Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hudson Bend, TX
April 29, 2025 9:44 PM CDT (02:44 UTC)
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 | Sunrise 6:47 AM Sunset 8:09 PM Moonrise 7:00 AM Moonset 9:53 PM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hudson Bend, TX
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Area Discussion for Austin/San Antonio, TX
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FXUS64 KEWX 292324 AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 624 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
Key Messages:
- Level 1 of 5 risk for an isolated severe storm into tonight near Val Verde County.
- Level 1 of 5 risk for isolated severe storms across the Hill Country, and locations along and to the east of the I-35 corridor on Wednesday
A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) had developed overnight that advanced across Val Verde county producing wind damage quickly decayed this morning with a few lingering light showers over the Hill Country. This created gustiness and shifts in the winds into this morning as well with a wake low. Since then, winds have become breezy and have dominantly returned out of the south-southeast. This morning also saw some showers along the border with the CRP CWA and a shower or two does remain left over with this layer of mid-level moisture near Karnes county. The rest of this afternoon and tonight will primarily remain rain free. The only exception will be along the Rio Grande where isolated convection develops across Mexico along the southern extension of the dryline from late this afternoon through this evening. An isolated storm or two could make a run to cross the Rio Grande. If a storm is able to make it, it could be strong to severe, especially in Val Verde County. The main hazards would be large hail and strong winds. The activity will likely quickly fade later into the night and with any farther eastward advancement.
An upper level low will advance across the Texas panhandle into the western Oklahoma region from Wednesday into Wednesday night. This helps the dryline advance farther eastward towards the highway 281 corridor by the afternoon. Greatest forcing will exist across the San Angelo and Fort Worth CWAs with the closer proximity of the parent low. This is where the greatest chances for storm initiation and severe weather will exist. Across our region, the threat will remain more conditional and dependent on the strength of the local capping inversion. The HRRR and NAMNest had backed off with storm development across our region through Wednesday afternoon/evening while other short term HRRR members, such as the RRFS, WRF-ARW, and FV3, develop isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms of around the I-35 corridor. The latest convective outlook for Wednesday into Wednesday night showcases a level 1 of 5 risk for severe storms from the Hill Country eastward through the I-35 corridor and continues eastward into the coastal plains. If storms do fire, there is plenty of instability pooling ahead of the dryline with 2500 to 3500 J/kg of MUCAPE coupled with 35 to 45 kts of 0-6 km layer shear, and steep mid-level lapse rates between 7 to 8 C/km for where storms could become severe. Large to very large hail and damaging winds are the primary hazards. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible with the activity as well. This activity, if develops, could impact the afternoon/evening commute, before fading/dissipating by the overnight. Other than this thunderstorm potential, there could be spotty to scattered low topped showers that develop underneath the capping inversion from Wednesday morning into the afternoon as well for locations that remain east of the dryline. Locations that are west of the dryline will see sunny conditions with less wind and lower humidity levels. Overall, even with that said, the PoPS were lowered into the 30 to 50 percent range for locations east of the dryline given the conditional thunderstorm potential.
Afternoon highs today will range from the mid 80s into the mid 90s along the Rio Grande. For Wednesday, highs will trend similar for locations remaining to the east of the dryline but hotter for locations that are west of the dryline with the drier air. The Rio Grande could make a run for 100 degrees during Wednesday afternoon as a result. Overnights will remain very warm and muggy as values each night range from the 60s into the low 70s. This includes Wednesday night through early Thursday morning with the dryline retreating back westward through the night.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
Key Messages:
- Hot and humid conditions expected Thursday afternoon with heat indices in the mid to upper 90s for most.
- Multiple rounds of rain and storms are expected, with the threat for locally heavy rainfall that could lead to flooding most likely on Friday/Friday night.
