Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lynn Haven, FL
May 8, 2024 12:12 PM CDT (17:12 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:51 AM Sunset 7:26 PM Moonrise 6:01 AM Moonset 8:26 PM |
GMZ750 Expires:202405090315;;847046 Fzus52 Ktae 081411 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 1011 am edt Wed may 8 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-090315- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 1011 am edt Wed may 8 2024 /911 am cdt Wed may 8 2024/
Rest of today - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night - West winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: northwest 3 feet at 4 seconds and southwest 3 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday - North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday - Northeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 1011 am edt Wed may 8 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-090315- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 1011 am edt Wed may 8 2024 /911 am cdt Wed may 8 2024/
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1011 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis -
a high pressure ridge will extend from from south of bermuda across the florida peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes of 5-10 knots will slowly increase to moderate southerlies around 10-15 knots as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with north-northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week, with 2-4 feet seas building late Friday as the front pushes through.
a high pressure ridge will extend from from south of bermuda across the florida peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes of 5-10 knots will slowly increase to moderate southerlies around 10-15 knots as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with north-northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week, with 2-4 feet seas building late Friday as the front pushes through.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 081408 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1008 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1007 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
A few small adjustments to the current conditions, but otherwise the forecast is on track. Clearing skies are expected this afternoon with temperatures reaching the low 90s.
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Upper high will remain located in the southwest Gulf while the ridge axis shifts into the western Atlantic. This will allow mid level flow to become southwest to westerly this period while an upper low spins across the northern Plains. Surface high pressure ridge drifts south into the Gulf allowing surface winds to veer slightly towards the southwest across inland locations and southerly across the Gulf waters. Guidance does bring some breezy conditions this afternoon with gusts in the 15-25 mph range. Area time heights and cross sections depict a good subsidence layer from 600-400mb while low level moisture will be confined to the sfc-900mb this morning lifting up to around the 850mb layer this afternoon. Patchy fog is possible this morning but should dissipate by mid morning. Due to the strong subsidence and lack of forcing, not much in the way of rain chances are anticipated this period. Highs will continue in the low 90s today most locations and lows tonight falling back in to the low 70s.
SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
On Thursday a low pressure system moving across the midwest looks to go over the top of a ridge across the FL Peninsula. As a result, most of the activity across our area on Thursday is expected to remain confined to our northernmost and northwesternmost counties when looking at the large-scale.
However, if we zoom into the mesoscale, some hi-res guidance is indicating the potential for some sort of QLCS developing throughout the afternoon on Thursday moving towards the FL Big Bend. Should these storms to the north become outflow dominant and the outflow rushes southeast, this could be within the realm of possibility.
On Friday the ridge slides eastward as a trough looks to move across eastern CONUS. A fast moving shortwave coming off the Rockies zooms eastward merging with another shortwave rounding the base of the trough. As these two features merge, essentially directly over our region, early Friday morning into Friday afternoon, our risk for severe weather increases. This correlates with why the SPC has our region, north of I-10, under a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather. With low-level winds possibly around 30-40 kts, PWATs around 2 inches and a defined shortwave providing forcing for ascent via PVA, the ingredients for severe would be present. Although, a limiting factor could be timing as an earlier system would have to work against an overnight cap if we decouple. A later system will have part of Friday afternoon to take advantage of around 2000 J/kg of CAPE, which could lead to higher confidence of impactful hazards. With the higher PWATs comes an increased risk of torrential downpours leading to localized flash flooding issues. Which is why we're under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from WPC.
The front is expected to clear the region by Friday night.
Expect daytime highs generally in the mid 80s to low 90s, with overnight lows generally in the low 70s Friday morning and in the low 60s Saturday morning.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Being post-frontal will lead to relatively cooler temps and a decrease in moisture as northerly flow prevails through Monday morning. Although surface winds will be southerly during the afternoon hours due to the sea breeze, high pressure will lead to large-scale subsidence. Limiting development to fair weather Cu or developing towers that fizzle away. On Monday another shortwave looks to move across the northern Gulf states with our region possibly being impacted on Tuesday as winds turn to being southeasterly. With this shortwave possibly moving overhead, a stationary boundary to our south, left behind from the previous system, and a low-level wind field again around 30-45 kts, the potential for severe is once again present. We'll have to see how this progresses over the next few days to have better confidence, be sure to come back for updates.
