Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Breeze, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 4:49PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 9:31 PM CST (03:31 UTC) Moonrise 5:38PMMoonset 6:52AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201912121000;;217234 Fzus54 Kmob 120254 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 930 Pm Cst Wed Dec 11 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-121000- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 930 Pm Cst Wed Dec 11 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night...
Tonight..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 4 to 7 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Thursday..East winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers likely.
Friday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Saturday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Sunday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Monday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday night..Southwest winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 930 Pm Cst Wed Dec 11 2019
Synopsis..A large surface high pressure area over the eastern half of the u.s. Will move eastward through Thursday. A moderate to strong northeasterly flow will become easterly late tonight through Thursday, with seas remaining elevated. An area of low pressure will lift northeast across the marine area on Friday, bringing a light westerly to northwesterly flow to finish off the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
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location: 30.34, -87.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 112347 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 547 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2019

DISCUSSION. Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION. 00Z issuance . VFR conditions will prevail across the region through tonight. A band of mid level clouds with bases between 7-9 KFT AGL will stream across southern portions of our forecast area this evening. Low level return flow will bring MVFR ceilings back into our region between 15-18Z Wednesday, with ceilings continuing to lower to 1500-2500 ft AGL into Wednesday afternoon. A few light showers may develop near the coast by late Wednesday afternoon, but confidence was low enough to keep mention out of the local TAFs for now. North to northeast winds between 5-10 knots will generally continue through tonight, before becoming more easterly during the day Thursday. /21

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 411 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday/ . Nearly all of the precipitation being detected by radar over the coastal zones is falling out of a 825-600mb thick cloud layer, but not reaching the ground due to a very dry layer below the cloud deck. While an occasional sprinkle may occur from time to time, opted for a dry forecast overnight into Thursday morning. A large surface high pressure area over the eastern conus will move eastward, with a strong ridge setting up along the eastern seaboard by noon Thursday. This will allow the north to northeasterly surface winds to shift to the east on Thursday, with southerly low level flow bringing low level moisture back over the forecast area. Expect isolated to low-end scattered light rain showers to return Thursday afternoon as an upper shortwave over the southern plains moves east toward our region, with upper level impulses passing overhead. The very cool temperatures will remain through the near term. Low temperatures tonight will be near normal to slightly below normal, ranging from 33 to 42 degrees, with mid 40s along the coast. High temperatures Thursday will be about 4 to 8 degrees below normal, ranging from 55 to 60 degrees. /22

SHORT TERM /Thursday night Through Saturday night/ . The active weather pattern bringing chilly rain to the area will unfortunately persist through the remainder of your work week. Ahead of the next shortwave, a weak surface low will form over the northern Gulf by Thursday night and quickly race northeast across the coastal waters through the overnight hours. Meanwhile, the local area remains on the western perhiphery of the low level ridge over the western Atlantic. Despite easterly winds at the surface Thursday night and Friday, the 850mb winds maintain a southerly component. Overrunning will allow rain to spread into the area Thursday night with increasing rain chances to round out your work week. There will likely be just enough instability by Friday, predominantly along the coast, that we may have a few thunderstorms in addition to the rain showers. The area begins to dry out on Saturday as the surface low continues to slide away from the area and zonal flow aloft briefly sets up across the region.

Temperatures will reach into the 60s on Friday and Saturday afternoon. The area will stay a bit warmer in the overnight hours on Friday with lows only falling into the 50s for much of the area. Clearing skies overnight Saturday will allow temperatures to fall a good 5°-10° lower than the previous night. 07/mb

LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . The rest of the weekend remains dry as we maintain relatively zonal flow aloft across the local forecast area. This pattern doesn't last long as a trough pushes across the Plains early next week. A surface low will likely develop over Texas in the late Sunday to early Monday timeframe. As this low quickly lifts northeast, a cold front will swing through the area. Increasing southerly winds ahead of the front will allow moisture to surge into the area on Monday. That unfortunately means that Monday will also have dewpoints surging into the mid to low 60s with afternoon high temperatures topping out in the mid to low 70s.

Right now it looks like the front will be knocking on our doorstep late Monday evening and will likely push through the area during the overnight hours. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely during this timeframe. The instability, wind shear, and lapse rates are marginal during the overnight hours ahead of the front, so we will continue to monitor this system for the potential for strong storms. Rain quickly comes to an end in the wake of the front during the day on Tuesday and the area dries out through Thursday. Low temperatures plunge into the 30s on Tuesday night and Wednesday night in the wake of the front. 07/mb

MARINE . A large surface high pressure area over the eastern half of the U.S. will move eastward, with a strong ridge setting up along the eastern seaboard. A moderate to strong northeasterly flow will become easterly late tonight through Thursday, with seas remaining elevated. An inverted surface trough forming over the north central Gulf of Mexico will evolve into a weak closed low Thursday night. This surface low will then lift northeast across the marine area on Friday, bringing a light westerly to northwesterly flow to finish off the week. /22

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for GMZ631-632.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi43 min NE 4.1 G 9.9 51°F 62°F1029.3 hPa
PPTA1 21 mi31 min 53°F 1029.8 hPa (+0.3)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi21 min NE 21 G 27 57°F 71°F1029 hPa39°F
WBYA1 36 mi43 min 60°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi61 min 50°F 1030 hPa33°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 46 mi43 min NE 23 G 26 53°F 1029 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 47 mi31 min N 2.9 46°F 1030.1 hPa (+0.7)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 49 mi31 min NE 21 G 24 53°F 1029.5 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL8 mi95 minNNE 1010.00 miOvercast52°F35°F53%1029.3 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL9 mi38 minNNE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy51°F32°F48%1029.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNPA

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS5S4S6S8S6--------S5S7S6S6S7SW11S9S10SW8SW5N12
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2 days ago----------SW6W4----CalmCalmCalmSW7SW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:52 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:34 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:02 AM CST     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:37 PM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:40 PM CST     1.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:14 PM CST     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.10.90.60.40.1-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.2-00.10.30.50.70.91.11.31.41.51.5

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:53 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:35 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:41 AM CST     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:38 PM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:49 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:32 PM CST     1.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:14 PM CST     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.80.50.30-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.100.20.30.50.70.911.21.31.41.41.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.