An active period of Spring time weather continues for South Central Texas as we enter the first couple days of May. You'll most certainly notice a climb in humidity, particularly on Thursday when temps will climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s, but with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s, it'll make it feel like the mid to upper 90s Thursday afternoon. A dryline will attempt to work eastward Thursday afternoon and some strong to severe storms may develop along this boundary Thursday afternoon and evening over the Rio Grande Plains and make their way eastward. Notable differences in the strength of a lead shortwave Thursday afternoon between the GFS and ECMWF will make a big difference in storm intensity and ability to move eastward. With the strength of the shortwave on the GFS, storms would likely maintain strength and push eastward off the mountainous terrain of northern Mexico and into South Central Texas. The ECMWF version leaves a bit more to be desired with a weaker shortwave and storms struggling to move east. For now, SPC has a Marginal (Level 1 of 5) Risk for severe storms over a good chunk of our region. Any storms that do form would have the chance to produce large hail and damaging winds, but would have a hard time getting much further east than the Highway 281 corridor.
Our attention then turns to the next shot at rain and storms on Friday. A frontal boundary that has been stalled out over north Texas will begin moving southward in response to an approaching upper level low over the Four Corners. This will send the front into South Central Texas Friday Afternoon and evening. Where heavier rain sets up in highly dependent on the location of the frontal boundary. With PWATs some 1-2 SD above the mean in the ECMWF Ensembles, and rich moisture from the surface to about 700mb, locally heavy rainfall that could lead to flooding or flash flooding is possible if storms can linger long enough. If the front pushes too far south too quickly, amounts will be lighter. For now, there also appears to be a low end risk for severe storms, but the greater threat looks to be heavy rainfall. WPC has highlighted most of our area in a Day 3 Marginal (Level 1 of 4) Excessive Rainfall Outlook. This could eventually be upgraded to a Slight risk, but confidence in location and timing of the heavier rainfall is low right now.
Saturday and Sunday, temperatures should be cooler but we won't see a significant drop off in humidity. Highs should still top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s both days. Scattered showers and occasional thunderstorms remain possible both days as broad east-southeasterly flow continues to provide isentropic ascent behind the frontal boundary. Weak mid-level ridging develops late Sunday in advance of the next storm system approaching from the west. Medium range guidance starts to diverge on the evolution of this storm system for early next week. For now, the threat for continued rain and storms is in the forecast, and potential for additional beneficial rainfall remains on the table for the second week of May.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
15-20 kt SE winds continue across most of the region but will lessen to around 10 kt tonight for most sites. Isolated TS northwest of DRT and over Mexico have shown a gradual weakening trend and are expected to continue decaying. MVFR ceilings return overnight through Wednesday morning at the I-35 TAF terminals (AUS, SAT, SSF)
before ceilings lift to VFR by 16-17Z. PROB30 for TSRA at AUS and SAT between 21-00Z have been maintained due to possible isolated coverage of TS. Winds remain southeasterly for most areas except for DRT, ECU and vicinity which should see a shift to west or west- northwest winds after 15Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 72 87 70 93 / 10 40 40 20 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 72 87 70 92 / 10 40 40 20 New Braunfels Muni Airport 72 87 71 93 / 10 40 30 20 Burnet Muni Airport 70 85 68 92 / 10 50 40 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 73 98 70 98 / 20 10 10 30 Georgetown Muni Airport 71 86 69 92 / 10 50 40 20 Hondo Muni Airport 71 92 68 93 / 10 30 20 20 San Marcos Muni Airport 71 87 70 92 / 10 40 30 20 La Grange - Fayette Regional 73 87 72 90 / 10 40 30 20 San Antonio Intl Airport 72 88 71 91 / 10 40 30 20 Stinson Muni Airport 73 90 72 93 / 10 40 20 20
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 624 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
Key Messages:
- Level 1 of 5 risk for an isolated severe storm into tonight near Val Verde County.
