Monday, October14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Perdido Beach, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 6:20PM Monday October 14, 2019 5:37 AM CDT (10:37 UTC) Moonrise 7:11PMMoonset 7:24AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 453 Am Cdt Mon Oct 14 2019
Today..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening. Chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely after midnight.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning.
Wednesday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 453 Am Cdt Mon Oct 14 2019
Synopsis..A stalled frontal boundary over open gulf waters will move to near the coast today, then inland tonight. North of the front a light to moderate northerly flow is expected, with light to moderate southeast to south south of the boundary. A cold front moving over and south of the area Wednesday will bring moderate offshore flow Wednesday night through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Perdido Beach, AL
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location: 30.39, -87.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 140958
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
458 am cdt Mon oct 14 2019

Near term now through Monday night Currently, west to east
zonal flow was noted on the north side of mid upper level high
pressure over mexico and the gulf of mexico. A stationary front
was analyzed over the northern gulf before moving inland near
panama city.

Today, several mid level shortwaves move east over the lower
mississippi river valley and western portions of the southeast in
the zonal mid upper level flow. The added mid-layer instability in
combination with a shallow band of isentropic upglide over the
cooler airmass that has settled over the region will bring
scattered rainshowers to the forecast area today. With soundings
showing some elevated instability along and just north of the
front, have added some thunderstorms to the weather grids for
today. Guidance is consistent in advertising the stalled front
meandering north to along the coast today, so have extended the
rumbles inland to along and south of the crenshaw co., al to
southern perry co, ms line. Most guidance is consistent in placing
the band of best QPF along a line just north of the i10 corridor,
so have leaned this way for the forecast. With temperatures
today, coolest temperatures remain north of highway 84 in the
cooler part of the airmass over the region. Warmest is expected to
again be over southeastern portions of the forecast area, closer
to the stalled boundary and the last to see any cooling rain
today. The result is high temperatures today ranging from the mid
70s over northwestern-most portions of the forecast area, to low
to mid 80s over the western florida panhandle and along the coast.

Tonight, guidance is consistent in the boundary over the gulf
beginning to move inland later tonight, with another round
isentropic upglide convection setting up well north of the slowly
northward moving now warm front as more mid-level shortwave energy
moves east over the southeast. Guidance is consistent in generally
advertising the best QPF amounts being north of highway 84 in the
band of best upglide closer to the passing mid level shortwaves,
with an exception being the ECMWF advertising a band of best qpf
being between the i10 and highway 84 corridors. Have leaned
towards a consensus of the guidance minus the outlier ECMWF with
respect to best rain coverage. This places the axis of best rain
accumulations highest pops being north of highway 84. Have kept
the mention of thunder closer to the surface boundary, with model
soundings continuing to advertise modest, yet sufficient elevated
instability for thunderstorm development. Even so, have went with
a mention of a few thunderstorms at most. Looking at temperatures,
with the inland penetration of the warm front being slowed by
modest winds near the surface along with rain cooling from the
incoming rain after midnight, a continued strong north to south
gradient in temperatures is expected. Low temperatures ranging
from low 60s north of highway 84 to mid 70s along the coast 16

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night The surface
boundary will continue to lift north of the forecast area
Tuesday morning as a surface ridge builds across the florida
peninsula and eastern gulf of mexico. Upper level zonal flow will
remain over the region ahead of a fast moving upper low and
shortwave that will exit the northern plains and carve out a large
upper trough over the eastern CONUS by mid week. A strong cold
front associated with this system will approach the forecast area
from the northwest Tuesday night, and move quickly through the
forecast area and south of the coast Wednesday morning. The
combination of upper level disturbances moving from west to east
in the zonal flow, adequate moisture in place, and the
approaching cold front, rain and thunderstorm chances will
increase substantially on Tuesday. Widespread rainfall totals
through the period will range from 1 to 2 inches across much of
the forecast area, with 3 to 4 inches locally, mainly north of a
line from wiggins, ms to crestview, fl.

Scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms Wednesday morning
will be followed by clearing skies and dry conditions through the
remainder of the short term as high pressure builds in from the
northwest. High temperatures both Tuesday and Wednesday will reach
the mid 70s to lower 80s. Low temperatures Tuesday night will
range from 65 to 70 degrees inland areas, with lower 70s along the
coast. Low temperatures Wednesday night will range from the mid
40s to lower 50s inland areas, with upper 50s along the coast. 22

Long term Thursday through Sunday Surface high pressure will
continue to build across the southeast CONUS through Thursday into
Friday. This will keep a dry weather pattern across the forecast
area through noon Friday. Scattered to numerous rain showers and a
chance of thunderstorms will gradually return to our area Friday
afternoon through the weekend as the surface high moves east of
the region, allowing a warm front and gulf moisture to advance
northward. In addition, an weak area of low pressure forming over
the western gulf may move northeast toward the north central gulf
coast late in the week. Temperatures on Thursday behind the cold
front will only be in the upper 60s to lower 70s, followed by a
gradual warming trend with high climbing back into the upper 70s
to mid 80s over the weekend. 22

Marine A stalled surface front over open gulf waters will move
to near the northern gulf coast today, then begin to move inland
tonight. A light to at times moderate south east to southerly flow
sets up over area waters as a result. A cold front will move south
of area waters Wednesday into early Wednesday night, bringing
offshore flow to area waters. Southeasterly flow returns by
Saturday as a surface ridge builds west over the southeast and
northern gulf. The generally light winds will limit the building
of seas early in the week, with a general 1 to 3 feet expected
with the southerly flow and 2 to 4 feet under northerly flow mid
to late week. 16

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 81 70 81 70 79 54 74 55 40 40 70 80 50 0 10 10
pensacola 83 75 81 72 81 59 75 59 40 40 70 80 50 0 10 10
destin 82 76 81 73 83 61 76 60 40 40 70 80 50 0 10 10
evergreen 78 67 78 68 78 51 75 50 20 50 80 80 40 0 0 0
waynesboro 73 65 75 65 74 47 69 48 20 60 90 80 30 0 0 0
camden 75 64 75 65 76 49 72 49 20 60 100 80 30 0 0 0
crestview 85 70 80 70 82 53 77 52 40 30 70 80 50 0 10 10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 12 mi67 min ESE 2.9 G 6 74°F 82°F1016.5 hPa
WBYA1 21 mi67 min 78°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 21 mi112 min 70°F 1016 hPa65°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 22 mi97 min ENE 4.1 71°F 1016.3 hPa (-0.3)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 23 mi37 min E 9.7 G 14 1016.2 hPa (+0.0)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 33 mi67 min E 6 G 7 73°F 1016.3 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 36 mi37 min E 5.1 G 7 74°F 1016.4 hPa (-0.7)
MBPA1 36 mi67 min 73°F 66°F
PTOA1 37 mi67 min 67°F 62°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 38 mi67 min ENE 6 74°F 1016.6 hPa
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 38 mi67 min N 5.1 G 6 73°F 80°F1017 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 39 mi67 min 67°F 82°F1016.9 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 42 mi67 min E 8.9 74°F 1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL7 mi41 minE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F68°F87%1016.2 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi44 minNNE 410.00 miOvercast72°F68°F87%1016.4 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL15 mi62 minSSW 510.00 miFair67°F65°F95%1016.3 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL24 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair66°F62°F88%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNPA

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N5N4N5N4NW5NW7SW46S7CalmCalmNW3CalmN6N7N7N7N6NE6NE7NE6E4E4
1 day agoSE4CalmNW5N3N3N6N6N8N6E4CalmNW5N4N3N8N8N6N7N4N4N5N5N3N3
2 days agoSE11SE11SE14E12
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E15E15SE12SE13SE11SE11SE9S7S9S9S6SE7SE9SE9S9S7SE8

Tide / Current Tables for Nix Point, Perdido Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Entrance, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.