade or air conditioning and stay hydrated.

Thunderstorm activity has the highest chances of developing across the Florida Big Bend on Tuesday. Forecast soundings are showing concerning values of DCAPE and SBCAPE across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend on Tuesday with values in the 1400-1700 J/Kg range of DCAPE and 3000-4000 J/Kg of SBCAPE currently forecast. These values will bring the potential for damaging wind gusts and even some isolated hail with plenty of dry air aloft supporting hail growth.
While deep layer shear is around 15 knots, and not significant, these values of DCAPE and SBCAPE coupled with an inverted V sounding will promote the potential for strong damaging winds with any storms that can develop in this environment.

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 358 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Several shortwaves rounding the base of a trough across the Great Lakes Region will bring with them a frontal feature that looks to aid in forcing for ascent. This will lead to scattered showers and storms, primarily across our Florida counties where instability and moisture are more abundant. Strong gusty winds are the primary hazard of concern with this storms as high lapse rates and inverted- V sounding profiles are expected.

Expect overnight lows generally in the mid 70s with daytime highs generally in the mid to upper 90s.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 358 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

The aforementioned frontal feature is expected to remain stalled across the southeast, leading to unsettled weather through Friday.
Thus, showers and storms are expected to remain scattered, with the highest PoPs being along the sea breeze, primarily within our Florida counties. Once we get into this weekend upper level ridging looks to begin building over the region. This will introduce large- scale subsidence and inhibit convection for the eastern half of our area. Conversely, areas along the Florida Panhandle and SE Alabama have better chances of seeing scattered showers and/or storms where PWATs and instability looks to be higher. There`s also the chance that the SE FL Big Bend sees some activity due to the Atlantic sea breeze being enhanced due to the placement of the upper-level ridge.

Expect daytime highs generally in the mid to upper 90s with overnight lows generally in the mid 70s.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 103 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Some models hint at maybe a brief bout of low stratus near TLH around 10-12z, but confidence in this is rather low. TSRA will develop near the FL terminals this afternoon with strong gusty winds possible.
Otherwise, light west to southwest winds are expected for TLH, ECP, and VLD with winds becoming more west to northwest for DHN and ABY.

MARINE
Issued at 358 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Mainly southwesterly winds should hold through tonight before teetering between westerly and southwesterly afterwards. Seas will generally be between 1 to 3 feet, with the 3 foot waves being favored west of Apalachicola. However, long-period swells will continue through the period as a disturbance sits off northeast Mexico. Nightly chances of showers and storms will be possible over the waters with the highest chances east of Apalachicola.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 358 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

High dispersions are expected across SE Alabama and SW Georgia Tuesday as mixing heights reach near 8000 feet across these regions.
Transport winds will predominantly remain below 10 mph out of the west/southwest on Tuesday. Showers and thunderstorms look likely across the Florida Big Bend and portions of the Florida Panhandle on Tuesday as the trailing frontal boundary becomes quasi-stationary across north Florida. Overall, outside of thunderstorm activity and high dispersions across the aforementioned regions, there are no fire weather concerns at this time.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 358 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Diurnal pop-up thunderstorms could lead to localized flooding concerns where slow moving storms could produce several inches of rainfall. Otherwise, there are currently no river flooding concerns.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 97 77 97 76 / 50 10 60 20 Panama City 92 79 91 78 / 30 10 50 30 Dothan 99 75 98 74 / 20 10 40 20 Albany 100 75 100 75 / 10 10 40 20 Valdosta 100 75 99 75 / 40 20 60 20 Cross City 95 76 93 77 / 70 30 70 30 Apalachicola 89 79 89 78 / 50 20 40 30

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Heat Advisory from noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ today to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ008-010-012>019-026>029-108-112- 114-115-118-127.

High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.

GA...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ159-160.

AL...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 13 mi51 minW 8G11
PCBF1 25 mi51 minW 9.9G11 84°F29.91
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi51 minW 4.1G6 82°F 87°F29.92
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 36 mi39 minW 7 83°F 29.9880°F


Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPAM
   
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Wind History graph: PAM
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Tide / Current for Allanton, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Allanton, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
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Tue -- 01:04 AM CDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:42 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:17 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:06 PM CDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:08 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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Northwest Florida,




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