Gulf Breeze, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Gulf Breeze, FL

June 24, 2024 7:49 AM CDT (12:49 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM
Moonrise 10:37 PM   Moonset 8:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Expires:202406242115;;568294 Fzus54 Kmob 240825 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 325 am cdt Mon jun 24 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633-634-242115- perdido bay-pensacola bay system- 325 am cdt Mon jun 24 2024

Today - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon.

Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Tuesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 325 Am Cdt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow is expected throughout the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 241145 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 645 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Calm or light and variable winds become southwesterly 5 to 10 knots along the coast in the afternoon south of a sea-breeze pushing inland, while remaining light and variable north of the sea-breeze. VFR conditions are anticipated except for MVFR conditions with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly this afternoon into early evening. /22

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 506 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 506 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Anticipating an uptick in heat indices today compared to the past couple of days, along with a return of scattered thunderstorms. We are monitoring an expanse of clouds across the central portions of Mississippi and Alabama into northern Georgia ahead of a surface trough and boundary. These surface features will continue to slip southward through this afternoon, but are expected to stall before reaching our forecast area. In addition, there is an upper trough over the eastern states that will dig a bit further southward along the Eastern Seaboard, and regional radar mosaic is currently detecting an increase in showers and isolated thunderstorm activity across central Alabama that are moving south-southeastward at around 13 mph.

A plume of increased moisture ahead of this system will gradually sink southward with deep layer moisture improving that will bring our precipitable water values as high 2 inches in the afternoon.
The showers are anticipated to move into the northern portions of our forecast area this morning, with deeper convection expected by late morning as MLCAPE values increase to around 2500 J/Kg.
Expect a more pronounced round of convection closer to the coast by mid afternoon as the sea breeze ramps up. A strong storm or two cannot be completely ruled out Monday afternoon, but we are not expecting any organized severe storms at this time. A lull in convection overnight will be followed by another round of afternoon scattered storms on Tuesday, again as MLCAPE values increase to around 2500 J/Kg.

No changes were made to the current Heat Advisory for today across southeast Mississippi, portions of southwest Alabama, and the entire western Florida Panhandle where the best potential of hitting Heat Advisory criteria (108°+) before the storms ramp up.
Another Heat Advisory will likely be required on Tuesday across these same areas, and may need to be expanded a bit further to the north.

High temperatures today should range from 93 to 98 degrees inland and low 90s at the coast, or 3-7 degrees above normal. High temps Tuesday have the potential of ranging from 95 to around 101 degrees inland (6-10 degrees above normal), with low 90s at the coast. Low temperatures will be warm and range from 72 to 77 degrees inland from 77 to 82 degrees along the coast. /22

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 506 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Temperatures will be tempered somewhat as we head into the middle of this week and rain chances increase. A longwave upper trough strengthens on Wednesday and Thursday over the eastern US as a few embedded shortwaves slide within a mean northwest flow over the Southeastern States. Down at the surface, a weak boundary will continue to linger over central and southern portions of Alabama with drier air nosing in behind the boundary. This stalled surface feature combined with the shortwaves overhead will interact with the daily sea-breeze/outflow boundaries and help to increase shower and storm activity both Wednesday and Thursday. Plenty of deep layer moisture is expected to be in place across the area with PWATs reaching to around 1.8-2.0 inches and even up to around 2.3 inches at times. Storm coverage is expected to become more numerous during the afternoon and evening hours both days as peak heating occurs and the shortwave slide overhead. Deep layer shear remains low during this time, but we could see a few strong storms develop with gusty winds being the main concern. Ambient temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday will be a couple degrees lower than what we will see earlier in the week given the higher rain chances. Although, it will still feel hot. High temperatures are forecast to top out in the lower and middle 90s both Wednesday and Thursday with heat index values generally reaching up to around 105 degrees.

As we head into Friday, subtropical ridging begins to build back into the Southeastern US. This ridging is expected remain overhead through the weekend and will bring increasing subsidence to the area. With the rising heights and drier air aloft, temperatures will warm back into the middle 90s and perhaps even the upper 90s each afternoon. Moisture at the surface will remain abundant with light southerly flow persisting through the weekend. This moisture combined with the hot ambient temperatures may result in heat indices approaching Heat Advisory criteria again this weekend.
Daily chances for showers and storms will also continue into the weekend, but coverage is expected to become more isolated and scattered in nature as the ridging builds overhead. /14

MARINE...
Issued at 506 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

No hazardous impacts expected as a light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow is expected throughout the week.
/22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 95 76 97 77 94 74 93 75 / 50 20 30 10 50 50 60 30 Pensacola 94 79 95 79 93 78 92 77 / 50 30 30 20 50 40 60 40 Destin 90 80 91 81 91 79 90 79 / 50 30 30 20 50 40 60 40 Evergreen 95 72 99 73 95 72 93 72 / 50 10 30 20 60 40 60 20 Waynesboro 96 74 100 74 96 72 94 72 / 40 10 30 20 60 40 50 20 Camden 95 72 98 72 96 71 93 72 / 30 0 10 10 50 40 50 20 Crestview 97 75 99 75 96 72 94 72 / 50 20 30 20 60 40 60 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ052-059-261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

MS...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi50 minW 1.9G5.1 82°F 86°F29.95
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi40 minW 9.7G12 84°F 85°F29.9580°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi65 min0 80°F 29.9880°F
EFLA1 45 mi50 min 83°F 78°F
FRMA1 45 mi50 minNW 11G13 85°F 29.9581°F
DILA1 49 mi50 minNW 9.9G12 83°F 86°F29.94


Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KNPA PENSACOLA NAS/FORREST SHERMAN FIELD,FL 9 sm50 minW 0310 smA Few Clouds86°F79°F79%29.94
KPNS PENSACOLA INTL,FL 9 sm56 minW 0610 smClear82°F75°F79%29.94
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNPA
   
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Wind History graph: NPA
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
   
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Fishing Bend
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Mon -- 12:30 AM CDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:14 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:39 PM CDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:37 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
-0.5
1
am
-0.5
2
am
-0.4
3
am
-0.3
4
am
-0.1
5
am
0.1
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.9
9
am
1.2
10
am
1.5
11
am
1.7
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
2
2
pm
2
3
pm
1.9
4
pm
1.8
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
-0
11
pm
-0.2


Tide / Current for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
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Mon -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:15 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:31 PM CDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:38 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:54 PM CDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.4
2
am
-0.2
3
am
-0
4
am
0.2
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.9
8
am
1.2
9
am
1.4
10
am
1.6
11
am
1.7
12
pm
1.8
1
pm
1.8
2
pm
1.7
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
-0.2
11
pm
-0.3


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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Northwest Florida,




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