Freeport, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Freeport, FL

June 19, 2024 12:46 PM CDT (17:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM
Moonrise 5:56 PM   Moonset 3:25 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ636 Expires:202406200315;;296762 Fzus54 Kmob 191443 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 943 am cdt Wed jun 19 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz635-636-200315- western choctawhatchee bay-eastern choctawhatchee bay- 943 am cdt Wed jun 19 2024

.small craft should exercise caution - .

Rest of today - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.

Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop.

Thursday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Thursday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.

Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Friday night - East winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Saturday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

Sunday - West winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 943 Am Cdt Wed Jun 19 2024

Synopsis - A moderate to strong easterly flow and rough seas will bring hazardous conditions to small craft through Thursday. Winds and seas will gradually diminish Friday into Saturday before returning to a more southerly flow on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Freeport, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 191722 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 122 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 1108 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Cloud cover has been a bit more extensive and stubborn this morning than previously forecast. Nudged high temperatures down a touch due to slower warming overall, but still expect low to mid 90s across the area. Otherwise, no other changes needed.

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 434 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Strong high pressure to the northeast and a formative tropical cyclone in the southwest Gulf will keep strong easterly flow in place until Thursday night or Friday morning. High pressure will settle south across the region on Saturday, then continue south into the Gulf on Sunday. A weak front will sag south through Alabama and Georgia on Monday and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 434 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

We are in the midst of a prolonged period of strong easterly breezes, thanks to interaction between strong off pressure off the Northeast U.S. coast, and a formative tropical cyclone over the Southwest Gulf. Generally speaking, the strong easterlies will continue through Thursday evening.

Within the easterly flow, we currently have a tropical wave moving across the Florida Peninsula early this morning, and it will pass across the eastern Gulf after sunrise. This feature is responsible for the ongoing enhancement of the easterlies.
Overnight, there have been frequent gusts of 40+ mph at exposed locations along the Franklin County coast, so the Wind Advisory will continue there until winds experience a reliable diurnally- induced decrease in speed late this morning.

Otherwise, isolated showers will dot the landscape through Thursday, with mainly light rainfall amounts. Last evenings 00z TAE balloon sounding revealed a strong subsidence inversion around 8,500 feet, which should limit depth of convection and keep thunder out of the picture.

SHORT TERM
(Thursday night through Friday night)
Issued at 434 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Easterly winds will decrease during this period. During this time, the strong high pressure off the NOrtheast U.S. coast will start to weaken, settle south toward Bermuda, and extend a southward- moving ridge axis across the Southeast States. In addition, the passage of an easterly wave on Friday will further disrupt the straight- shot easterlies and muddy the current crisp-looking pressure pattern.

As low-mid level flow becomes south of east in the wake of Fridays easterly wave, a more sustained increase in Precipitable Water (PW) values will occur, reaching levels that will support a return of deep, moist convection, i.e. thunderstorms, by afternoon. The main large-scale limiting factor will be a strong 500 mb subtropical ridge axis over the Southeast States, so convection will still be tied closely to where low- level lift is maximized.
Examples would be confluent bands in southeast flow behind the easterly wave axis, or where the seabreeze --- which is currently lacking in the strong wind regime --- finally returns against the backdrop of weaker flow on Friday.

LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 434 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

The strong 500 mb subtropical ridge axis over the Southeast States will gradually bifurcate, with one strong lobe retrograding to the Southwest U.S., and another strong lobe developing over the mid- Atlantic Ocean southeast of Bermuda. Here in between, we will see a growing weakness in the subtropical ridge axis with mid-level heights lowering a little each day.

At the surface, an east-west ridge axis will slip southward across the service area on Saturday, then slowly retreat equatorward toward the Southeast Gulf through Tuesday. A weak summertime front will sag south through Alabama and Georgia on Monday and Tuesday, with light south-southwest low-level flow over the tri- state area. The flow will bring up a richly and increasingly moist air mass from the south, with PW values at or above 2 inches by early next week. Given proximity of the frontal boundary to the north and our more normal seabreeze convergence, thunderstorm chances and potential for heavy pockets of rain will be increasing.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 115 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

VFR conditions will continue with a SCT/BKN deck around 040-050.
Breezy easterly winds around 12 to 17 kt with gusts 20 to 25 kt continue through the afternoon, dying off in the evening and overnight, and increasing again tomorrow morning. VFR/MVFR cigs will be possible tomorrow morning through 18z.

MARINE
Issued at 434 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

The highest wind speeds in this prolonged multi-day period of strong easterly breezes are occurring this morning, though it will take until Friday morning to close the door on Small Craft conditions. Early this morning, Buoy 42036 was observing whopping 9-foot seas, and frequent gale- force gusts have been observed along the Franklin County coast at places like the St. George Island Bridge. Small craft should remain in port.

Even once winds decrease to merely gentle breezes over the northeast Gulf this weekend, strong breezes over the southern Gulf will continue to generate swell that will propagate into the northeast Gulf. So look for 2-4 foot swell this weekend, despite decreased winds. It may be a weekend to enjoy the protected bay and inland waters.

From CWF synopsis...Strong easterly breezes will continue through Thursday due to interaction between a strong high off the Northeast U.S. coast and a formative tropical cyclone in the southwest Gulf. Winds this morning are being further enhanced by a passing tropical wave, bringing frequent gale-force gusts until late this morning. Look for winds to decrease over the course of Friday and Saturday, as an east-west ridge axis settles southward through the Southeast States. The ridge axis will slip south of the waters on Sunday, bringing a turn to gentle southerly and southwesterly winds.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 434 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Strong easterly breezes will continue through Thursday, then start to decrease on Friday. Winds will finally become light from Saturday on. Until the strong breezes end, dispersion will remain high. Summer thunderstorms will be lacking through Thursday, but a few fast-moving weak showers and sprinkles will dot the landscape. The air mass will moisten on Friday and Saturday, marking a transition back to more routine summer thunderstorms.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 434 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Rainfall through at least this weekend will not be hydrologically significant, and no flooding is expected.

During the first half of next work week, the air mass will become richly moist, and a decaying front will slip south through Alabama and Georgia. Steering flow for thunderstorms will be somewhat slow. The potential for slow-moving and backbuilding storm cores producing torrential rainfall rates will start to raise potential for isolated flash flooding, especially as we get out to Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 93 73 92 72 / 10 0 30 10 Panama City 91 74 92 74 / 30 10 40 20 Dothan 92 70 92 70 / 0 0 20 0 Albany 94 70 92 69 / 0 0 10 0 Valdosta 92 71 92 71 / 10 10 20 10 Cross City 93 73 93 72 / 30 10 40 20 Apalachicola 88 77 89 76 / 50 20 40 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT /noon CDT/ Thursday for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PCBF1 23 mi46 minE 9.9G15 85°F 84°F30.08
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 34 mi46 minE 15G22


Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: DTS
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Tide / Current for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
   
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East Pass (Destin)
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Wed -- 03:26 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:58 AM CDT     0.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:56 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:50 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:45 PM CDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
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Wed -- 03:24 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:43 AM CDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:53 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:48 PM CDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Northwest Florida,




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