Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Parker, FL

.SHORT TERM & LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 128 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Ridging starts sliding to our east Thursday with a shortwave trough moving across the MS Valley into Friday. Dry weather is expected across the area Thursday with high pressure nosing into our area from the western Atlantic. The first shortwave trough passes well to our north as the southern side flattens out. Thus, not much lift happens Friday with only isolated to scattered showers and storms, mostly confined to areas along and west of the Flint River.

A more defined shortwave then moves across the eastern US into Saturday, which will send a cold front down through our area.
However, it too dampens on the south side, which leads to less lift and support along the cold front. Moisture returns is not particularly great either with PWATs around 1.3-1.5 inches. Thus, only scattered showers and storms are expected at this point with some extra support from any sea breeze boundaries. Instability will be sufficient for storms, but shear will be rather weak. Thus, severe weather is not anticipated. Drier weather returns from Sunday into early next week.

High temperatures will be in the upper 80s through Saturday with low to mid 80s into early next week. Lows will be in the 60s through Saturday night with some 50s returning to kick off next week. Some patchy fog is possible across the area Wednesday and Thursday nights.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 122 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

VFR conditions are forecast the rest of the afternoon into the evening with light to moderate southeasterly winds. A few showers and storms are expected along the seabreeze and old backdoor cold front, or around KTLH and KECP. Have attempted to time out those chances accordingly. Elsewhere, an isolated shower or storm are possible near KVLD and KDHN, but confidence and probs were lower than 20 percent, so did not include in the TAFs for those locations.

VFR conditions are forecast to persist tonight into Wednesday morning with the best chance for lower visibilities across the western Florida Panhandle and southeastern Alabama. Wasn't quite confident enough to introduce lower visibility for KDHN and/or KECP with this TAF package, but it's something we'll monitor for future packages. Otherwise, a brief bout of MVFR ceilings are possible again Wednesday morning before becoming VFR again by mid- late Wednesday morning.

MARINE
Issued at 128 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Nocturnal easterly surges are expected over the next few nights given high pressure over the western Atlantic. Winds could reach cautionary conditions in our eastern waters the next couple of nights. Otherwise, generally southeasterly flow is expected through Wednesday before turning more southerly Thursday into Friday, but only light to moderate breezes are expected. Winds turn northerly behind the front Saturday night. Seas around 1-3 feet are expected through the period.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 128 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Shower and thunderstorm chances will remain highest along and west of the Flint/Apalachicola River Basin on Wednesday. Rain chances decrease the rest of the work week before increasing over the weekend. Any storms that are able to form will be capable of producing short-lived gusts of 40 to 50 mph. Outside of the storms, easterly to southeasterly flow persists the next several days as temperatures remain warmer than normal as we head into May.

Fog is possible across the western Florida Panhandle into southeastern Alabama Wednesday morning.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 128 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Only localized downpours are possible over the next several days with storms that develop. These are not expected to produce rainfall significant enough to cause flood concerns.



SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 65 87 64 / 40 10 0 0 Panama City 85 68 82 66 / 30 10 20 0 Dothan 88 65 85 64 / 30 10 30 0 Albany 87 64 87 64 / 20 10 0 0 Valdosta 87 62 89 62 / 20 0 0 0 Cross City 87 60 88 61 / 30 10 0 0 Apalachicola 81 70 78 68 / 10 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.