Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 7:24 PM Moonrise 9:22 PM   Moonset 6:59 AM

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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 929 Pm Cdt Wed Apr 24 2024
Rest of tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Thursday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Saturday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Saturday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Sunday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Sunday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.

GMZ600 929 Pm Cdt Wed Apr 24 2024
Synopsis - A light and somewhat variable flow pattern will prevail through Thursday morning, especially near the coast. An onshore flow pattern will otherwise continue through the remainder of the week. The onshore flow will strengthen with a build in seas this weekend before subsiding slightly early next week.

FXUS64 KMOB 250501 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

VFR will prevail through the period, with the exception, with a potential for patchy fog development late tonight, with visibility reductions to MVFR category or lower possible in some interior locations. Surface winds will be calm to light and variable into Thursday morning, becoming more predominate light southeasterly in the afternoon. /22

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 320 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024/

New NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the region tonight and Thursday on the backside of a shortwave trough that will be moving into the western Atlantic off the southeast US coast. At the surface, a high pressure ridge will continue to stretch west- east across our area through Thursday as well. A somewhat variable light surface wind flow pattern will continue tonight into early Thursday, but increase slightly and become more predominately southerly by late in the day on Thursday. Gradual increase in low/mid level moisture through the period, with PWATS rising into the 1.25 to 1.50 inch range tonight and Thursday. Overall though, the the deep layer between 850-700MB. Some weak shortwave energy aloft on Thursday, combined with the increasing moisture, could result in an isolated shower or storm over the northern third of the forecast area (up along the Highway 84 corridor) on Thursday, but for now the chances of any rain for now remains too low to carry an PoP greater than 20 percent. There could also be some very patchy light fog development across interior portions of the forecast area late tonight. The gradual warming trend continues.
Lows tonight are expected to range from the middle 50s over most interior locations to the lower 60s along the coast. High temperatures return to 80s for most locations on Thursday, with low to mid 80s expected except for some upper 70s along the immediate coast where the onshore flow moderates temperatures just slightly. DS/12

LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

The area remains dry through the weekend before rain chances return early next week.

Northwest flow aloft remains across the forecast area Thursday night before upper level ridging pushes across the area. This will transition us to a more westerly and eventually southwest flow aloft as we head into the weekend and early next week. The forecast area remains predominately dry as any appreciable shortwaves pass well to the north of the gulf coast through the weekend. A sharper, deeper trough may try to impinge on the area Monday into Tuesday which may result in slightly increased chances for showers and thunderstorms early next week. Temperatures remain seasonable in the lower to middle 80's for highs each afternoon and lows in the lower to middle 60's each morning.

Beach Note: Rip current risk increases to MODERATE on Friday with a HIGH RISK expected on Saturday and Sunday as onshore flow continues to increase at the beaches. RCMOS probabilities indicate a high likelihood of the risk remaining HIGH through Monday and potentially into early Tuesday at all local beaches. MM/25 07/mb

MARINE...
Issued at 320 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

A light and somewhat variable flow pattern will prevail across the marine area through Thursday morning, especially over the bays and near shore Gulf waters. An onshore flow pattern will otherwise continue through the remainder of the week. The onshore flow will strengthen along with a build in seas this weekend. Will likely be looking for at least SCEC conditions with respect to winds, (possibly SCA for seas that may be approaching 7 feet) by Friday night and continuing through the weekend. Winds and seas will likely become hazardous to small craft. DS/12

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 59 83 61 81 66 81 66 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 61 81 64 78 68 79 69 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 64 79 66 78 68 79 69 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 56 85 58 84 61 83 61 84 / 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 56 85 59 85 63 84 61 84 / 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 56 82 58 84 62 83 62 83 / 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 56 85 58 84 61 83 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Bon Secour
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Thu -- 06:12 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:59 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:23 PM CDT     1.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:25 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:16 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama, Tide feet

Mobile Bay Entrance
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Thu -- 05:50 AM CDT     1.64 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:56 AM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:01 PM CDT     -1.92 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current, knots

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