Orange, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orange, TX

June 14, 2024 11:16 PM CDT (04:16 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:11 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM
Moonrise 12:42 PM   Moonset 12:32 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 1004 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Rest of tonight - Southwest winds around 5 knots late this evening and early morning, becoming light and variable. Lake waters smooth.

Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Lake waters light chop.

Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters choppy. Showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers.

Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday - East winds around 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds around 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 1004 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis - Light offshore flow will prevail through Saturday. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms will return by Saturday as gulf moisture slowly moves northward. Precipitation chances increase significantly Sunday through most of next week as additional moisture from the southern gulf of mexico advances northward. East to southeast winds expected to increase near or above 20 knots, along with increasing seas, beginning Monday, and remain near this level for the remainder of the period. This prolonged east to southeasterly fetch will likely cause increasing tides, with minor coastal flooding possible. Small craft advisories will be likely necessary during this time period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 150355 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1055 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 1005 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A small cluster of thunderstorms has formed late this evening near Vermilion Bay and Saint Mary/New Iberia Parishes, moving west.
This activity is expected to be short-lived as it moves over western portions of Vermilion and West Cote Blanche Bays into eastern Vermilion Parish. Other than adding some low PoPs in this area and making some minor adjustments to hourly temps and winds for this evening, the current forecast is on track with generally quiet conditions expected through Saturday as high pressure prevails aloft.

24

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The short term will be a period of transition as the current dry air mass departs.

A ridge aloft and high pressure at the surface is across the deep south this afternoon with a very dry air mass in place locally.
PWAT on this morning's KLCH sounding was 0.83" which is near the daily min for the date. This dry air mass has kept most cloud cover sparse and allowed temps to rise into the 90s which is a few degrees above normal for the date after a somewhat cool morning.

Through tonight and Saturday the ridge will shift east toward the Atlantic coast. An inverted trough that extends southwest from Florida into the Yucatan will begin to move west around the base of the ridge. Higher moisture will begin to work into the local area as the trough moves farther into the gulf. Saturday is anticipated to be dry once again, however dewpoints are expected to remain higher then nudge upwards through later Saturday and through the night.

A few showers will begin to the return to the coastal waters Saturday night with scattered convection working into the area Sunday, but mainly late in the day. Moisture will increase during the day Sunday. PWAT values will increase to over 2" along the coast of LA by sunset Sunday and may increase to near the daily max for the date in Lower Acadiana. This will occur as the inverted trough slowly moves west across the gulf and central America. The local area will be on the northern fringe of the trough with moisture being pulled northwest around the edge of the departing ridge and setting the stage for a wet extended period.

LONG TERM
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Looking like a wet period for the early to middle part of next week.

The upper level ridge over the northwest Gulf will diminish with the upper level ridge becoming centered over the southeast US and off the coast. This will develop a broad east to west wind flow across the Gulf of Mexico, and this will push the inverted trough and associated deep tropical moisture that has been over the northwest Caribbean into the Florida area to the west.

The deep moisture and trough will reach the forecast area by the beginning of the period on Monday then push it gradually west through Thursday. Currently, the most likely scenario is for the inverted trough axis to stay on the weak side, or if it does develop into a more closed off cyclone, for the closed low to stay well south of the forecast area and across the southern Gulf of Mexico.
Just how closed off or strong the low gets will impact how much of the deep moisture stays over the forecast area. For now, will keep the scenario of basically just a sloppy weak trough feature.

The air mass will definitely have a tropical origin with highly anomalous moisture values. Precipitable Water values will range from 2.2 to 2.4 inches which is well above the 90th percentile for this time of year of around 2 inches, and closer to max moving averages and daily highs. Also, 1000-500 mean layer relative humidity values will be over 80 percent and warm cloud layer will be between 13k-15k feet, which all means that convection will be highly efficient warm process rain makers.

Usually in these air masses, plenty of nocturnal activity occur over the Gulf and right along the coast, and with low convective temperatures, this activity will spread quickly inland during the day.

Reliable QPF numbers show total rainfall amounts from Monday through Wednesday averaging 3-6 inches from along and south of the I-10 corridor, and 1 to 3 inches north of the I-10 corridor. Of course, there could be some locally higher amounts, but way too soon to pinpoint any of that. With the expected rainfall, Marginal to Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 1 and 2 out of 4) that may lead to flooding has been outlined for the Day 4 and 5 periods which is Monday and Tuesday. This outlooks will probably be refined over the next few days and will probably have to be extended into Wednesday also.

Any other impacts will be breezy conditions for right along the coast and offshore with building seas and swells, to go along with some higher than normal tides.

If there is some good news, although it will be muggy, high temperatures should be a little below normal during the period.

07/Rua

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1052 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A small cluster of storms continues to pass well south of ARA and should not cause any impacts near the terminal. Otherwise, FEW-SCT stratocu and cu will be possible at LFT/ARA/LCH the next few hours, with conditions likely trending more SKC toward daybreak. VFR to prevail areawide through the period with light and variable winds tonight becoming E-SE 4-8 KT in the afternoon with FEW-SCT CU again developing.

24

MARINE
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Light winds and low seas will continue into Saturday, however the pressure gradient will tighten Sunday into early next week. Winds and seas will build Sunday through mid week as an inverted trough passes to the south. SCA conditons are anticipated Monday night through Thursday. Tides are also expected to run above normal and minor coastal flooding may be a concern at times of high tide.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 69 96 72 95 / 0 0 0 20 LCH 74 95 74 93 / 0 10 0 40 LFT 75 97 76 93 / 0 10 0 60 BPT 74 95 75 93 / 0 0 0 30

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi46 minS 1.9G2.9 86°F29.90
BKTL1 23 mi46 min 91°F
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi46 min 91°F29.94
TXPT2 29 mi46 minSSE 7G8 89°F29.88
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi46 minS 5.1G7 89°F29.94


Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KORG ORANGE COUNTY,TX 5 sm21 mincalm10 smClear75°F72°F89%29.95
KUXL SOUTHLAND FIELD,LA 18 sm21 mincalm10 smClear77°F70°F78%29.94
KBPT JACK BROOKS RGNL,TX 19 sm23 mincalm10 smClear75°F73°F94%29.92
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KORG
   
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Wind History graph: ORG
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Tide / Current for Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas, Tide feet


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains   
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Lake Charles, LA,




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