Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Park Estates, MS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 4:54PM Sunday December 8, 2019 7:51 AM CST (13:51 UTC) Moonrise 3:48PMMoonset 4:05AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ532 Mississippi Sound- 400 Am Cst Sun Dec 8 2019
Today..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Tonight..South winds near 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Showers.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Showers likely.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Showers likely in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers.
GMZ500 Synopsis Pascagoula To Sw Pass Mississippi- Synopsis Sw Pass Mississippi River To Atchafalaya River- 400 Am Cst Sun Dec 8 2019
Synopsis..A cold front will move through the coastal waters late Tuesday. High pressure will build over the area while a surface low develops over the central and eastern gulf. This low could affect the coastal waters by the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Park Estates, MS
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location: 30.15, -88.72     debug


Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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FXUS64 KLIX 080945 AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service New Orleans LA 345 AM CST Sun Dec 8 2019

SHORT TERM. Generally zonal flow pattern is in place overhead with just a weak ripple east of the CWA. A few showers could develop along the axis of that feature today. Most should be east of the local area or just in coastal waters. The probs over land look to be too low to have in the forecast. LONG TERM. A much more amplified upper level trough pattern will move into the midsection of the country Monday, before lifting northeast Wednesday. At the same time, another more southern stream trough will be racing through the Desert Southwest and across Texas. Operational models show a partial to full merge of those 2 troughs Tuesday with troughing spanning across the entire eastern half of the country. Ridge in place ahead of this trough will provide ample warming on Monday. Matched or went slightly above MEX for forecast highs as blended models typically are too low in this prefrontal setup. Forecast highs of mid to upper 70s may still be too low. We saw that last week when we hit low to mid 80s! A cold front associated with the above mentioned trough will move through the forecast area Tuesday. Expecting a few showers ahead of the boundary but the majority of activity along and post frontal. Event qpf amounts suggested by models has becoming steady from previous solutions which is still on the relatively low side at generally less than an inch. POP forecast is generally a blend of those 2 models, peaking at basically 80-100% Tuesday thru Tuesday night. The rain should be fading from nw to se as the day progresses on Wednesday. This is slightly slow than previous forecasts but impacts should be minimal as rain should be light this far back behind the front.

Below normal temperatures will dominate the rest of the week and into the weekend as the CWA generally remains under upper level trough at varying degrees. While Thursday won't see rain over land, models have been showing the potential for a Gulf low to develop as a southern stream trough tracks across south Texas and into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The latitude of this low indicated by GFS and ECMWF are VERY different. So for now, will just be carrying slight chance to chance pops.

MEFFER

AVIATION. Ceilings at OVC020 will break out today becoming SCT020 around noon. There is the potential for some low level ceilings to develop overnight around BKN005 along with some reduction in vis to around 3-4SM. No other issues expected.

MARINE. A few locations showing fog this morning will begin to lift this morning as northerly winds rise over the nearshore waters. Winds will be light and variable today before abruptly becoming south tonight around 15-20kt. These conditions should hold into Monday night as another cold front approaches. Widespread showers will develop Tuesday and remain into Wednesday. Strong northerly winds will also move in behind a cold front Tuesday evening. These conditions will be pressed south into the central gulf Wednesday night, but will rapidly move back into the southern and eastern portions of the coastal waters for the end of next week.

DECISION SUPPORT.

DSS code: Blue. Deployed: None. Activation: None. Activities: Forecast support to City of New Orleans

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. MCB 70 53 75 59 / 10 10 20 80 BTR 71 54 79 61 / 0 10 20 80 ASD 72 51 78 61 / 10 10 10 40 MSY 70 56 78 65 / 10 10 10 30 GPT 69 54 73 61 / 10 10 10 30 PQL 73 53 77 61 / 10 10 10 20

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. LA . None. GM . None. MS . None. GM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
42067 - USM3M02 10 mi51 min NNW 5.8 G 7.8 60°F 1 ft1020.3 hPa (+0.7)
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 12 mi57 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 57°F 1020.8 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 17 mi57 min 64°F
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 21 mi66 min NNE 2.9 55°F 1022 hPa54°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 28 mi81 min ENE 13 59°F 1021 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 33 mi81 min NE 9.9 60°F 1020.7 hPa
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS 34 mi57 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 54°F 59°F1021.1 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 35 mi51 min ENE 12 G 14 59°F 1020.4 hPa (+0.5)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 37 mi57 min E 13 G 16 59°F 1020.2 hPa
MBPA1 43 mi57 min 59°F 56°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 49 mi57 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9 65°F 62°F1021.3 hPa

Wind History for Petit Bois Island, Port of Pascagoula, MS
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Keesler Air Force Base / Biloxi, MS22 mi1.9 hrsN 310.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F51°F89%1020.7 hPa
Moss Point - Trent Lott International Airport, MS24 mi58 minN 08.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F51°F87%1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBIX

Wind History from BIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE8N5NE9NE10--N10N9N7N8N5N4N5N4N6N5N4N4N4N3N3N4N3N3
1 day agoCalmCalmSE5S8S7SW5SW5SW7SW4CalmCalmE4CalmNE3N3NE6NE7NE5NE9NE8NE10NE9NE12
G16
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2 days agoCalmNE4E5E7S7S7S8SE7S5SE4CalmCalmE3SE3E3CalmNE4CalmCalmN3N3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Horn Island, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Chandeleur Light, Louisiana
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Chandeleur Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:06 AM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:09 AM CST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 02:48 PM CST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:55 PM CST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:05 PM CST     0.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.40.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.50.50.60.70.80.90.90.90.80.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.