Valparaiso, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Valparaiso, FL

June 17, 2024 11:56 AM CDT (16:56 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:42 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM
Moonrise 3:56 PM   Moonset 2:20 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 929 Am Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

Rest of today - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon.

Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.

Wednesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Thursday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 929 Am Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis - A moderate to strong easterly to southeasterly flow and building seas is anticipated today through early Thursday morning. Winds will diminish by the beginning of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Valparaiso, FL
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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 171150 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 650 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 650 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Mostly VFR conditions will prevail today with some MVFR ceilings developing by the afternoon. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop during the afternoon and continue into the evening. Temporary reductions of visibility could be possible in the strongest of storms. Winds will be out of the east to southeast around 10 knots. BB/03

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 431 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 431 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

The Gulf is ready for business as deep southeasterly flow continues to pump rich Gulf moisture northward. A series of inverted troughs will work their way around the northern periphery of a larger gyre centered over central America. This semi- persistent feature is know as the Central American Gyre and typically set up around this time of year and can be the spawning grounds for some early season tropical mischief. Spoiler alert, the NHC has highlighted this area for potential for tropical development over the next 5 days. The good news is for our area that even if we do get our first system of the year, it would likely move into Mexico or extreme southeast Texas. The bad news is that we will be in a bit of a funnel of deep Gulf moisture that will setup between the Gyre and the large upper ridge to our east. In this channel of moisture, PWATS will range from 2 inches to as high as 2.5 inches or more. With this sort of moisture and pattern in place, its almost always a good bet on a rather soggy week. The next wave of precip will enter the area bringing widely scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms by midmorning into the early afternoon today. The best chance for rain will continue to be across southeastern Mississippi into coastal southwestern Alabama where better low level convergence will be present. The biggest issue will be the potential for locally heavy rainfall given the rather deep tropical moisture. Storms will be highly efficient in producing heavy rainfall; however, nebulous forcing, dry antecedent conditions and no true low level focus for storms will likely keep any flooding localized at least for now. While some localized flooding cannot be ruled out, it will likely be confined to poor drainage areas and urban zones.

Tuesday will bring yet another round of rain and storms; however, rain will likely be more confined to the coast as the upper ridge is able to build in some over our interior areas. This will also be in response to whatever developing system near Texas does as it draws moisture further west out of our area. Expect some rain chances especially along and south of I-10 during the day on Tuesday but most of the area will remain dry. This is only temporarily as there will be plenty of opportunities for more rain in the coming week.
Along with the increased rain chances, waves will be on the general increase leading to a HIGH risk of rip currents beginning today and eventually large breaking waves at the beaches leading to a high surf advisory. BB/03

SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 431 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

An upper ridge centered over the easternmost states builds into the region while an easterly wave advances across the western Atlantic to generally over the Bahamas. A low pressure system is meanwhile expected to traverse the southwestern Gulf, and another low pressure system may develop in association with the easterly wave. Please see the National Hurricane Center for the latest information regarding these features. The overall pattern will allow for progressively drier deep layer air to flow into the area, though this will mainly affect interior areas and be less pronounced closer to the coast. For the most part, have gone with slight chance to chance pops near the coast through the period with dry conditions further inland. Lows Tuesday night range from the lower 70s inland to the mid/upper 70s at the coast. Highs on Wednesday will be around 90 to the lower 90s. Lows Wednesday night range from around 70 well inland to the mid 70s near the coast. A High Risk of rip currents and a High Surf Advisory will be in effect through the period. /29

LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 431 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

The upper ridge is nudged away from the area through Friday by the easterly wave which continues into the eastern Gulf. An upper trof progresses across the northern Plains and mainly into the interior eastern states over the weekend, and a broad upper level weakness or trof forms over the southeastern states between this feature and the anticipated remnants of the easterly wave. Drier air associated with subsidence from the upper ridge will be slow to improve over the area but looks to make a solid improvement by Sunday at the latest. There is uncertainty with what will transpire with the potential low pressure system development associated with the eastern wave, which could approach the coast of the southeast states on Thursday or Friday. Please see the National Hurricane Center for the latest on this potential system.
Have gone with slight chance to chance pops for the southern portion of the area on Thursday, with convective development likely tied to the sea breeze. Slight chance to chance pops on Friday for most of the area will be followed by mostly chance pops on Saturday, due to in part to uncertainty associated with the pattern. Chance to good chance pops follow for Sunday as deep layer moisture improves over the area. /29

MARINE...
Issued at 431 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A moderate to strong east-southeasterly flow will persist throughout the marine zones through Tuesday and increase during the middle of the week. This increase in winds will be in response to a developing area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf. Small craft advisory conditions will develop by Tuesday and persist through Thursday. Seas will also increase to around 7 to 9 feet offshore with 2 to 3 feet in nearshore bays and waterways. BB/03

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 88 74 88 75 90 74 92 73 / 80 60 30 20 30 10 30 20 Pensacola 88 76 89 77 90 76 92 75 / 60 50 40 30 20 20 40 30 Destin 90 76 90 77 92 76 92 76 / 40 20 30 20 20 20 30 30 Evergreen 90 70 90 70 91 69 92 69 / 40 20 10 0 10 0 10 10 Waynesboro 90 71 88 71 92 70 92 69 / 60 60 10 0 10 0 10 0 Camden 90 71 89 72 90 70 91 69 / 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 92 70 92 72 93 70 94 70 / 40 20 10 10 10 10 30 20

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Advisory from 4 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ202-204- 206.

High Surf Advisory from 4 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ650-655-670-675.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PCBF1 37 mi56 minSE 13G19 85°F 85°F30.04
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 39 mi56 minE 2.9G6 85°F 30.05
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 49 mi56 minENE 8G11


Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: VPS
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Tide / Current for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
   
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East Pass (Destin)
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Mon -- 02:21 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:43 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:05 AM CDT     0.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:55 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:50 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:32 PM CDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
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Mon -- 02:21 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:09 AM CDT     1.34 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:56 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:03 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet
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Northwest Florida,




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