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Marine Weather and Tides Gulf Shores, AL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:57AM

Sunset 7:57PM

Monday July 13, 2020 7:27 PM CDT (00:27 UTC)

Moonrise 12:50AM

Moonset 1:40PM

Illumination 39%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Shores, AL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 132342 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 642 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

AVIATION (14/00Z Issuance). Isolated thunderstorms currently drifting south across the coastal counties of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle will gradually diminish in intensity and coverage over the next few hours. By 14/02Z expect most of the activity to have dissipated. Before the storms dissipate, a few could produce strong, erratic wind gusts and locally low CIGS/VIS (down to IFR in some isolated locations). Outside of convection and then through the overnight hours, VFR conditions and light winds are expected to prevail(except for perhaps right along the coast where some MVFR to locally IFR cigs could develop late tonight into early Tuesday morning). /12

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 309 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Tuesday/ . An upper trof over the eastern states finally moves off into the western Atlantic through Tuesday. In response, an upper ridge centered along the Mexico/U.S. border into the western Gulf expands eastward across the southeastern states. A series of shortwaves continue to move across the area through the period along the periphery of this upper ridge. Weak and variable surface winds are expected across the area with the exception being southwesterly winds developing near the coast during afternoon and evening hours driven by a weak sea breeze circulation. A light northerly surface flow prevails tonight then again becomes southerly near the coast on Tuesday with daytime heating. Abundant dry air above 750 mb today results in wet bulb zero values near 10-11 kft. Similar values will be present over the eastern portion of the area on Tuesday while further to the west will see improving mid-level moisture. The mid-level dry air, in combination with moderate instability and a moist boundary layer characterized by PWATs around 1.5 to 1.8 inches, could support some wet microburst potential in stronger storms each afternoon. As expected, DCAPE values exceed 1200 J/kg across much of the area today (per latest mesoanalysis) and will do so again on Tuesday. Considering this, cannot rule out the potential for some strong to locally damaging wind gusts with stronger storms. Maintained a slight chance to chance PoP each day given the added support of the aforementioned passing upper shortwaves, with the potential for higher coverage occurring along the weak sea breeze that develops each afternoon.

The Heat Advisory currently in effect for portions of interior southeast Mississippi, extreme southwest Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle continues through this evening. Lows tonight mostly range from the mid 70s inland to the upper 70s at the coast. Highs on Tuesday remain in the mid 90s, and another heat advisory will likely be required for the southern portion of the area. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday. /29/49

SHORT TERM /Tuesday night Through Thursday night/ . An upper trough over the east coast will lift out as an upper ridge over the plains slowly noses east. However, a small piece of the trough gets left behind and cuts off as a weak upper low over the area on Tuesday night. It will drift southward through Thursday as the upper ridge expands eastward with resultant upper level northerly flow. The end result will be continued hot and humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. Showers and thunderstorms will start near the coast in the morning, developing inland through the day. Coverage will be most numerous during peak heating before decreasing during the evening hours as the boundary layer cools.

Afternoon highs will top out in the mid to low 90s yet again on Wednesday and Thursday. The heat index will generally range from 102-107 across much of the area with a few spots near the coast and in the river delta rising to near 108. Overnight lows continue to sound like a broken record, as usual this time of year, with temperatures only falling into the mid to low 70s inland with upper 70s to near 80 at the beaches on both nights. /13

EXTENDED TERM /Friday Through Monday/ . Northeast to east mid level flow prevails through the extended term period, but becoming more predominately easterly toward the end of the period as a mid level high pressure ridge becomes entrenched across the eastern portion of the country but to the north of our forecast area. Meanwhile, weak high pressure at the sfc will maintain a weak flow pattern. The winds will primarily be diurnally-driven with the daily sea/land breeze cycle and afternoon heating through the period. Daily thunderstorm chances continue to hover around 40-50 percent throughout the period as weak disturbances embedded within the easterly flow aloft pass over the area and act on a moist and moderately unstable boundary layer. The coverage of showers and storms will be focused along the sea breeze near the coast each late morning into early afternoon and then farther inland during the late afternoon and early evening hours. Daytime temperatures will continue to hover in the mid 90s inland and low 90s along the coast, with heat indices remaining in the 100 to 107 degree range. Lows will continue to be in the mid 70s over the interior and in the upper 70s near and along the coast each night. /13

MARINE . No impacts are forecast except winds and waves higher near showers and storms. /29

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ261>266.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for ALZ261>266.

FL . Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for FLZ201>206.

MS . Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ075-076-078-079.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for MSZ075-076-078- 079.

GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
PPTA1	8 mi	57 min		85°F			1013.5 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL	10 mi	87 min	SW 12	86°F			1012.9 hPa (-0.3)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy	14 mi	37 min	SW 7.8 G 9.7	85°F		2 ft	1013.2 hPa	81°F
WBYA1	14 mi	57 min			91°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	14 mi	102 min		87°F			1012 hPa	80°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL	20 mi	147 min	SW 9.9 G 12	86°F			1012.3 hPa (-1.1)
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL	22 mi	57 min	NNW 5.1	83°F			1012.5 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL	24 mi	57 min	NNW 12	83°F			1012.5 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL	28 mi	87 min	WSW 9.9	-33°F			1012.2 hPa (-1.4)
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	28 mi	57 min			88°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL	32 mi	87 min	SW 13	83°F			1012.9 hPa (+0.3)
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL	34 mi	57 min			85°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL	37 mi	57 min			86°F
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS	40 mi	102 min	Calm	84°F			1013 hPa	74°F
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS	47 mi	57 min			85°F
42067 - USM3M02	49 mi	87 min	SW 14 G 16	85°F		2 ft	1011.9 hPa

Wind History for Fort Morgan, AL

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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SW15

W9 G12

N12 G20

E11

SE13

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S7

SE3

NE4 G7

N4 G11

SE10 G13

SW8

W16

W25

W10

W10 G13

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1 day ago

N5 G8

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SW13 G16

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2 days ago

W13

W11 G14

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NW12 G15

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NW8

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NW12

N15

N13

N10

N4

N3

NW3 G6

W3

SW1 G4

NW1

NE1

N11

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL	4 mi	52 min	S 6	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	0°F	0°F	%	1012.9 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL	18 mi	52 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	0°F	0°F	%	1012.5 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL	21 mi	91 min	SW 9	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	87°F	80°F	80%	1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJKA

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)

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S3

N12 G27

SW5

E6

E3

NW4

Calm

W10

NW4

E7

W8

SW7

SW6

W10

W12 G16

W11 G19

W10 G17

W8

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W9 G18

SW11

SW10 G17

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1 day ago

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

W3

Calm

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Calm

Calm

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W9

W3

Calm

S4

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SW10 G18

SW10 G16

SW10 G19

SW11 G18

SW10 G19

SW6 G18

S4

2 days ago

W7

W5

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W3

Calm

NW5

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Calm

Calm

NW3

NW3

N4

NW5

NW6 G14

NW8 G15

NW6 G17

NW9 G17

NW7

NW13 G16

N10

N11 G14

N7

NW5

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Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama

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Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (20,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL

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Gulf Stream Current

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