Panama City Beach, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Panama City Beach, FL

May 9, 2024 2:25 PM CDT (19:25 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 7:27 PM
Moonrise 6:47 AM   Moonset 9:36 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202405100715;;919237 Fzus52 Ktae 091824 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 224 pm edt Thu may 9 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-100715- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 224 pm edt Thu may 9 2024 /124 pm cdt Thu may 9 2024/

Tonight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.

Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: southwest 4 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning.

Friday night - West winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: southwest 4 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Saturday - North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: west 3 feet at 5 seconds and north 2 feet at 2 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.

Saturday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: northwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.

Sunday - Northeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.

Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.

Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.

Tuesday - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters choppy. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 224 Pm Edt Thu May 9 2024

Synopsis -
an atlantic ridge axis across the southern florida peninsula will retreat southward tonight. A cold front will slowly approach from the north on Friday, preceded by strong to severe Thunderstorms over the waters. Cautionary conditions could be possible Friday. The front will limp across the waters on Friday night. It will be followed by moderate to occasionally fresh northerly breezes on Saturday morning. Surface high pressure over the southern plains on Saturday will move across the southeast states on Sunday, causing winds to clock around. High pressure will move east into the atlantic on Monday, brining a return to south-southeasterly flow.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panama City Beach, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 091911 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 311 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH DAMAGING WINDS (SOME GUSTS 74 MPH + ALONG AND NORTH OF I-10) AND A FEW TORNADOES THE PRIMARY THREATS...

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY

NEAR TERM
(Through Friday night)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Currently as of 18z (2pm EDT), a broken deck of widespread cumulus clouds have puffed up across the entire region. We have temperatures in the upper 80s to nearly 90 degrees with dew points in the 70s. A broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms (along an Irwin Co GA to Quitman Co GA line) will be moving south/southeast as the outflow boundary pushes south this afternoon into the evening hours. Current Mesoanalysis data (18z) indicates deep layer shear of around 40-50 kts, surface based CAPE around 3500 J/kg (18z balloon launch shows 2700 J/kg at Tallahassee), and low to mid-level lapse rates are around 7C/km. All the ingredients are here for a potential severe weather outbreak that includes all hazards.

We are expecting multiple rounds of severe weather today through tomorrow. The first round is ongoing as of the issuance of this AFD.
As mentioned before, all hazards will be possible with the main concerns being destructive winds up to 75 mph and large hail. Our Alabama and Georgia counties are currently in an Enhanced (3 of 5)
risk for Severe weather this afternoon through early tomorrow morning. From the Florida state line south to the Gulf coast is included in a Slight (2 of 5) risk for severe weather. Along with the storms comes the probability of heavy rainfall, which the WPC has included areas along and north of I-10 in a Slight (2 of 4) risk for excessive rainfall. Flash flooding will be a concern with any training storms.

Round 1: Storms will be moving along an outflow boundary south/southeast into our Georgia and Alabama counties this afternoon and continue south/southeast into the evening hours. All hazards will be possible with these lines of storms. The storms will likely move into the Florida Big Bend region later this evening. Rain chances are highest for our AL and GA counties with PoPs ranging from 60-80 percent. For areas along and south of I-10, PoPs decrease from 50% to about 30% for the extreme SE Big Bend this evening.

Between rounds, we expect a lull in convective activity.

Round 2: A line of storms will be coming in from the west that develops along a shortwave perturbation, leading to a QLCS around the Mississippi River and quickly moving across the Gulf States during the early morning hours on Friday. This round of storms are the more concerning ones for this event. This line of storms will move quickly across the CWA during the morning hours. We are still prior to 12z Friday at this time, so the Enhanced SPC risk is still in place. The main concern for this round will be the destructive winds. Hi-res guidance is indicating a possible widespread swath of damaging winds, with possible gusts greater than 74 mph, and a few tornadoes with this QLCS. A reminder, this round will be beginning during the overnight hours and continuing through daybreak. PoPs for Friday morning range from 50-80%, mainly along the state line and areas north. This line of storms should complete its passage through the CWA by mid-late morning, exiting to the SE Big Bend.

However, there may be some showers and thunderstorms following this QLCS that may develop, but confidence is medium at the moment. That will depend on how all previous storms behaved and whether the atmosphere is stable or not.

After all that, the cold front will finally make its passage during the evening hours Friday through the overnight hours.

Coming back to the present, temperatures today will be warm in the upper 80s to low 90s, with overnight temps cooling to the low 70s.
Friday's highs will be a little cooler in the mid-80s due to the rain and cloud cover.

SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday Night)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

No weather concerns during this time frame for any severe weather recovery efforts. No precipitation is expected on Saturday and Sunday with a cooler and drier air mass compared to earlier in the week. It will be mostly sunny on Saturday with an increase in mid and high level cloudiness on Sunday. Highs both days in the low to mid-80s and lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Much lower dew points will make for a comfortable air mass this weekend. Winds will generally be around 10 mph.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

On Monday another shortwave looks to move across the northern Gulf states with our region possibly being impacted on Tuesday as winds turn to being southeasterly. With this shortwave possibly moving overhead, a stationary boundary to our south, left behind from the previous system, and a low-level wind field again around 30-45 kts, the potential for severe is once again present. We'll have to see how this progresses over the next few days to have better confidence, be sure to come back for updates.

