Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 7:24 PM Moonrise 9:22 PM   Moonset 6:58 AM

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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 336 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 25 2024
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight. Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Saturday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Saturday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Sunday - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Sunday night - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.

GMZ600 336 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis - An onshore flow pattern will continue through the remainder of the week. The onshore flow will strengthen with a build in seas this weekend before gradually subsiding early next week.

FXUS64 KMOB 252344 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 644 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the remainder of the evening hours. Fog is expected to develop overnight tonight, mainly north of I-10. Some localized patches of dense fog may be possible primarily over interior portions of south central Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. Fog will dissipate after sunrise and VFR conditions will return for the remainder of the day tomorrow.
Light and variable winds tonight will become southeasterly and increase to around 10 to 15 knots late tomorrow morning. Winds during the afternoon hours could gust as high as 25 knots in spots. /96

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 332 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 332 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Upper ridging will slowly build eastward during the overnight hours as the axis of an upper level trough swings into the Plains.
At the surface, southerly flow will persist, filtering in warm and moist air. Current conditions across the forecast area are on the warm side, as temps have risen into the lower to mid 80s under partly cloudy skies. Skies will remain partly cloudy over the most part tonight and winds are expected to become calm, leading to radiational cooling for our overnight hours. This will allow temps to fall into the upper 50s to lower 60s by daybreak. The upper ridge will strengthen a bit on Friday morning before it begins to exit the area as the trough to our west slides eastward.
Seasonably warm temperatures are expected again on Friday, as highs warm into the lower to mid 80s. /73

SHORT THROUGH LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 419 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Dry and seasonably warm conditions will persist through the weekend as upper ridging and surface high pressure maintain their hold on the sensible weather pattern. The aforementioned trough to our west will pivot northward before it becomes absorbed in the ridging aloft. Another closed low and trough will then swing into the Plains again and the upper ridge will strengthen over the southeast. Temps through the weekend will rise into the lower 80s during the day and fall into the lower to mid 60s during the overnight hours.

The closed low over the plains will open as it moves to the northeast at the start of the upcoming work week. The ridge will maintain its hold through at least Monday, with another dry and seasonal day is on tap. The upper ridge will continue to push to the east through the day on Tuesday, as the weakening trough moves into the Mississippi Valley. The trough will continue to weaken through the day and flow aloft will become more zonal by Tuesday afternoon. There may be enough forcing to lend isolated thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday, with the better chances during the afternoon hours on Tuesday. Confidence is not overly high on the coverage and for now will cap PoPs to 30%. Another ridge begins to build eastward on Wednesday, with dry conditions expected to return. /73

MARINE...
Issued at 332 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Onshore flow will persist and then strengthen late Friday and especially this weekend. Winds may become sustained between 15-25 kt over the marine area through much of the weekend. Seas may build to 5-8 ft over the Gulf waters Saturday night into Sunday.
Small Craft Advisories will likely become necessary this weekend.
/73

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 62 82 65 81 66 80 65 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 64 78 67 78 68 78 67 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 66 77 68 78 68 78 68 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 59 86 61 84 61 84 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 60 86 63 84 63 83 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 Camden 59 85 63 83 62 83 60 84 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 58 84 60 84 61 84 59 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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