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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elberta, AL

February 18, 2025 8:01 PM CST (02:01 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:24 AM   Sunset 5:41 PM
Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 10:28 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- 316 Pm Cst Tue Feb 18 2025

.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am cst Wednesday through late Thursday night - .

Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 4 seconds. Showers likely this evening, then showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - North winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: north 3 feet at 3 seconds and southeast 3 feet at 7 seconds.

Thursday - North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds.

Thursday night - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: north 3 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds.

Friday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 5 seconds.

Friday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 5 seconds.

Saturday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 5 seconds.

Saturday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

Sunday - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.

Sunday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 316 Pm Cst Tue Feb 18 2025

Synopsis - East winds gradually strengthen and become southeasterly tonight into Wednesday morning as a surface low moves east across the northern gulf. Strong offshore flow becomes established Wednesday afternoon into Thursday night as the low moves east of the area and arctic high pressure builds in from the north. Winds will gradually subside late Thursday night through Friday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elberta, AL
   
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Tide / Current for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
  
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Bon Secour
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Tue -- 06:27 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:29 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:41 PM CST     1.31 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:41 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 11:24 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
  
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Mobile Bay Entrance
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Tue -- 01:25 AM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:28 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:48 AM CST     0.66 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:30 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:42 PM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:43 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:03 PM CST     -0.95 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:25 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current, knots
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Area Discussion for Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 182350 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 550 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 550 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

VFR ceilings this evening will deteriorate to IFR from 08z to 12z as a large area of light to moderate rain spreads from west to east, also leading to MVFR visibilities. The rain will taper off from west to east Wednesday morning, bringing a return to VFR visibilities by late morning. However, IFR ceilings will persist through much of the day, especially closer to the coast. Easterly winds will steadily become northerly during the morning as a surface low pressure area moves from west to east across the northern Gulf. /22

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 358 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday night)
Issued at 358 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

A soggy 24 hours before our next polar plunge as a quick overrunning event will push through tonight. Looking aloft, a subtle shortwave will progress through rather broad southwesterly flow aloft. A subtle warm front will lift north across the marine waters tonight likely getting stuck just offshore. A surface low will track across the northern Gulf tonight before colder northwesterly winds kick in Wednesday night. Overspreading precip will likely increase this evening into the overnight hours as the upper trough winds through. We are already seeing precip blossoming over the Mississippi delta area. Some heavier precip may be possible across the I-10 corridor tonight with stronger low level convergence associated with the warm front. Rainfall totals will likely range from a half an inch inland to maybe 1 to 2 inches along the immediate coastline. Localized 3 inches cannot be ruled out. While this rainfall is no where close to supporting any flood issues, we cannot rule out some minor nuisance flooding in the more urban areas. Temperatures will be cool with highs likely struggling to get out of the low to mid 50s before quickly cooling back off Wednesday night into the mid 20s. With elevated northerly winds behind the low and cold temperatures, cold weather products will likely be needed across the area. At the minimum a cold weather advisory for Wednesday night but a extreme cold warning may also be needed for parts of the area. BB-8

SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 358 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Winter returns in a big way for Thursday and Thursday night as arctic high pressure builds into the region. Strong low level cold air advection will continue through the day on Thursday, which means that highs will not make it out of the 40s, perhaps staying in the upper 30s over far inland areas. High temperatures this cold is fairly unusual for late February. To put it in perspective, for February 20th, Mobile has only had seven days with highs in the 40s, with the record low high temperature of 47 set back in 1940. Pensacola has had only 6 days of highs in the 40s, with a record low high of 44 set in 1921. The current forecast highs for Thursday are 46 in Mobile and 49 in Pensacola, so we could be near record low high temperatures on Thursday for some locations. In addition, continued gusty north winds will keep wind chills in the 20s and 30s for the majority of the day as well.

And, just when you thought that the groundhog was lying to you, Thursday night and early Friday morning look to be bitterly cold.
The question is just how cold? The center of the arctic high will still be centered Missouri by daybreak Friday, meaning that the pressure gradient will remain somewhat tight over our local area as we will be on the southern edge of the ridging. This will likely keep winds elevated and the atmosphere somewhat mixed.
Therefore, as did the previous shift, we did not go quite as cold as what the GFS/ECMWF MOS data suggests and leaned more toward the NBM guidance (but warmed even that up a degree or two over the northern tier of counties). However, even with the slight bump up, this still results in lows ranging from the upper teens/lower 20s across the northern half of the area to the mid to upper 20s along the coast (perhaps a few lower 30s for the barrier islands).
The current forecast low at Mobile Friday morning is still 24 degrees, which would break the old record of 28 degrees. The record is colder at Pensacola is (21) and our current forecast is for 28 degrees. It's also worth noting that Friday morning wind chills will once again drop into the teens for all locations.

Friday will only see a small moderation in temperatures with highs still about 15 degrees below normal (with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s). Increasing mid and high level clouds by Friday night will likely result in lows not getting as cold as they otherwise would with light winds and such low dewpoints (low to mid 20s), but we should still see lows in the upper 20s well inland with mid to upper 30s along the coast.

The arctic high will begin to moderate and shift well east of the area over the weekend and into the early part of next week.
Saturday highs will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s, warming a little each day and expected to be in the lower 70s for most locations by Tuesday. The upper level flow will become more active again over the weekend, with a series of shortwaves moving through in WNW-NW flow aloft. The timing of the waves and the degree of any moisture return continues to be a little uncertain this far out, but we still think that we will see at least a small chance for rain Saturday night into Sunday. DS/12

MARINE...
Issued at 358 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Southeasterly winds will slowly increase Tonight into Wednesday morning as a surface low moves east across the northern Gulf.
Strong offshore flow redevelops Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night as the low moves east of the area and arctic high pressure builds in from the north. Winds will gradually subside Thursday night through Friday night. A Small craft advisory is in effect for all marine areas. BB-8

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 46 54 26 46 24 51 34 58 / 100 90 0 0 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 49 58 31 46 28 51 38 59 / 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 51 59 34 49 30 51 40 60 / 90 100 10 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 43 55 26 43 21 51 28 58 / 90 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 40 48 21 41 20 48 27 54 / 90 60 0 0 0 0 0 10 Camden 41 52 24 40 20 47 26 55 / 80 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 45 57 30 46 24 52 30 60 / 90 100 0 0 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Wednesday to 9 AM CST Thursday for GMZ630>636.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Wednesday to 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ650-670.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Wednesday to 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ655-675.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 12 mi122 minSSE 1.9 59°F 30.10
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 12 mi77 min0 56°F 30.1244°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 21 mi32 minE 12G16 62°F 66°F30.1149°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 21 mi44 min 59°F 62°F
EFLA1 22 mi44 min 59°F
FRMA1 22 mi44 min 61°F
DILA1 26 mi44 min 60°F
DPHA1 26 mi122 min8.9 60°F 60°F30.08
MBPA1 28 mi44 min 58°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 31 mi44 min 58°F 59°F
PTOA1 31 mi44 min 58°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 33 mi44 min 57°F 56°F
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 43 mi77 minESE 11 59°F 30.1248°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 49 mi44 min 58°F


Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
   
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast  
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Mobile, AL,





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