Miramar Beach, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Miramar Beach, FL

June 18, 2024 7:07 AM CDT (12:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM
Moonrise 4:53 PM   Moonset 2:50 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:202406182130;;222069 Fzus54 Kmob 180816 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 316 am cdt Tue jun 18 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-182130- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 316 am cdt Tue jun 18 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon - .

Today - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms late this morning and early afternoon.

Tonight - East winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: southeast 8 feet at 9 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: southeast 8 feet at 8 seconds. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.

Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Thursday - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - East winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Saturday - East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 316 Am Cdt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis - A moderate to strong easterly to southeasterly flow and building seas is anticipated through Thursday. Winds and seas will slowly diminish by the beginning of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 181029 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 629 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

New AVIATION

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 431 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Strong high pressure to the northeast and a developing tropical cyclone in the western Gulf will support unseasonably strong easterly breezes across the region until about Friday morning. An easterly wave will pass the tri-state area around Friday, followed by a turn to moister southeast winds on Friday night and Saturday.
A surface ridge axis will settle south across the region on Sunday, then continue south of the region early next week. The resulting turn to southwest flow early next week could herald the start of a wetter pattern.

NEAR TERM
(Today and Wednesday)
Issued at 431 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

In the big picture, a very strong 500 mb ridge axis will expand and strengthen further from the southern Appalachians to the coast of New England over the next 24 hours. This has the benefit of steering the developing tropical cyclone in the southwest Gulf toward the western Gulf Coast, and away from us.

A tight pressure gradient between these two prominent features will support unseasonably strong easterly breezes. Dry air from the strong mid-level high has spread across our region, with satellite-derived PW imagery showing values over land of 0.9-1.3 inches, with richer moisture to the south over the Gulf. These values are insufficient for deep, moist convection, but weak and low-topped showers are possible in the fast easterly flow, such as is being observed from JAX westward.

Interestingly, satellite imagery shows a classic "screaming eagle" tropical wave passing north of the Bahamas early this morning. (It is called that because of its shape in satellite imagery.) This feature will pass across north- central Florida and the northeast Gulf late tonight and Wednesday. It will bring somewhat richer moisture from the Lower Suwannee Valley, across Apalachee Bay to the Forgotten Coast. It could increase the chance of showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorms in these areas. For mariners, this feature will likely bring the strongest easterly breezes of the week late tonight and Wednesday morning. Frequent gale-force gusts are possible over the waters, and we could eventually need a Wind Advisory for the southeast-exposed coast of Franklin County.

SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Friday)
Issued at 431 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Strong easterly flow will continue. Within that flow regime, another easterly wave will pass our longitude on Friday. In advance of this feature, another pocket of deeper moisture will quickly traverse the region on Thursday, supporting isolated to scattered showers, perhaps an isolated thunderstorm over our FL counties. The arrival of the main wave on Friday should finally disrupt the straight-shot easterly breezes, and a more solid and sustained increase in moisture will arrive in the southeast flow behind the wave axis.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through Monday)
Issued at 431 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

The strong 500 mb high to our northeast this week will settle south and weaken late this week, elongating into a large-scale subtropical ridge axis that will extend from the Southwest U.S. to well east of Bermuda. Guidance points to a broad weakness in the ridge over the Southeast States and Florida by early next week.
Meanwhile, a surface ridge axis will settle southward across our region on Saturday night and Sunday, continuing south down the FL Peninsula on Monday. In response, our low-mid level flow will gradually clock around from southeast to southwest, though it will be fairly weak given proximity of the ridge axis. Even so, this direction will pump up a more richly moist maritime tropical air mass. Given increasing moisture and that weakness in the subtropical ridge axis, rain chances will continue to increase a bit each day. This could be the start of a wet period, with the CPC 6-10 day outlook showing odds leaning toward above normal rainfall.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Satellite continues to show some stratus moving westward, so this TAF cycle keeps SCT cigs from 1.5-3k ft at all terminals but ABY this morning. Stratus could briefly become BKN leading to MVFR but confidence on this remains low. East winds become gusty again all terminals from late morning/early afternoon to around 20 kts, then decreasing this evening around sunset.

MARINE
Issued at 431 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Rough conditions are ongoing over the northeast Gulf, and those conditions will continue until Friday. An ASCAT satellite pass late Monday evening showed a large area of 21-24 knot sustained easterly winds over the waters from Apalachicola eastward, and those strong breezes have likely spread across the Panhandle waters since. As of 3 am EDT, Buoy 42036 was observing 8-foot seas. Winds and seas may actually be a little worse tonight, as a tropical wave passes westward across the eastern Gulf. Small craft should stay in port.

Dangerous rip currents are expected through Friday, with surf heights commonly running 4 to 5 feet.

From CWF synopsis...Strong easterly breezes and rough seas will continue over the northeast Gulf through Friday morning, thanks to a tight pressure gradient between strong high pressure off the New England coast and a developing tropical cyclone over the Southwest Gulf. Winds will start to decrease on Friday, as the high pressure center to our northeast moves closer to Bermuda and extends a ridge axis across the Southeast States.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 431 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

The main story through at least Thursday will be unseasonably strong easterly transport winds and gusty daytime surface winds.
When combined with a deeply mixed June atmosphere, high dispersion will prevail for the rest of this work week. Little, if any, rain is expected through Wednesday, then rain chances will climb a little each day from Thursday through the weekend. Winds will start to ease on Friday, with a return to light winds this weekend.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 431 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Significant or widespread flooding is not expected through this weekend. Little, if any, rain is expected through Thursday. Rain chances will increase some starting Friday, but rainfall should not be hydrologically significant.

By Monday and Tuesday of next week, ensemble mean solutions show 1000-700 mb flow becoming southerly, pumping up a more richly moist maritime tropical air mass. With more moisture to work with, rainfall loading beneath storms will increase, as steering flow weakens and storm motions slow down. Therefore, there is increasing potential for isolated flash flooding starting early next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 93 73 93 74 / 10 0 20 10 Panama City 92 76 93 75 / 0 10 30 10 Dothan 90 72 90 72 / 10 0 10 0 Albany 91 71 90 70 / 10 0 10 0 Valdosta 92 71 91 72 / 10 10 10 10 Cross City 93 73 94 73 / 10 10 40 10 Apalachicola 88 79 90 77 / 10 30 30 30

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT /noon CDT/ Thursday for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi68 minE 6G12 76°F 84°F29.99
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi68 minNE 8.9G13
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi68 minE 8.9G12 79°F 29.98
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi68 minE 12G15 81°F 86°F30.00


Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: DTS
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Tide / Current for Panama City Beach, Florida
   
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Panama City Beach
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Tue -- 02:49 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:42 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:08 AM CDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:11 PM CDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.9
2
am
1.1
3
am
1.2
4
am
1.4
5
am
1.5
6
am
1.5
7
am
1.5
8
am
1.5
9
am
1.4
10
am
1.2
11
am
0.9
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.3
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
-0
4
pm
-0.1
5
pm
-0.1
6
pm
-0.1
7
pm
-0.1
8
pm
0
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.5


Tide / Current for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
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Tue -- 02:49 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:12 AM CDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:08 PM CDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.8
4
am
1
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.3
7
am
1.5
8
am
1.6
9
am
1.7
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.6
12
pm
1.4
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
1
3
pm
0.8
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
-0
8
pm
-0.1
9
pm
-0.2
10
pm
-0.1
11
pm
-0


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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Northwest Florida,




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