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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 1009 Am Cst Tue Nov 28 2023
Rest of today..North winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots early. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..East winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..South winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
Friday night..South winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Saturday..South winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 1009 Am Cst Tue Nov 28 2023
Synopsis..A moderate to occasionally strong northerly flow will generally be decreasing over the next several days as a high pressure ridge drifts east across the marine area. Southeasterly to southerly flow will return and gradually increase late this week as the high pressure shifts eastward and the next cold front approaches from the west.

FXUS64 KMOB 281923 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 123 PM CST Tue Nov 28 2023

New AVIATION, NEAR TERM

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 123 PM CST Tue Nov 28 2023

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours with light north to northeast surface winds. /12



NEAR TERM
(Now through Thursday) Issued at XXXXXX

A dry flow pattern will continue through early Thursday, but a few isolated showers will be possible by late Thursday afternoon over interior southeast MS as the next storm system begins to take shape to our west. Surface high pressure will be drifting east across our area tonight and Wednesday, bringing mostly clear skies and cool/cold temperatures with it. The ridge axis will be more or less centered right over our area late tonight and Wednesday. By Wednesday night into Thursday the center of the surface high will have shifted east of our forecast area, with a moderating return flow beginning to set up for us. Mid/upper flow will be more or less zonal through late Wednesday, but as a shortwave troughing and developing surface low pressure moves into north Texas by Thursday mid/upper flow will become more southwesterly. The low level return flow off the Gulf and increasing southwesterly flow aloft will bring a surge of higher dewpoints into the region from the southwest by the end of the near term period, but as mentioned rain chances will not increase until we move into Friday and the weekend.

With regard to temperatures, the Freeze Warning remains in effect tonight for the entire forecast area except for locations along the immediate coast. Temperatures tonight will fall into the upper 20s and lower 30s from interior southeast MS eastward across interior southwest and south central AL, low to mid 30s along the I-10 corridor and then in the upper 30s and lower 40s closer to the coast. A gradual warmup will begin on Wednesday and persist into Thursday. Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s, with the cooler temps over interior southwest and south central AL. Lows Wednesday night will not be quite as cold as tonight, generally ranging from the low to mid 30s inland areas and low to mid 40s closer to and along the coast. A few inland locations could briefly drop to right around the freezing mark, but for now looks to be only a few isolated locations and only briefly right around sunrise Thursday morning, so will not issue a Freeze Watch for Wednesday night at this time. We will continue to monitor and see if temperature trends over the inland areas cool any before making any firm decision on that. Thursday high temperatures mainly in the low to mid 60s across most of the area, but a few isolated upper 50s possible over south central AL east of I-65 and a some upper 60s possible along the immediate coast.
/12



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 33 60 41 66 57 74 62 72 / 0 0 0 10 70 70 60 70 Pensacola 39 58 44 68 59 74 65 72 / 0 0 0 10 60 80 60 70 Destin 41 60 46 67 59 75 67 74 / 0 0 0 10 50 80 60 70 Evergreen 28 59 31 62 46 74 59 71 / 0 0 0 10 70 80 50 70 Waynesboro 30 60 35 61 49 73 56 67 / 0 0 0 10 90 60 40 60 Camden 28 57 31 60 44 72 56 67 / 0 0 0 10 80 70 50 70 Crestview 29 59 32 63 49 75 62 74 / 0 0 0 0 60 80 60 70

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 7 AM CST Wednesday for ALZ051>060-261>264.

FL...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 7 AM CST Wednesday for FLZ201-203-205.

MS...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 7 AM CST Wednesday for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...None.

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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:22 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:45 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:55 AM CST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:45 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:46 PM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:32 PM CST     0.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Harris
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:23 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:46 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 12:26 PM CST     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:46 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:47 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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