Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Panama City Beach, FL
December 11, 2023 1:10 AM CST (07:10 UTC)
Sunrise 6:27AM Sunset 4:44PM Moonrise 6:10AM Moonset 4:32PM
GMZ750 Expires:202312111030;;259543 Fzus52 Ktae 110222 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 922 pm est Sun dec 10 2023
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-111030- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 922 pm est Sun dec 10 2023 /822 pm cst Sun dec 10 2023/
.gale warning in effect until 11 pm est /10 pm cst/ this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect from 11 pm est /10 pm cst/ this evening through Monday afternoon...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35 knots, becoming north and decreasing to 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A slight chance of rain.
Friday..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A chance of showers.
Friday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers.
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 922 pm est Sun dec 10 2023
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-111030- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 922 pm est Sun dec 10 2023 /822 pm cst Sun dec 10 2023/
.gale warning in effect until 11 pm est /10 pm cst/ this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect from 11 pm est /10 pm cst/ this evening through Monday afternoon...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35 knots, becoming north and decreasing to 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A slight chance of rain.
Friday..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A chance of showers.
Friday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 922 Pm Est Sun Dec 10 2023
Synopsis..
northerly winds have started to decrease after a gale-force blast behind an earlier sharp cold front. Moderate to fresh breezes will clock around from northerly to easterly over the course of Monday and Tuesday, as strong high pressure moves from the lower mississippi valley on Monday across the southeast states on Tuesday. Then very strong high pressure will bridge south from the ohio valley Wednesday through Friday. In response, northeast winds will freshen, likely reaching near-gale strength and possibly a full gale by Friday.
Synopsis..
northerly winds have started to decrease after a gale-force blast behind an earlier sharp cold front. Moderate to fresh breezes will clock around from northerly to easterly over the course of Monday and Tuesday, as strong high pressure moves from the lower mississippi valley on Monday across the southeast states on Tuesday. Then very strong high pressure will bridge south from the ohio valley Wednesday through Friday. In response, northeast winds will freshen, likely reaching near-gale strength and possibly a full gale by Friday.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 110520 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1220 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Drier and blustery conditions will prevail tonight behind an earlier sharp cold front. High pressure will persist north of the region all week, funneling a seasonably cool and dry air mass into the region through at least Thursday. Low pressure will start to develop over the southern and eastern Gulf late this week and next weekend, bringing the possibility of our next round of wet weather starting as soon as Friday.
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
The sharp cold front has now exited southeast past the Lower Suwannee River. Gusty post-frontal winds continue to usher in a colder and drier air mass, but winds have already decreased enough for an early cancellation of the coastal Wind Advisory.
The remaining post-frontal stratus and mid-level cloudiness will depart over the next few hours. By sunrise, temperatures will bottom out in the 35 to 40 degree range. This assumes wind will stay up enough through the night to inhibit the effect of radiational cooling beneath clearing skies.
Northerly winds will gradually decrease on Monday as a high pressure center moves east across the Lower Mississippi Valley. In the post-frontal air mass, temperatures will run about 5-10 degrees below normal on Monday afternoon.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Surface high pressure will move from the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday across the Southeast States on Tuesday. The air mass will be cool, dry and stable. After a frosty start to the day on Tuesday, surface winds will clock around northeasterly and easterly on Monday night and Tuesday, bringing a slow moderating trend.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A very strong surface high over the Ohio Valley will bridge south across the region on Wednesday, reinforcing and strengthening the northeast and easterly low-level flow. The air mass will remain dry.
A strong subtropical jet stream will cut east across Mexico on Thursday, with favorable coupling of two separate jet streaks for low pressure development in the southern and then eastern Gulf on Friday and Saturday. There are differences among guidance members in how far north its rain shield will extend, which would ultimately affect how soon and how far north rain will spread into our service area.
