Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hosford, FL

SHORT TERM
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 140 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Cold front is currently located from the Rio Grande northeast to the Mid-South into the Great Lakes. Immediately behind the front, northwest winds are reported into the northern Plains. 1040mb high pressure is located in southern Canada ready for its journey towards the Gulf coast over the next few days. For today, high resolution models have increased chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly along the front as it progresses east through the tri-state region. Modest instability will develop ahead of the front this afternoon such that any storms that can develop may have the potential for small hail and strong winds. SPC has our southern and eastern counties in a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather today.

As the front moves through, winds will switch to the northwest with an increase in winds along with gradually falling temperatures.
Highs will be made earlier in the day in our Alabama and western Florida panhandle counties then temperatures fall beginning early- mid afternoon. The front will clear our eastern counties by early evening with gusty northwest winds taking hold. Lows Monday morning will range from the mid 30s in the wiregrass to the mid 40s in the southeast Big Bend.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 140 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Surface high pressure will slide southward across the Plains states Monday to settle in the tri-state region Tuesday morning then drift east to northeast Florida Wednesday morning. Gusty northwest winds will continue Monday and Monday night with dewpoints steadily falling leading to elevated fire weather conditions Monday through a majority of the area. Monday night into Tuesday morning will be the coldest night of this period as lows will plummet to mid 20s across the wiregrass to the low 30s towards the coast. NBM continues to trend a little cooler with each model run and high-res and MOS guidance is a little cooler than whats advertised in this package. NBM probabilities indicate a near certainty of a freeze Monday night in most locations away from coastal sections to a 40-60% chance near the coast. There will be enough wind Monday night to send wind chills down into the upper teens to mid 20s. As such, freeze and cold weather products will be issued over the next 24 hours.

Tuesday and beyond we'll start to gradually recover from this flash freeze as surface high pressure moves directly overhead, winds weaken and a slow gradual warm up begins. Tuesday night into Wednesday morning expect it to still be cold, hovering around freezing, but with calm winds at least colder wind chills won't be a concern. The weather will remain quiet and benign through Saturday.

The warmup begins Wednesday as the upper low moves away and off the northeast US coast. In its wake, ridging slowly builds mid to late week and surface winds gradually become northeast to east late in the week. Highs will make it to around 70 degrees Wednesday then mid 70s afterwards into next weekend. Lows will be in the 40s to low 50s.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 140 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Patchy fog has developed near ECP this evening, but has been rather transient with IFR/MVFR vsbys. However, the most likely terminals impacted by fog over the next several hours will be TLH and VLD where LIFR vsbys and VLIFR cigs are likely. Elsewhere, patchy low stratus and fog are not quite as certain, but still could develop.
VFR conditions resume after 13-14z. Isolated TSRA will develop along a cold front this morning near ECP and DHN, then move E toward ABY, TLH, and VLD. Coverage is expected to be low, so only have PROB30s in for all terminals. W/SW winds around 5-10 kt will become NW 10-15 kt with gusts of 20 kt behind the front. VFR conditions will continue with no threat of fog behind the front.

MARINE
Issued at 140 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

A strong cold front sweeps through the region today with marine conditions quickly deteriorating behind the frontal passage. Strong northwest winds will occur in the wake of the front with gusts occasionally to gale force, especially in waters west of Apalachicola tonight through Monday night. Wave heights will build to 7 to 10 feet in the offshore waters and 4 to 8 feet in the nearshore waters. Thus, a Small Craft Advisory is currently in effect for this time period. Winds and seas begin to decrease late Tuesday morning as high pressure settles into the southeast US and northeast Gulf waters.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 140 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

The much anticipated cold front will sweep through today with strong northerly winds following the passage through Monday night. The combination of near critically low relative humidity values with gusty winds on Monday afternoon is likely to produce elevated fire weather concerns. Elevated fire weather conditions will continue into Tuesday with afternoon humidities in the low to mid 20 percent range but stronger winds will diminish.

The coldest temperatures of this fall season are on tap with the first killing frost and freeze expected for all but immediate coastal locations both Tuesday and Wednesday mornings.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 140 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Severe to extreme drought over much of the region will persist or worsen over the next 7 days. A limited window of opportunity for rainfall today with any showers or storms ahead of a cold front.
Rainfall amounts will only be on the order of 1/4 inch or less, though localized totals to near 1/2 inch are a reasonable best case scenario. The spotty nature of rain and the lack of heavier amounts will offer no real relief to drought conditions.

Visit www.weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought for more information on the ongoing drought.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 81 43 53 30 / 40 10 0 0 Panama City 79 43 54 33 / 30 0 0 0 Dothan 78 38 49 25 / 40 0 0 0 Albany 80 40 50 26 / 30 10 0 0 Valdosta 82 42 54 27 / 40 10 0 0 Cross City 82 46 59 29 / 20 10 0 0 Apalachicola 77 44 54 34 / 20 10 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ this morning through late tonight for FLZ114.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday for GMZ730-755-765-775.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CST Tuesday for GMZ751-752-770-772.