Expect relatively cooler temps to what we've been experiencing as of late. Daytime highs will generally be in the low to mid 80s with overnight lows generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s until Tuesday morning. Beyond Tuesday morning, overnight lows look to rebound into the mid and upper 60s.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

A mix of VFR and MVFR conditions are expected to continue for the afternoon hours for all TAF sites. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage this afternoon through the rest of the TAF period. Some storms may be severe with destructive wind gusts and large hail, and a few tornadoes will be possible. The timing of storms is expected in two rounds, with the first starting this afternoon at the beginning of this TAF period, and the second round arriving late overnight into the morning hours on Friday.
During storms, expect poor flight conditions. Outside of storms, we do expect gusty winds for the afternoon. Winds may gust up to 25-30kts with southwesterly winds sustained around 15-20kts.

Storms are expected to clear out of the region by the end of this term but, there may be some lingering thunderstorms in the late morning into early afternoon Friday. Confidence in this possible third round is low at this time. This will be determined by how today's storms behave.

MARINE
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

An Atlantic ridge axis across the southern Florida Peninsula will retreat southward tonight. A cold front will slowly approach from the north on Friday, preceded by strong to severe thunderstorms over the waters. Cautionary conditions could be possible Friday. The front will limp across the waters on Friday night. It will be followed by moderate to occasionally fresh northerly breezes on Saturday morning. Surface high pressure over the southern Plains on Saturday will move across the Southeast States on Sunday, causing winds to clock around. High pressure will move east into the Atlantic on Monday, brining a return to south-southeasterly flow.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Multiple rounds of wetting rains and severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through Friday morning. The first round is this afternoon through the evening hours where all modes of severe weather are possible. Outside of storms, high dispersions are still likely for the rest of this afternoon for areas along the I-10/I-75 Corridor in the FL Big Bend.

The second round of storms is expected during the morning hours on Friday. By the afternoon, showers and thunderstorms are expected to have cleared the CWA with fair dispersions behind the storms.
Elevated dispersions will be just behind the front, possibly clipping our northwestern-most counties in SE Alabama Friday afternoon. Fair to moderate dispersions are expected for the rest of the period. Following Friday's cold front, winds will shift to be northerly, with transwinds at about 10-15 mph. Temperatures will be briefly cooler with MinRH in the mid-30s% to around 40%.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

A slight risk of excessive rainfall exists along and north of I-10 today and tonight (SE AL, SW GA, and portions of the FL counties), with a marginal risk for most of the area on Friday as a frontal system looks to push through the region. The primary risk here being torrential downpours or training within any thunderstorm(s) leading to a localized flash flooding risk. Otherwise, area rivers are expected to remain below flood stage. In the extended period the WPC is forecasting 3-5 inches by midweek next week. This could introduce some riverine concerns, however, it's too far out to say with any degree of confidence.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 92 72 86 62 / 50 40 70 10 Panama City 86 74 84 64 / 30 50 50 0 Dothan 89 69 83 59 / 70 80 80 0 Albany 89 69 83 58 / 70 60 80 0 Valdosta 91 70 83 62 / 60 40 80 10 Cross City 88 72 86 64 / 30 50 40 30 Apalachicola 84 76 83 66 / 20 50 40 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for FLZ108-112- 114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
PCBF1 0 mi56 min S 14G16 79°F 81°F29.88
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 12 mi56 min S 13G18 82°F


Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL 11 sm31 minS 16G2210 smOvercast86°F77°F75%29.86
KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL 19 sm30 minSSW 14G2010 smPartly Cloudy86°F77°F75%29.87
Link to 5 minute data for KECP


Wind History from ECP
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Panama City Beach, Florida
   
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:53 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:47 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:43 AM CDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:18 PM CDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:35 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.2
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.7
4
am
0.9
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.4
7
am
1.7
8
am
1.9
9
am
1.9
10
am
1.8
11
am
1.7
12
pm
1.5
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
0.1
5
pm
-0.2
6
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-0.3
7
pm
-0.4
8
pm
-0.4
9
pm
-0.4
10
pm
-0.4
11
pm
-0.3


Tide / Current for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:53 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:47 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:12 PM CDT     2.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:35 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
-0.6
1
am
-0.5
2
am
-0.4
3
am
-0.2
4
am
0.1
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.7
7
am
1
8
am
1.3
9
am
1.6
10
am
1.9
11
am
2.1
12
pm
2.2
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
2
3
pm
1.8
4
pm
1.6
5
pm
1.2
6
pm
0.9
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
-0.4
11
pm
-0.5


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Northwest Florida,





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