Expect relatively cooler temps to what we've been experiencing as of late. Daytime highs will generally be in the low to mid 80s with overnight lows generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Variable flight conditions around the terminals this morning with fog and low cigs moving in and out intermittently. Currently at or below mins at TLH/VLD then a range of IFR and MVFR at the other sites. Degraded flight conditions will continue through around 14Z then improvement to VFR should occur afterwards. Added gusts to 20 knots at the sites today with directions mainly south to south southwest. Overnight, another round of degraded conditions to at least IFR is possible after 7-8Z.
MARINE
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
A high pressure ridge will extend from from south of Bermuda across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes of 5-10 knots will slowly increase to moderate southerlies around 10-15 knots as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with north-northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week, with 2-4 feet seas building late Friday as the front pushes through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
High pressure remains in control of the weather pattern through Thursday. Rain and thunderstorm chances increase Thursday north of I10 and region wide Friday as a cold front moves through. High dispersions will be the main fire weather concern over the next few days. Severe storms are possible Friday as the cold front moves across the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
A marginal risk of excessive rainfall exists for several of our north and northwest counties on Thursday and for most of the area on Friday as a frontal system looks to push through the region. The primary risk here being torrential downpours within any thunderstorm leading to a localized flash flooding risk. Otherwise, area rivers are expected to remain below flood stage.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 90 72 92 72 / 0 0 30 40 Panama City 85 75 86 72 / 10 10 20 30 Dothan 91 73 90 70 / 10 10 60 50 Albany 92 72 91 69 / 10 10 60 50 Valdosta 92 71 92 71 / 0 0 30 40 Cross City 89 69 88 71 / 0 0 10 30 Apalachicola 82 76 83 74 / 0 0 10 20
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ108-112- 114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1008 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1007 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
A few small adjustments to the current conditions, but otherwise the forecast is on track. Clearing skies are expected this afternoon with temperatures reaching the low 90s.
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Upper high will remain located in the southwest Gulf while the ridge axis shifts into the western Atlantic. This will allow mid level flow to become southwest to westerly this period while an upper low spins across the northern Plains. Surface high pressure ridge drifts south into the Gulf allowing surface winds to veer slightly towards the southwest across inland locations and southerly across the Gulf waters. Guidance does bring some breezy conditions this afternoon with gusts in the 15-25 mph range. Area time heights and cross sections depict a good subsidence layer from 600-400mb while low level moisture will be confined to the sfc-900mb this morning lifting up to around the 850mb layer this afternoon. Patchy fog is possible this morning but should dissipate by mid morning. Due to the strong subsidence and lack of forcing, not much in the way of rain chances are anticipated this period. Highs will continue in the low 90s today most locations and lows tonight falling back in to the low 70s.
SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
On Thursday a low pressure system moving across the midwest looks to go over the top of a ridge across the FL Peninsula. As a result, most of the activity across our area on Thursday is expected to remain confined to our northernmost and northwesternmost counties when looking at the large-scale.
However, if we zoom into the mesoscale, some hi-res guidance is indicating the potential for some sort of QLCS developing throughout the afternoon on Thursday moving towards the FL Big Bend. Should these storms to the north become outflow dominant and the outflow rushes southeast, this could be within the realm of possibility.
On Friday the ridge slides eastward as a trough looks to move across eastern CONUS. A fast moving shortwave coming off the Rockies zooms eastward merging with another shortwave rounding the base of the trough. As these two features merge, essentially directly over our region, early Friday morning into Friday afternoon, our risk for severe weather increases. This correlates with why the SPC has our region, north of I-10, under a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather. With low-level winds possibly around 30-40 kts, PWATs around 2 inches and a defined shortwave providing forcing for ascent via PVA, the ingredients for severe would be present. Although, a limiting factor could be timing as an earlier system would have to work against an overnight cap if we decouple. A later system will have part of Friday afternoon to take advantage of around 2000 J/kg of CAPE, which could lead to higher confidence of impactful hazards. With the higher PWATs comes an increased risk of torrential downpours leading to localized flash flooding issues. Which is why we're under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from WPC.