Disagreement grows next Sunday in how to handle the eastern Gulf low. Recent consensus has been to move the low across the FL Peninsula next Sunday, though there is plenty of guidance that holds off until beyond the Day 7 forecast. This will affect how soon our rain chances will taper off. The structure, proximity and movement of an eventual Gulf low will also make the difference in how windy it gets late in the week. Guidance at least agrees in keeping the center of a future Gulf low to our south, which would keep any threat of severe convection to our south as well.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023
A few MVFR clouds will linger around VLD for another couple of hours before improving to VFR. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
The week ahead is going to be a rough one for mariners on the northeast Gulf. Starting Tuesday night, the southern periphery of very strong high pressure to our north will bridge south into the northeast Gulf, bringing strong northeast breezes that will steadily strengthen to near gale-force by Friday. If you must get on the water this week, Monday night and early Tuesday will be a lull between the recent cold front and the next increase in winds/seas that will start late Tuesday. Merely moderate breezes and seas of 2 to 3 feet will prevail during that short lull on Monday night and early Tuesday.
From CWF synopsis...Northerly winds have started to decrease after a gale-force blast behind an earlier sharp cold front.
Moderate to fresh breezes will clock around from northerly to easterly over the course of Monday and Tuesday, as strong high pressure moves from the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday across the Southeast States on Tuesday. Then very strong high pressure will bridge south from the Ohio Valley Wednesday through Friday.
In response, northeast winds will freshen, likely reaching near- gale strength and possibly a full gale by Friday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will make its way across the districts through this evening. Gusty northwest winds will follow the front tonight, decreasing on Monday. Dispersions will be low around 20-30 units for the next few afternoons. Given the rain today and rainfall from last week, there are no fire weather concerns for the next few days.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Heavy rain is done. The next hydrologically significant rainfall is not expected until next weekend.
So for now, we are watching riverine response to the 1 to 3 inches of rain that fell on Sunday across a large portion of the Florida Big Bend, with local amounts of 4 to 5 inches over Liberty and inland Gulf Counties. Coastal rivers were already running high from the heavy rain a week ago, so this new round of rain will keep coastal rivers running high from Panama City all the way around through Taylor County. It is possible that a river or two could touch minor flood stage. The latest river forecast for brings the Aucilla at Lamont back above flood, after only recently dipping beneath flood stage. Other rivers to watch will be the Saint Marks, Econfina, and Fenholloway.
The next round of rain is forecast starting around Friday, possibly persisting into next weekend. There is a wide range of possible outcomes for how much rain may fall, so it will be worth checking back in a few days. Coastal rivers will still be running high as we head into the next rain event 5-7 days out.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 56 35 61 43 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 58 39 61 44 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 54 33 59 38 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 54 32 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 55 34 61 41 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 59 35 66 47 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 58 41 61 48 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EST /4 AM CST/ early this morning for FLZ108-115.
High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1220 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Drier and blustery conditions will prevail tonight behind an earlier sharp cold front. High pressure will persist north of the region all week, funneling a seasonably cool and dry air mass into the region through at least Thursday. Low pressure will start to develop over the southern and eastern Gulf late this week and next weekend, bringing the possibility of our next round of wet weather starting as soon as Friday.
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
The sharp cold front has now exited southeast past the Lower Suwannee River. Gusty post-frontal winds continue to usher in a colder and drier air mass, but winds have already decreased enough for an early cancellation of the coastal Wind Advisory.
The remaining post-frontal stratus and mid-level cloudiness will depart over the next few hours. By sunrise, temperatures will bottom out in the 35 to 40 degree range. This assumes wind will stay up enough through the night to inhibit the effect of radiational cooling beneath clearing skies.
Northerly winds will gradually decrease on Monday as a high pressure center moves east across the Lower Mississippi Valley. In the post-frontal air mass, temperatures will run about 5-10 degrees below normal on Monday afternoon.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Surface high pressure will move from the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday across the Southeast States on Tuesday. The air mass will be cool, dry and stable. After a frosty start to the day on Tuesday, surface winds will clock around northeasterly and easterly on Monday night and Tuesday, bringing a slow moderating trend.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A very strong surface high over the Ohio Valley will bridge south across the region on Wednesday, reinforcing and strengthening the northeast and easterly low-level flow. The air mass will remain dry.
A strong subtropical jet stream will cut east across Mexico on Thursday, with favorable coupling of two separate jet streaks for low pressure development in the southern and then eastern Gulf on Friday and Saturday. There are differences among guidance members in how far north its rain shield will extend, which would ultimately affect how soon and how far north rain will spread into our service area.