- Level 1 of 5 risk for isolated severe storms across the Hill Country, and locations along and to the east of the I-35 corridor on Wednesday
A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) had developed overnight that advanced across Val Verde county producing wind damage quickly decayed this morning with a few lingering light showers over the Hill Country. This created gustiness and shifts in the winds into this morning as well with a wake low. Since then, winds have become breezy and have dominantly returned out of the south-southeast. This morning also saw some showers along the border with the CRP CWA and a shower or two does remain left over with this layer of mid-level moisture near Karnes county. The rest of this afternoon and tonight will primarily remain rain free. The only exception will be along the Rio Grande where isolated convection develops across Mexico along the southern extension of the dryline from late this afternoon through this evening. An isolated storm or two could make a run to cross the Rio Grande. If a storm is able to make it, it could be strong to severe, especially in Val Verde County. The main hazards would be large hail and strong winds. The activity will likely quickly fade later into the night and with any farther eastward advancement.
An upper level low will advance across the Texas panhandle into the western Oklahoma region from Wednesday into Wednesday night. This helps the dryline advance farther eastward towards the highway 281 corridor by the afternoon. Greatest forcing will exist across the San Angelo and Fort Worth CWAs with the closer proximity of the parent low. This is where the greatest chances for storm initiation and severe weather will exist. Across our region, the threat will remain more conditional and dependent on the strength of the local capping inversion. The HRRR and NAMNest had backed off with storm development across our region through Wednesday afternoon/evening while other short term HRRR members, such as the RRFS, WRF-ARW, and FV3, develop isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms of around the I-35 corridor. The latest convective outlook for Wednesday into Wednesday night showcases a level 1 of 5 risk for severe storms from the Hill Country eastward through the I-35 corridor and continues eastward into the coastal plains. If storms do fire, there is plenty of instability pooling ahead of the dryline with 2500 to 3500 J/kg of MUCAPE coupled with 35 to 45 kts of 0-6 km layer shear, and steep mid-level lapse rates between 7 to 8 C/km for where storms could become severe. Large to very large hail and damaging winds are the primary hazards. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible with the activity as well. This activity, if develops, could impact the afternoon/evening commute, before fading/dissipating by the overnight. Other than this thunderstorm potential, there could be spotty to scattered low topped showers that develop underneath the capping inversion from Wednesday morning into the afternoon as well for locations that remain east of the dryline. Locations that are west of the dryline will see sunny conditions with less wind and lower humidity levels. Overall, even with that said, the PoPS were lowered into the 30 to 50 percent range for locations east of the dryline given the conditional thunderstorm potential.
Afternoon highs today will range from the mid 80s into the mid 90s along the Rio Grande. For Wednesday, highs will trend similar for locations remaining to the east of the dryline but hotter for locations that are west of the dryline with the drier air. The Rio Grande could make a run for 100 degrees during Wednesday afternoon as a result. Overnights will remain very warm and muggy as values each night range from the 60s into the low 70s. This includes Wednesday night through early Thursday morning with the dryline retreating back westward through the night.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
Key Messages:
- Hot and humid conditions expected Thursday afternoon with heat indices in the mid to upper 90s for most.
- Multiple rounds of rain and storms are expected, with the threat for locally heavy rainfall that could lead to flooding most likely on Friday/Friday night.
An active period of Spring time weather continues for South Central Texas as we enter the first couple days of May. You'll most certainly notice a climb in humidity, particularly on Thursday when temps will climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s, but with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s, it'll make it feel like the mid to upper 90s Thursday afternoon. A dryline will attempt to work eastward Thursday afternoon and some strong to severe storms may develop along this boundary Thursday afternoon and evening over the Rio Grande Plains and make their way eastward. Notable differences in the strength of a lead shortwave Thursday afternoon between the GFS and ECMWF will make a big difference in storm intensity and ability to move eastward. With the strength of the shortwave on the GFS, storms would likely maintain strength and push eastward off the mountainous terrain of northern Mexico and into South Central Texas. The ECMWF version leaves a bit more to be desired with a weaker shortwave and storms struggling to move east. For now, SPC has a Marginal (Level 1 of 5) Risk for severe storms over a good chunk of our region. Any storms that do form would have the chance to produce large hail and damaging winds, but would have a hard time getting much further east than the Highway 281 corridor.
