Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange Beach, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 6:12PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 7:45 PM CDT (00:45 UTC) Moonrise 12:41AMMoonset 2:48PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 342 Pm Cdt Tue Oct 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday morning...
Tonight..North winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 18 to 23 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday..East winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 342 Pm Cdt Tue Oct 22 2019
Synopsis..Moderate to strong northerly winds become a moderate northeast flow on Wednesday. A moderate to strong easterly flow follows for Thursday into Friday, then a light to moderate east to southeast flow is expected on Saturday and Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange Beach, AL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.22, -87.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus64 kmob 222335 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
635 pm cdt Tue oct 22 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
00z issuance...VFR conditions through 24.00z. Broken high clouds
around 35,000 feet will exit the region overnight. North winds
around 5 knots tonight into Wednesday morning will become mainly
northeast around 10 knots. 22

Prev discussion issued 402 pm cdt Tue oct 22 2019
near term now through Wednesday ... An upper trof over the
eastern states takes on a significant negative tilt tonight while
lifting into the northeast states. The upper trof continues
further off to the north on Wednesday as another upper trof
begins to develop over the central states. A dome of cool high
pressure settles over the forecast area tonight then shifts to the
mid atlantic coast on Wednesday, leaving a surface ridge over the
area. Dry conditions continue through the period with calm or
light northerly winds tonight becoming northeasterly on
Wednesday. Lows tonight generally range from the lower 40s inland
to near 50 at the immediate coast. Highs on Wednesday range from
around 70 well inland to the lower 70s closer to the coast. After
a high risk of rip currents expires at 6 pm, a moderate risk of
rip currents is expected for the remainder of the period. 29
short term Wednesday night through Friday night ... There
remains a fair amount of uncertainty with the evolution of the
upper trof developing over the west central states, specifically
regarding whether or not the upper trof starts to cut off an
upper low near the 4 corners area on Thursday. As noted by wpc
discussions (pmdepd, pmdhmd), it appears that there may be a trend
towards favoring a solution with a cut off upper low, or at least
a slower eastward progression of the upper trof than indicated by
the gfs. This has important ramifications for pops and rainfall
amounts in the forecast as the upper pattern affects how far east
a plains cold front will progress and also how a surface
wave surface low develops over the southwestern gulf and
progresses northward. For this package, am expecting a cold front
which develops over the plains to advance to near northwest
mississippi to western louisiana Thursday night. An inverted
surface trof meanwhile develops over the western gulf and forms a
surface low over the northwest gulf on the frontal boundary. The
surface low may lift northward across louisiana through Friday
night or linger near the northwest gulf, either way this looks
like a pattern supportive of higher pops later in the period.

Will have small pops return to the forecast near the coast on
Thursday, then likely to categorical pops follow for Thursday
night into Friday. There is also the potential for a heavy rain
event to set up somewhere along the northern gulf coast states,
but not enough confidence to determine where at this point. Highs
on Thursday will be in the lower to mid 70s. Highs on Friday will
range from the mid 60s to lower 70s along and west of i-65 with
lower to mid 70s east of i-65. Lows Wednesday night will be mostly
in the mid to upper 40s inland ranging to mid 50s at the coast.

Lows Thursday night and Friday night typically range from the mid
50s to lower 60s inland to the mid 60s at the coast. A moderate
risk of rip currents is expected through the period. 29
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... Low confidence forecast
during the period as much depends on how the upper trof and
associated surface features pan out. The surface low which is
expected to be located somewhere near louisiana or arkansas at
the beginning of the period tracks northeastward, probably
bringing a cold front into the forecast area on Sunday which then
stalls. For now will have chance pops on Saturday then slight
chance to chance pops follow for the remaining days. Will continue
to reassess this pattern on subsequent shifts. 29
marine... Moderate to strong northerly winds become a moderate
northeast flow on Wednesday. A moderate to strong easterly flow
follows for Thursday into Friday, then a light to moderate east to
southeast flow is expected on Saturday and Sunday. 29

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 10 am cdt Wednesday for gmz650-655-
670-675.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm cdt this evening for gmz631-632.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 4 mi46 min 70°F 1019.6 hPa (+2.0)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 11 mi26 min NNW 14 G 18 74°F 79°F1019.3 hPa46°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 16 mi76 min NNW 11 72°F 1018.6 hPa
WBYA1 20 mi46 min 74°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 20 mi61 min 62°F 1019 hPa51°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 22 mi46 min NW 2.9 G 2.9 70°F 76°F1019 hPa (+1.6)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi46 min NNW 15 G 16 72°F 1019 hPa (+1.2)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 27 mi46 min NW 13 G 15 71°F 1019.3 hPa (+1.3)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 31 mi46 min NW 8.9 69°F 1019 hPa (+1.4)
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 35 mi76 min N 12 72°F 1019.3 hPa
MBPA1 35 mi46 min 65°F 44°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 37 mi46 min NW 4.1 68°F 1019.6 hPa (+2.0)
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 40 mi46 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 73°F 76°F1019.6 hPa (+1.5)
PTOA1 40 mi46 min 69°F 46°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 42 mi46 min 68°F 76°F1019.4 hPa (+1.5)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 47 mi61 min NNW 4.1 69°F 1020 hPa50°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last
24hr
S4
G7
N3
SE4
G10
--
S9
S7
G10
S1
--
W1
NW2
NW5
N11
G18
N8
G13
N7
G14
N13
G19
N8
G15
N10
G13
N11
G18
N7
G14
N11
G14
NW11
G15
NW8
G13
NW6
G10
NW4
1 day
ago
S2
S2
SE1
S2
S4
S4
S6
S7
S6
G9
S6
S6
S6
S4
G7
S5
S6
S7
S7
S6
S5
S4
S4
S4
S4
S4
2 days
ago
NW6
G11
NW6
NW4
NW4
G7
N3
NW2
NW2
--
NW1
NW2
N2
SE1
NE2
SW1
E1
SE1
G4
E2
S4
S3
S5
S6
S5
S3
S3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL8 mi71 minN 010.00 miFair66°F46°F49%1019 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL16 mi50 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F53°F75%1018.8 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL24 mi51 minNW 310.00 miFair63°F42°F49%1019 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJKA

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last 24hrE8SW3SE8S10W7CalmW3W4W10NW10NW6N8NW9
G18
NW9
G19
N7
G18
N9
G18
N10
G20
N12
G19
NW11
G17
N6NW6NW6N5Calm
1 day agoE3SE3S7S8SE8SE8S4S9S10S10S12
G15
S11S10S10S12
G18
S10
G16
S11S7S8
G15
S7SE4SE5W8
G15
NE6
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4E4S8E4SE7S8S8S9S7S7SE5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Bon Secour
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:42 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:04 AM CDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 02:49 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:29 PM CDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:12 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.61.81.922.12.12.121.81.71.41.210.80.60.50.30.30.30.40.50.711.2

Tide / Current Tables for Nix Point, Perdido Bay, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (20,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.