Disagreement grows next Sunday in how to handle the eastern Gulf low. Recent consensus has been to move the low across the FL Peninsula next Sunday, though there is plenty of guidance that holds off until beyond the Day 7 forecast. This will affect how soon our rain chances will taper off. The structure, proximity and movement of an eventual Gulf low will also make the difference in how windy it gets late in the week. Guidance at least agrees in keeping the center of a future Gulf low to our south, which would keep any threat of severe convection to our south as well.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023
A few MVFR clouds will linger around VLD for another couple of hours before improving to VFR. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
The week ahead is going to be a rough one for mariners on the northeast Gulf. Starting Tuesday night, the southern periphery of very strong high pressure to our north will bridge south into the northeast Gulf, bringing strong northeast breezes that will steadily strengthen to near gale-force by Friday. If you must get on the water this week, Monday night and early Tuesday will be a lull between the recent cold front and the next increase in winds/seas that will start late Tuesday. Merely moderate breezes and seas of 2 to 3 feet will prevail during that short lull on Monday night and early Tuesday.
From CWF synopsis...Northerly winds have started to decrease after a gale-force blast behind an earlier sharp cold front.
Moderate to fresh breezes will clock around from northerly to easterly over the course of Monday and Tuesday, as strong high pressure moves from the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday across the Southeast States on Tuesday. Then very strong high pressure will bridge south from the Ohio Valley Wednesday through Friday.
In response, northeast winds will freshen, likely reaching near- gale strength and possibly a full gale by Friday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will make its way across the districts through this evening. Gusty northwest winds will follow the front tonight, decreasing on Monday. Dispersions will be low around 20-30 units for the next few afternoons. Given the rain today and rainfall from last week, there are no fire weather concerns for the next few days.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 956 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Heavy rain is done. The next hydrologically significant rainfall is not expected until next weekend.
So for now, we are watching riverine response to the 1 to 3 inches of rain that fell on Sunday across a large portion of the Florida Big Bend, with local amounts of 4 to 5 inches over Liberty and inland Gulf Counties. Coastal rivers were already running high from the heavy rain a week ago, so this new round of rain will keep coastal rivers running high from Panama City all the way around through Taylor County. It is possible that a river or two could touch minor flood stage. The latest river forecast for brings the Aucilla at Lamont back above flood, after only recently dipping beneath flood stage. Other rivers to watch will be the Saint Marks, Econfina, and Fenholloway.
The next round of rain is forecast starting around Friday, possibly persisting into next weekend. There is a wide range of possible outcomes for how much rain may fall, so it will be worth checking back in a few days. Coastal rivers will still be running high as we head into the next rain event 5-7 days out.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 56 35 61 43 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 58 39 61 44 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 54 33 59 38 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 54 32 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 55 34 61 41 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 59 35 66 47 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 58 41 61 48 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EST /4 AM CST/ early this morning for FLZ108-115.
High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PCBF1 | 0 mi | 53 min | NNW 12G | 46°F | 63°F | 30.09 | ||
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 12 mi | 53 min | NNW 8.9G | 63°F | ||||
| APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 58 mi | 53 min | NNW 5.1G | 48°F | 60°F | 30.06 | ||
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 61 mi | 71 min | NNW 13 | 51°F | 30.09 | 46°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 11 sm | 17 min | NW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 37°F | 76% | 30.08 | |
| KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL | 19 sm | 75 min | NNW 19G23 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 37°F | 66% | 30.07 |
Wind History from ECP
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Panama City Beach (outside), St. Andrew Bay, Florida (sub)
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Panama City Beach (outside), St. Andrew Bay, Florida (sub), Tide feet
West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:06 AM CST Moonrise
Sun -- 06:29 AM CST Sunrise
Sun -- 08:21 AM CST -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:50 PM CST Moonset
Sun -- 04:43 PM CST Sunset
Sun -- 08:59 PM CST 1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:06 AM CST Moonrise
Sun -- 06:29 AM CST Sunrise
Sun -- 08:21 AM CST -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:50 PM CST Moonset
Sun -- 04:43 PM CST Sunset
Sun -- 08:59 PM CST 1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.9 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.2 |
| 5 am |
| -0 |
| 6 am |
| -0.2 |
| 7 am |
| -0.3 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -0.3 |
| 11 am |
| -0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Northwest Florida,
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