Wednesday, April8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orange Beach, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 7:13PM Wednesday April 8, 2020 10:49 AM CDT (15:49 UTC) Moonrise 8:09PMMoonset 7:07AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 329 Am Cdt Wed Apr 8 2020
Today..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday..West winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely after midnight.
Friday..North winds 18 to 23 knots becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Saturday..East winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet building to 2 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday..South winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 329 Am Cdt Wed Apr 8 2020
Synopsis..Light to occasionaly moderate westerly flow today will increase to a more moderate flow Thursday as a weak front moves into the area. Showers and storms will be possible in association with this front, which will likely move just offshore by Thursday night. Behind the front, a moderate to strong northeast flow is expected for Friday. A developing weather system over the weekend will then likely result in even stronger winds and building seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange Beach, AL
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location: 30.22, -87.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 081121 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 621 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020

AVIATION. 12Z issuance . Generally MVFR/IFR conditions are ongoing this morning with a few patches of LIFR occurring as well. Conditions improve to MVFR/VFR levels throughout the day. Scattered showers and storms are expected this afternoon and evening, with a few potentially becoming strong to severe. Convection wanes after sunset and lower cigs/vis return late tonight into Thursday morning. Winds remain generally out of the southwest at around 5 to 10 knots, possibly a bit more breezy right along the coast during afternoon hours. /49

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 354 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Tonight/ . Upper level ridging will become more zonal through tonight and persist through early Thursday morning as a northern stream trough begins to progress over the Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley regions. Closer to the surface, high pressure will maintain its hold over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico throughout today before a cold front advances towards the region by early Thursday morning.

While some isolated, light showers are possible this morning (seeing a few weak echos on radar along Florida panhandle beaches at the moment), most areas will stay dry. Also seeing some slight reductions in visibility from surface stations across our area as patchy fog develops. This fog will dissipate by mid morning.

A few, weak upper level impulses will pass over the northern Gulf coast throughout today. There will also be plenty of instability in the afternoon, with between 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE shown by model guidance across much of the area. Models also show between 40 and 50 knots of bulk shear along with 500-700mb lapse rates around 6-6.5 C/km. Furthermore, west southwest flow will continue to usher moisture into the region, with dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s and between 1.7 and 1.8 inches of precipitable water expected during this time. This environment is certainly capable of supporting unsettled weather through the near term, particularly for areas north of Interstate 10. The biggest limiting factor in convective initiation is the lack of a substantial lifting mechanism. However, taking into consideration the aforementioned upper impulses and magnitude of daytime heating, expecting at least a few storms to develop by late afternoon and early evening hours across the area. A few of these could become strong to severe, with the primary threats being damaging straight-line winds and hail up to quarter size. The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked areas generally along and north of an Andalusia, AL to Leakesville, MS line in a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms to reflect this potential.

By late evening, the loss of daytime heating will cause storm potential to wane. In addition, model guidance suggests very limited rain chances overnight tonight, with only a slight chance for a passing shower north of Highway 84. Cloud cover is expected to decrease through the evening as well. High temperatures this afternoon are expected to be in the mid 80s. Low temperatures tonight remain mild and muggy, in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Patchy fog will again be possible late tonight into early Thursday morning, mainly along and southeast of Interstate 65. (26/49)

SHORT TERM /Thursday Through Friday night/ . The clipper system centered over the northern Great Lakes will continue eastward into the northeast. At the surface, a weak cold front will drop south with convective outflow aiding in its southward surge. The front will likely push offshore by mid- afternoon Thursday with a few weak showers associated with it. By Thursday night, a moderate southern stream speed maxima will begin to overspread the area. Weak to moderate isentropic upglide will be associated with this impulse and showers and a few elevated storms will develop over interior southeastern Mississippi and spread eastward. Given PWATS will be in the range of 1.6 to 1.8 inches, some periods of heavier rain could be possible along the I-10 corridor. Rain will likely persist through the morning Friday as the upper impulse moves through the flow. Drier air will filter Friday afternoon and skies will begin to clear.