The front is expected to clear the region by Friday night.
Expect daytime highs generally in the mid 80s to low 90s, with overnight lows generally in the low 70s Friday morning and in the low 60s Saturday morning.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Being post-frontal will lead to relatively cooler temps and a decrease in moisture as northerly flow prevails through Monday morning. Although surface winds will be southerly during the afternoon hours due to the sea breeze, high pressure will lead to large-scale subsidence. Limiting development to fair weather Cu or developing towers that fizzle away. On Monday another shortwave looks to move across the northern Gulf states with our region possibly being impacted on Tuesday as winds turn to being southeasterly. With this shortwave possibly moving overhead, a stationary boundary to our south, left behind from the previous system, and a low-level wind field again around 30-45 kts, the potential for severe is once again present. We'll have to see how this progresses over the next few days to have better confidence, be sure to come back for updates.
Expect relatively cooler temps to what we've been experiencing as of late. Daytime highs will generally be in the low to mid 80s with overnight lows generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Variable flight conditions around the terminals this morning with fog and low cigs moving in and out intermittently. Currently at or below mins at TLH/VLD then a range of IFR and MVFR at the other sites. Degraded flight conditions will continue through around 14Z then improvement to VFR should occur afterwards. Added gusts to 20 knots at the sites today with directions mainly south to south southwest. Overnight, another round of degraded conditions to at least IFR is possible after 7-8Z.
MARINE
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
A high pressure ridge will extend from from south of Bermuda across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday. Gentle southerly breezes of 5-10 knots will slowly increase to moderate southerlies around 10-15 knots as we move through the middle of the week. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night as a cold front approaches. The front is expected to pass the waters Friday night with north-northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet this week, with 2-4 feet seas building late Friday as the front pushes through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
High pressure remains in control of the weather pattern through Thursday. Rain and thunderstorm chances increase Thursday north of I10 and region wide Friday as a cold front moves through. High dispersions will be the main fire weather concern over the next few days. Severe storms are possible Friday as the cold front moves across the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 407 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
A marginal risk of excessive rainfall exists for several of our north and northwest counties on Thursday and for most of the area on Friday as a frontal system looks to push through the region. The primary risk here being torrential downpours within any thunderstorm leading to a localized flash flooding risk. Otherwise, area rivers are expected to remain below flood stage.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 90 72 92 72 / 0 0 30 40 Panama City 85 75 86 72 / 10 10 20 30 Dothan 91 73 90 70 / 10 10 60 50 Albany 92 72 91 69 / 10 10 60 50 Valdosta 92 71 92 71 / 0 0 30 40 Cross City 89 69 88 71 / 0 0 10 30 Apalachicola 82 76 83 74 / 0 0 10 20
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ108-112- 114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 8 mi | 54 min | S 12G | 81°F | ||||
| PCBF1 | 13 mi | 54 min | SSE 12G | 79°F | 80°F | 29.91 | ||
| APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 51 mi | 54 min | S 8G | 78°F | 80°F | 29.93 | ||
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 53 mi | 72 min | SSE 6 | 80°F | 29.98 | 73°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 11 sm | 19 min | SSE 12G16 | 5 sm | Mostly Cloudy | Haze | 82°F | 73°F | 74% | 29.90 |
| KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL | 14 sm | 17 min | S 12 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 86°F | 75°F | 70% | 29.90 |
Tide / Current for Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Lynn Haven
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:53 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:00 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 11:02 AM CDT 2.05 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:25 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 10:45 PM CDT -0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:53 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:00 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 11:02 AM CDT 2.05 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:25 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 10:45 PM CDT -0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0.3 |
| 1 am |
| -0.1 |
| 2 am |
| 0.1 |
| 3 am |
| 0.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 1.4 |
| 8 am |
| 1.6 |
| 9 am |
| 1.9 |
| 10 am |
| 2 |
| 11 am |
| 2 |
| 12 pm |
| 2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.6 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
Northwest Florida,
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