Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lynn Haven, FL

SHORT TERM
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 240 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026

Surface high pressure will continue to filter into the region this afternoon and tonight as drier air is advected into the forecast area. The combination of elevated northeasterly flow (10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 or 25 mph) and relative humidity at critical values (15-20%) will lead to critical fire danger today. While the wind component of our forecast might not explicitly meet our Red Flag Warning criteria, especially later this afternoon, these conditions will lead to a dangerous fire weather environment where any new or existing fires will have the ability to rapidly spread. The main component driving these concerns, along with the weather, is the historically dry fuels (as evidenced by record to near-record ERC values) across the area along with fuels and fire behavior advisory intelligence from the National Interagency Fire Center.

We urge folks to be extremely cautious to avoid anything that could generate sparks, or generate flames. New fires have been popping up over recent days and they have spread quickly.
Additionally please listen to any local burn bans in place.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 240 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026

Warm and dry conditions will continue through the next week as several systems traverse over the region in west-northwest flow aloft. Unfortunately, many of these systems will not have much moisture to work with and rain chances remain low through the week.
Some rain chances could return by next weekend, but model spread remains fairly high so this remains a low confidence forecast.

Until we get rain, elevated fire weather conditions are likely to remain each day. Critical fire concerns do not appear likely through the next few days given the absence of very low humidity and significant winds. However, extreme caution in regards to fire needs to remain.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026

Upper clouds have thinned out since the 6Z package, so sky cover was adjusted to acct. Prevailing VFR conds are still expected with occasionally breezy NE winds this aftn, then going lgt/calm later tonight.

MARINE
Issued at 240 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026

Northeast winds will remain around advisory levels through the afternoon before slowly subsiding early this evening and into the overnight hours as they become easterly. Gentle to moderate southeast breezes will prevail from Tuesday through Thursday, as high pressure sets up well east of the Georgia coast.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 240 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026

The cold front has moved through the region but strong northeasterly winds will remain today. Speeds will be highest this morning and early afternoon before decreasing some into the afternoon and evening. Sustained winds around 10 to 15 mph and frequent 20 to 25 mph gusts are expected. Given record dry fuels, humidity around 15 to 20% (localized areas possibly around 10%), and forecast winds a Red Flag Warning is in effect for southeast Alabama, much of the Florida Panhandle, the Florida Big Bend, and southwest Georgia for today.

From Tuesday onwards, the dry air mass will stick around through midweek with moisture slowly increasing beyond Monday. Temperatures will be on a warming trend, and dispersions will be high, but winds will diminish. The fire environment will remain elevated. Rain chances potentially increase late in the week, but the long term forecast remains a low confidence forecast in regards to rain chances at this time.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 240 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026

No rainfall is expected throughout the work week, ongoing drought will therefore continue or worsen.

For more local drought information & statements, visit the following websites: weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 80 51 84 58 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 80 56 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 78 51 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 78 50 82 56 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 80 49 84 54 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 82 48 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 77 61 76 63 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ007>019-027>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-326- 426.

GA...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ120>131- 142>148-155>161.

AL...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ065>069.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ this evening for GMZ730-751-752-755-765-770-772-775.