Guidance has slowed some with the progression of the front Thursday allowing for better solar insolation leading to warmer high temperatures. Highs will likely reach the mid to upper 80s on Thursday before the front moves through. Behind the front, temperatures will cool into the 50s for lows and low 70s for highs Friday. BB/03

EXTENDED TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/ . The closed upper low over the Southwest will pivot east and open up as it quickly lifts to the northeast across the Southern Plains and into the Midwest over the weekend. The model solutions still diverge in the evolution and timing of the low as it begins to open up and lift out of the Plains, albeit not quite as much as in past runs. Regardless of these differences, the aforementioned surface high in the short term will quickly slide east on Saturday. A surface low is expected to quickly develop and race toward the Mid South and lift further to the northeast on Sunday. A warm front will lift through the area on Saturday and southerly flow will allow Gulf moisture to surge back into the area by the afternoon with modeled PWATs of nearly 2 inches. Subsequently, rain chances continue to trend upward throughout the day on Saturday with the best chance for rain occurring across the southern half of the area on Saturday afternoon. The bulk of the rain is expected overnight Saturday through Sunday afternoon. The area remains in the warm sector with sufficient instability to support strong to severe storms, but the timing of the system is the big uncertainty at this point. In the wake of this system, high pressure builds into the Southeast next week and the area dries out again. No large temperature swings in the extended timeframe. 07/mb

MARINE . Light to occasionaly moderate westerly flow today will increase to a more moderate flow Thursday as a weak front moves into the area. Ahead of the front, some patchy fog could be possible in the bays early Thursday morning. Showers and storms will be possible in association with this front, which will likely move just offshore by Thursday night. Behind the front, a moderate to strong northeast flow is expected for Friday and a short duration small craft advisory may be needed. Elsewhere, small craft will need to exercise caution before winds weaken Friday night. Later in the weekend, a strong system will likely impact the gulf coast leading to strong southerly flow and increasing seas. We will have to monitor this system for potential hazards this week. BB/03

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 4 mi49 min 77°F 1015.2 hPa (+0.7)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 11 mi19 min SW 9.7 G 12 74°F 74°F1015.4 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 16 mi79 min WSW 8 74°F 1014.9 hPa
WBYA1 20 mi49 min 76°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 20 mi64 min 76°F 1015 hPa75°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 22 mi49 min S 2.9 G 7 78°F 73°F1014.7 hPa (+0.6)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi55 min WSW 13 G 13 74°F 1014.9 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 27 mi49 min SW 8 G 9.9 75°F 1014.9 hPa (+0.9)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 31 mi49 min SSW 12 75°F 1014.9 hPa (+0.7)
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 35 mi49 min SW 9.9 60°F 1015.2 hPa (+1.4)
MBPA1 35 mi49 min 79°F 75°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 37 mi49 min SSE 4.1 73°F 1014.9 hPa (+0.7)
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 40 mi49 min WSW 5.1 G 8.9 84°F 73°F1014.6 hPa (+0.5)
PTOA1 40 mi49 min 78°F 73°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 42 mi49 min 78°F 70°F1014.5 hPa (+0.6)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 47 mi64 min WSW 9.9 76°F 1016 hPa75°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL8 mi54 minWSW 810.00 miOvercast79°F73°F85%1014.9 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL16 mi1.9 hrsWSW 68.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F73°F87%1014.5 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL24 mi74 minWSW 37.00 miOvercast73°F73°F100%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJKA

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE6SE8
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E8SE8SE9SE6S5SW6SE4S6S6W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S7S7
2 days agoE6S7S11S10
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SW6S8S4SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4--

Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
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Bon Secour
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:37 AM CDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:22 AM CDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:31 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:06 PM CDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:14 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:10 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:21 PM CDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.9110.90.90.90.90.911.11.21.31.31.31.21.10.90.70.60.40.40.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Nix Point, Perdido Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.