Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oriole Beach, FL

FXUS64 KMOB 230538 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1238 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

New Aviation

DISCUSSION
Issued at 343 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Tonight through Wednesday night...
A general, light southwesterly to westerly flow pattern aloft will persist through Wednesday night as an upper-level ridge remains in place over the western Atlantic. Several weak shortwaves are expected to move within this flow pattern aloft through the period. Forcing from these shortwaves, along with strong destabilization, will allow for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon and evening hours for both today and Wednesday. Highest chances are for interior areas west of I-65 both days. Not anticipating any organized severe weather with these storms due to a lack of shear, although one or two stronger storms, capable of producing gusty winds/small hail cannot be ruled out. Heavy rainfall will also be a concern due to the slow motion of these storms, so I can't rule out one or two localized instances of flooding. Expecting convective coverage to decrease both days during the late evening and overnight hours due to the loss of daytime heating. Highs on Wednesday will top out in the low to mid 80s, and lows tonight and Wednesday night will only drop into the 60s. Patchy to areas of fog, some of which could be dense, may once again develop during the early morning hours prior to sunrise. Best probabilities for dense fog look to be over the western Florida Panhandle and over south central Alabama. We will monitor trends closely over the coming hours to see if a Dense Fog Advisory will become necessary for tonight. A Moderate Risk of rip currents continues through the period. /96

Thursday through Tuesday...
We are expecting a generally diurnal pattern through late this week, through the weekend, and into the early part of next week.
Isolated to scattered PoPs will be possible, mainly over northern portions of the forecast area, during the afternoon hours through Saturday near the remnants of an old weakening frontal boundary.
By Sunday and into the early part of next week, deep layer ridging becomes more entrenched across our area, with little to no rain chances expected those days. It will be rather warm, with daytime highs Thursday and Friday in the mid to upper 80s, and then in the upper 80s and lower 90s Saturday through Tuesday (hottest day appears to be on Sunday, with most of the interior in the likely in the lower 90s). Nighttime lows will range from lower 60s over most interior locations to upper 60s and perhaps even a few lower 70s closer to and along the coast Thursday night through Monday night. A Moderate Rip Current Risk will persist through the weekend and into the early part of next week. DS/12
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