Monday, March30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 7:33PM Monday March 30, 2020 2:11 PM CDT (19:11 UTC) Moonrise 10:03AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 42% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 939 Am Cdt Mon Mar 30 2020
Rest of today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 939 Am Cdt Mon Mar 30 2020
Synopsis.. A warm front will lift north across the coast this morning. Another cold front will sweep through the coastal waters on Tuesday. Southerly winds will increase on tonight ahead of it, with modest offshore developing behind it and continuing into Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 301751 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1251 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

AVIATION. Satellite imagery showing widespread clouds over the forecast area early this afternoon generally within high-end MVFR into VFR. Increasing moisture and clouds incoming ahead of a cold frontal passage expected Tuesday morning. Looking for a few showers to dot the area this afternoon, with convective chances ramping up overnight along and ahead of boundary. Best lift will be at AEX in the vicinity of a retreating warm frontal boundary expected to stall across central Louisiana. Maintaining prevailing showers and a few thunderstorms at this terminal. All remaining terminals have covered with a four hour TEMPO group for showers and again a few thunderstorms. Bulk of rains should conclude by sunrise with skies clearing prior to noon in the wake of the front.

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 1001 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020/

UPDATE . Warm front this morning is lingering just along the coast. Moisture has increased across the forecast area with PWAT value on the 30/12Z KLCH upper air sounding around 1.5 inches. A few showers are already showing up on radar, and as an upper level disturbance moves out of the southern Rockies, low level southerly flow will increase and lift the warm front across the forecast area this afternoon. Frontal lift and increasing moisture will allow for an increase in shower activity, especially by mid to late afternoon. At this point, stronger activity looks to stay northwest and north of the forecast area through the afternoon. Made some minor modifications to the pop and weather grid based on radar trends and latest CAMs.

Rua

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 703 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020/

DISCUSSION . For 12z TAF issuance.

AVIATION . Fairly quiet across the area this morning with mainly mid and high clouds blanketing the region . expect VFR conditions to continue through the afternoon. Could be a few showers beginning later this morning, but particularly this afternoon as we head into max heating. Also expect some elevated srly/serly winds this afternoon as stronger flow aloft mixes down. Rain chances pick up with thunder very possible as we heading into the evening and overnight hours as a strong shortwave approaches from the west . expect ceilings to gradually lower through tonight as well, likely reaching MVFR levels prior to period's end.

25

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 328 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020/

DISCUSSION . A frontal boundary has stalled off the upper Texas and Southwest Louisiana coast and stretches from South Texas to the Mouth of the Mississippi to the Outer Banks of North Carolina. An upper disturbance is pushing through the SW states.

Today the currently stalled front will lift north reaching the coast this morning and the lakes and CenLA by afternoon. The warm and moist air mass that was pushed out a day ago will lift back north from the gulf. The disturbance over the SW states will move into the Southern Plains where a surface low will develop. The system will quickly move east and cross the Lower Mississippi Valley by early Tuesday. This will swing another cold front through the region with scattered to numerous showers and some thunderstorms possible. Cape looks limited at this time, however shear looks sufficient to produce an organized storm or two tonight, but mainly well inland and closest to the area of low pressure.

Rain will quickly exit Tuesday morning with near normal temperatures expected Wednesday and Thursday while high pressure slips by.

The ridge will move east of the area by Thursday afternoon and low pressure will develop in the plains. This will start the return flow ahead of the next system that will affect the area late Friday into this weekend.

MARINE . A warm front will lift north this morning with a onshore flow returning. Another cold front will sweep off the coast early Tuesday with a moderate west flow behind the boundary. Winds will veer north then east Tuesday into Wednesday as high pressure moves by. The onshore flow will return Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. AEX 75 63 78 48 / 50 80 10 0 LCH 80 68 84 53 / 20 50 10 0 LFT 81 68 85 52 / 20 70 20 0 BPT 80 68 83 56 / 20 40 10 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. LA . None. TX . None. GM . None.

AVIATION . 23


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi53 min ESE 8 G 12 76°F 73°F1015.6 hPa
BKTL1 23 mi59 min 75°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi59 min SE 15 G 18 76°F 76°F1017.8 hPa
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi53 min 80°F 73°F1016 hPa
TXPT2 29 mi53 min SE 16 G 18
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi53 min SE 16 G 19 76°F 75°F1014.3 hPa

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi16 minSSE 9 G 1410.00 miOvercast79°F70°F76%1016.6 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi16 minSSE 14 G 2110.00 miOvercast81°F70°F70%1016.3 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi18 minSSE 1310.00 miOvercast81°F72°F74%1015.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KORG

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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NE8E7E7NE4E7NE3NE6NE6NE6NE5CalmE4NE4NE3E3E6E4E5E6E6E6SE6S10
G16
1 day agoS13
G18
S9S7SW9SW7SW3SW4N6N3CalmE3N3N3CalmCalmN3CalmN4CalmNE4NE5NE4NE10E9
2 days agoS10
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Tide / Current Tables for Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.