Tuesday, October15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Park Estates, MS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 6:24PM Tuesday October 15, 2019 6:51 AM CDT (11:51 UTC) Moonrise 7:50PMMoonset 8:23AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ532 Mississippi Sound- 340 Am Cdt Tue Oct 15 2019
Today..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of light rain early in the morning, then scattered showers in the late morning and afternoon. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Scattered showers in the evening. Isolated Thunderstorms through the night. Numerous showers after midnight.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Numerous showers in the morning, then isolated showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Isolated showers through the day.
Friday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Scattered showers.
Saturday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Scattered showers.
Saturday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Scattered showers.
GMZ500 Synopsis Pascagoula To Sw Pass Mississippi- Synopsis Sw Pass Mississippi River To Atchafalaya River- 340 Am Cdt Tue Oct 15 2019
Synopsis..A low pressure system will pass north of the area tonight and tomorrow. As the low pulls away, a cold front will sweep through the coastal waters. High pressure will briefly build in on Thursday, but another low pressure system slide through the gulf of mexico on Friday and Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Park Estates, MS
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location: 30.15, -88.72     debug


Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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Fxus64 klix 150921
afdlix
area forecast discussion
national weather service new orleans la
421 am cdt Tue oct 15 2019

Short term
Warm front moving north very slowly this morning and will set up
over central to southern miss today. This is where most of the
sh TS activity will be found. Most areas north of the tidal lakes
should get atleast a shower today while most areas to the south
may not see a lot of activity. There is a chance of a strong
thunderstorm as cells approach the warm front today but this
should be mainly over the northern most tier of counties parishes.

A new cold front currently over the northern and central plains
will move southeast rapidly today forcing the activity along the
warm front southward. The good thing is the upper support moves
northeast causing the area to become more stable. But showers with
some thunderstorms will still make their way south giving some
rain to south shore locations overnight into Wed morning. The
wind shift will move through the area with the line of sh TS which
will be just before and around daylight wed. The cold front will
lag just a bit and move through the area around and just after
daylight. The line of sh TS will continue to become more stable as
they approach the coast Wed and should decay as they move over
the open gulf waters. Strong high pressure will then settle over
the gulf coast.

The cold front will stall over the northern gulf close to the
coast. The area near the yucatan and bay of campeche this morning
will begin to get funneled northward Thursday spreading out over
the northwestern half of the gulf Friday. The high that will be
over the gulf coast will keep the deep tropical moisture over the
gulf until as early as Friday, and the moisture may move into the
area slowly at first until return flow can get established on the
back side of the high. The highest rainfall areas look to be
anywhere from the central to eastern gulf coast by the end of the
week. But there is still a lot of refining to do with this system.

Models are having a tough time with it and would like to form a
sfc low, but at the same time, westerlies and dry air wrapping in
on the west side look to make things tough on the system. The
systems presentation looks more hybrid but becoming more
baroclinic as it approaches the coast. This is not going to be the
focus though, instead impacts from this system could be several
different forms depending on where the main plume of moisture
comes ashore. Where this occurs, the impacts will likely be
coastal flooding from high tide levels, flooding rainfall, and
severe thunderstorms. By the start of next week, a new strong cold
front moves into the area washing all this mess offshore.

Aviation Ifr ceilings will persist through the early morning
hours at kbtr and kmcb. Boundary layer mixing will increase enough
by mid-morning to allow ceilings to improve to around 2000 feet and
then further improve intoVFR conditions by the afternoon hours at
these terminals. The remainder of the terminals should remain in
vfr conditions through this evening. Some stratus build down is
expected to occur tonight as a cold front moves through the area.

Ceilings should decrease back into MVFR range of 1000 to 3000 feet.

Pg

Marine 10 to 15 knots winds will veer from the southeast to the
southwest today into tonight. By tomorrow morning, a passing front
should shift winds to the northwest. Colder air advecting from the
north tomorrow night will increase winds into the 15 to 20 knot
range. Seas will increase from 1 to 3 feet today and tonight to 3
to 5 feet by tomorrow night. Winds will gradually veer from the
north to the east by the end of the week. A low pressure system
passing through the gulf may push winds into advisory levels over
the gulf waters from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. Seas
of 6 to 8 feet will also be possible as the low pressure system
moves through the gulf on Friday night and Saturday. The low should
push away from the area by Sunday, and a lighter southerly wind of
10 to 15 knots is expected to develop. Seas should also begin to
decrease to 2 to 4 feet by Sunday evening. Pg

Decision support
Dss code: blue.

Deployed: forecaster deployed to support city of new orleans for
building collapse.

Activation: none.

Activities: forecast support to city of new orleans for building
collapse.

Decision support services (dss) code legend
green = no weather impacts that require action.

Blue = long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or high
visibility event; marginal risk severe or excessive rain.

Yellow = heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning or
advisory issuances; radar support for slight risk severe
or excessive rain.

Orange = high impacts; enhanced risk severe; nearby tropical events;
hazmat or other large episodes.

Red = full engagement for moderate to high risk of severe and or
excessive rainfall, or direct tropical threats; events of
national significance.

Preliminary point temps pops
Mcb 81 67 74 49 90 100 40 0
btr 85 70 75 54 90 100 40 0
asd 87 69 81 54 40 90 50 0
msy 88 73 81 62 30 60 70 0
gpt 84 70 79 56 50 80 60 0
pql 85 69 81 54 40 60 60 0

Lix watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Gm... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 12 mi58 min SSE 8.9 G 11 79°F 1015.9 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 17 mi52 min 78°F
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 21 mi67 min E 6 76°F 1017 hPa74°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 28 mi52 min SSE 9.9 79°F 1016.6 hPa (-0.3)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 33 mi52 min ENE 5.1 76°F 1015.9 hPa (-0.3)
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS 34 mi52 min NE 5.1 G 5.1 73°F 76°F1016.1 hPa (-0.0)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 35 mi52 min SE 8.9 G 9.9 79°F 1015.9 hPa (-0.3)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 37 mi52 min S 9.9 G 12 79°F 1015.9 hPa (+0.0)
MBPA1 43 mi52 min 74°F 73°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 49 mi82 min ENE 8 73°F 1015.6 hPa
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 49 mi52 min E 5.1 G 5.1 78°F 79°F1016.5 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Petit Bois Island, Port of Pascagoula, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Keesler Air Force Base / Biloxi, MS22 mi1.9 hrsNE 310.00 miA Few Clouds72°F70°F96%1015.8 hPa
Moss Point - Trent Lott International Airport, MS24 mi59 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist71°F68°F90%1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBIX

Wind History from BIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3NE5NE5NE4NE6N3N3N3NE6NE8NE9NE6NE9E6E7NE6NE5E5NE3E3E4E4NE3NE4
1 day agoN4N5N3N4N3NW4N4N3N3CalmS4NE7N7NE8NE8NE7NE7NE8NE7NE7NE5NE3NE4NE4
2 days agoN7
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N7NE7N6NE12NE8N7NE9NE7NE11NE9NE8NE6NE7E5N3N4N5

Tide / Current Tables for Horn Island, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Chandeleur Light, Louisiana
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Chandeleur Light
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:24 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:13 AM CDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:49 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:43 PM CDT     1.27 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.1110.80.70.60.50.50.40.40.50.50.60.70.70.80.90.911.11.21.21.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.