Our attention then turns to the next shot at rain and storms on Friday. A frontal boundary that has been stalled out over north Texas will begin moving southward in response to an approaching upper level low over the Four Corners. This will send the front into South Central Texas Friday Afternoon and evening. Where heavier rain sets up in highly dependent on the location of the frontal boundary. With PWATs some 1-2 SD above the mean in the ECMWF Ensembles, and rich moisture from the surface to about 700mb, locally heavy rainfall that could lead to flooding or flash flooding is possible if storms can linger long enough. If the front pushes too far south too quickly, amounts will be lighter. For now, there also appears to be a low end risk for severe storms, but the greater threat looks to be heavy rainfall. WPC has highlighted most of our area in a Day 3 Marginal (Level 1 of 4) Excessive Rainfall Outlook. This could eventually be upgraded to a Slight risk, but confidence in location and timing of the heavier rainfall is low right now.
Saturday and Sunday, temperatures should be cooler but we won't see a significant drop off in humidity. Highs should still top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s both days. Scattered showers and occasional thunderstorms remain possible both days as broad east-southeasterly flow continues to provide isentropic ascent behind the frontal boundary. Weak mid-level ridging develops late Sunday in advance of the next storm system approaching from the west. Medium range guidance starts to diverge on the evolution of this storm system for early next week. For now, the threat for continued rain and storms is in the forecast, and potential for additional beneficial rainfall remains on the table for the second week of May.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
15-20 kt SE winds continue across most of the region but will lessen to around 10 kt tonight for most sites. Isolated TS northwest of DRT and over Mexico have shown a gradual weakening trend and are expected to continue decaying. MVFR ceilings return overnight through Wednesday morning at the I-35 TAF terminals (AUS, SAT, SSF)
before ceilings lift to VFR by 16-17Z. PROB30 for TSRA at AUS and SAT between 21-00Z have been maintained due to possible isolated coverage of TS. Winds remain southeasterly for most areas except for DRT, ECU and vicinity which should see a shift to west or west- northwest winds after 15Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 72 87 70 93 / 10 40 40 20 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 72 87 70 92 / 10 40 40 20 New Braunfels Muni Airport 72 87 71 93 / 10 40 30 20 Burnet Muni Airport 70 85 68 92 / 10 50 40 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 73 98 70 98 / 20 10 10 30 Georgetown Muni Airport 71 86 69 92 / 10 50 40 20 Hondo Muni Airport 71 92 68 93 / 10 30 20 20 San Marcos Muni Airport 71 87 70 92 / 10 40 30 20 La Grange - Fayette Regional 73 87 72 90 / 10 40 30 20 San Antonio Intl Airport 72 88 71 91 / 10 40 30 20 Stinson Muni Airport 73 90 72 93 / 10 40 20 20
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KRYW LAGO VISTA TX RUSTY ALLEN,TX | 7 sm | 29 min | SE 10G15 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 75°F | 66°F | 74% | 29.96 | |
| KEDC AUSTIN EXECUTIVE,TX | 19 sm | 29 min | SE 11G16 | 7 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 77°F | 68°F | 74% | 29.90 | |
| KAUS AUSTINBERGSTROM INTL,TX | 21 sm | 51 min | SSE 15 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 79°F | 66°F | 65% | 29.91 | |
| KGTU GEORGETOWN MUNI,TX | 23 sm | 48 min | SE 11G17 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 79°F | 66°F | 65% | 29.92 | |
| KDZB HORSESHOE BAY RESORT,TX | 24 sm | 29 min | SSE 07 | Clear | 77°F | 63°F | 61% | 29.91 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRYW
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRYW
Wind History Graph: RYW
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains
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