Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Destin, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 4:48PM Friday December 13, 2019 2:18 AM CST (08:18 UTC) Moonrise 7:21PMMoonset 8:51AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 932 Pm Cst Thu Dec 12 2019
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 932 Pm Cst Thu Dec 12 2019
Synopsis..A moderate to strong east to northeast flow will persist through this evening. Easterly winds and seas will diminish late tonight and early Friday as the area of low pressure approaches from the south and moves inland along the alabama northwest florida coast by mid to late afternoon. Winds and seas will be locally higher near scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms tonight and Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Destin, FL
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location: 30.4, -86.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 130543 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1143 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

DISCUSSION. Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . MVFR to IFR conditions can be expected through much of period in low clouds and patchy BR along with periods of -SHRA. /13

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 347 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Friday/ . Near the surface a weak area of low pressure is located well south of the central LA coast with a warm front stretching NNE from the low center, located near the mouth of the MS river then stretching eastward off the coast of MS/AL/NWFL about 30 to 40 nm from shore. The weak SFC low will slowly deepen as it tracks north over the marine area through midday Fri moving onshore along the AL/NWFL coast by early Fri afternoon. This system is associated with a deepening upper system moving east over the central and lower Plains states late tonight through Fri with the upper trough axis reaching the lower MS River Valley and northern Gulf states by late Fri afternoon. With this pattern skies remain mostly cloudy through Fri afternoon with better rain chances, mostly in the form of moderate to heavy showers with a few embedded thunderstorms, moving onshore late tonight through early to mid afternoon Fri.

Along and south of the warm front better surface based instability is noted leading to a few strong thunderstorms forming along the front just east of the mouth of the MS River this afternoon. Increased vertical shear in the lower levels of the boundary layer is also noted leading to a few rotating cells well to the south of KMOB generally east of the mouth of the MS river. As the low center approaches the AL/NWFL coast by early Fri morning the warm front is progged to move just onshore generally from lower Mobile Co stretching northeast then east to about the AL/NWFL state line. This all occurs from about 09z Fri morning continuing through mid to late afternoon. As a result a few strong surface based thunderstorms will be possible along and south of the warm front on Fri accompanied with gusty straight line winds, large hail along with a few isolated tornadoes. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing pattern.

Temperatures will be warmer tonight and on Fri with lows ranging from the mid to upper 40s for most inland areas and the lower to middle 50s along the immediate coast. Highs Fri will range from the upper 50s to lower 60s along and north of Highway 84 and the middle 60s further south stretching to the immediate coast. 32/ee

SHORT TERM /Friday night Through Sunday night/ . Medium amplified upper level trough with axis nearly in line with the Mississippi River will advance eastward and deamplify before moving off the east coast of the U.S. Saturday night. West-northwest mid to upper level winds in the wake of the trough will bring in a drier airmass, with any lingering precipitation across the forecast area quickly tapering off from west to east Friday evening. With surface high pressure building into the region, along with the drier air mass, the entire weekend looks to be rain-free with temperatures on the rise. High temperatures Saturday will be about 3 to 6 degrees above normal, ranging from 63 to 69 degrees. High temperatures Sunday will be around 8 degrees above normal, ranging from 67 to 71 degrees. Lows will trend warmer as well, with lows Saturday night in the 40s and lows Sunday night in the 50s. /22

LONG TERM /Monday Through Thursday/ . A large positively tilted upper level trough over the north central/western conus, with an axis extending from south central Canada to Baja California, will advance eastward and amplify. The northern portion of the upper trough will advance faster than the southern portion, so the trough should extend from southeast Canada to northern Mexico by noon Wednesday, and eventually move east of the region after midweek. An inverted surface trough should extend from northeast Mexico to the Tennessee Valley region Monday morning. This trough, along with an associated strong cold front, will advance eastward across the forecast area Monday night through Tuesday morning. Precipitation will increase on Monday to likely over the northwestern portions of the area, with chance pops elsewhere. Likely to categorical pops follow for the entire area Monday night as the front moves through, then rain chances taper off on Tuesday with dry conditions areawide by late Tuesday afternoon. Both the GFS and ECMWF have MLCape values ahead of the front that have increased to between 500-700 J/KG, while 0-1 km SR Helicity values remain around 150-200 m2/s2, so will continue to monitor. /22

MARINE . A moderate to strong east to northeast flow will persist through this evening in response to an area of low pressure tracking northward over the north central Gulf, combined with strong high pressure located along the eastern seaboard. Easterly winds and seas will diminish late tonight and early Fri as the area of low pressure approaches from the south and moves inland along the Al/NWFL coast by mid to late afternoon Fri. Showers and thunderstorms are also expected late tonight and on Fri as the low center approaches from the south. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible by early Fri with gusty straight line winds and waterspouts possible. A moderate west to northwest flow is expected Friday night through Saturday in the wake of a cold front that moves off the coast late Friday afternoon through early Friday evening. Small Craft Advisories will remain in effect for the open Gulf waters of AL and NWFL through 6 am Fri morning. 32/ee

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 36 mi49 min NE 12 G 18 51°F 62°F1018.8 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 37 mi49 min NNE 6 G 12 50°F 60°F1019.3 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 48 mi49 min NNE 6 G 8.9 63°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 60 mi29 min NE 18 G 23 56°F 66°F6 ft1018.3 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL2 mi26 minNE 73.00 miFog/Mist50°F48°F96%1018.2 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL6 mi83 minENE 108.00 miOvercast49°F47°F96%1020 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL9 mi83 minNNE 810.00 miOvercast50°F47°F93%1019.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDTS

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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2 days ago4S554S4S5S7S10
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Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:33 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:51 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:01 AM CST     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:46 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:20 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:49 PM CST     0.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.60.50.40.30.10-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:12 AM CST     1.59 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:34 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:52 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:32 PM CST     -0.62 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:47 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:21 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.61.51.31.10.90.60.30-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.200.30.50.81.11.31.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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