Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Valparaiso, FL
 | Sunrise 5:42 AM Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 10:37 AM |
GMZ655 Expires:202506170315;;340869 Fzus54 Kmob 161447 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 947 am cdt Mon jun 16 2025
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-170315- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 947 am cdt Mon jun 16 2025
Rest of today - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 6 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely late this morning and early afternoon, then a chance of showers late.
Tonight - South winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 3 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the morning.
Tuesday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday - South winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds and south 1 foot at 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday - West winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 8 seconds and south 1 foot at 5 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 8 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 947 am cdt Mon jun 16 2025
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-170315- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 947 am cdt Mon jun 16 2025
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 947 Am Cdt Mon Jun 16 2025
Synopsis - Light to at times moderate onshore flow is expected into the coming week. Daily shower and Thunderstorm development will bring locally higher winds and seas to area waters. The environment also looks to be supportive of waterspouts in morning activity near the coast.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Valparaiso, FL
NEW! Add second zone forecast
| East Pass (Destin) Click for Map Mon -- 02:31 AM CDT -0.08 feet Low Tide Mon -- 05:43 AM CDT Sunrise Mon -- 10:37 AM CDT Moonset Mon -- 01:57 PM CDT 0.64 feet High Tide Mon -- 07:50 PM CDT Sunset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0 |
| 1 am |
| -0.1 |
| 2 am |
| -0.1 |
| 3 am |
| -0.1 |
| 4 am |
| -0 |
| 5 am |
| 0 |
| 6 am |
| 0.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
| Harris Click for Map Mon -- 04:02 AM CDT -0.19 feet Low Tide Mon -- 05:44 AM CDT Sunrise Mon -- 10:38 AM CDT Moonset Mon -- 04:01 PM CDT 1.52 feet High Tide Mon -- 07:50 PM CDT Sunset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0 |
| 2 am |
| -0.1 |
| 3 am |
| -0.2 |
| 4 am |
| -0.2 |
| 5 am |
| -0.2 |
| 6 am |
| -0.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0.5 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
Area Discussion for Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 161113 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 613 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
New Aviation
DISCUSSION
Issued at 216 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
An upper level trough will remain over the Mississippi Valley, with ridging over the western CONUS and the subtropical ridge to our east, with the forecast area under southwest flow aloft. At the surface, southerly flow will also persist, with the deep layer flow allowing PWs to climb to near 2 inches. Meanwhile, weaker shortwaves will rotate through the southwest flow aloft, lending additional forcing for storms that are able to lift off any surface boundaries. The pattern will remain largely unchanged through Thursday, as the initial trough becomes absorbed in the longwave pattern and a second trough quickly digs into the Plains and then moves eastward. This means we'll see a rinse and repeat of what we've seen the last couple of days, with storms developing along the seabreeze during the morning and then lifting northward through the day. We'll also likely have outflow boundaries from storms to our west, and with little in the way of subsidence, coverage will be scattered to numerous each afternoon. There may be slightly higher coverage on Tuesday, though confidence is low.
Any storm that's able to maintain their updrafts will be capable of producing gusty winds up to 40 mph and small hail.
The upper ridge to our west seems to finally push the upper troughing eastward on Friday, before settling over the region this weekend. After another day of scattered to numerous convection on Friday, drier conditions will take hold for Saturday and Sunday.
Scattered storms are still anticipated, but the influence of the ridge should provide for more limited coverage. Unfortunately that will also translate into even hotter conditions to set in. We'll remain seasonably warm through the week, with highs climbing into the upper 80s to lower 90s each afternoon. By the weekend, temps will approach the mid to upper 90s in some spots. Looking ahead, heat indices will exceed 100 degrees, with a potential for reaching heat advisory criteria for some spots.
Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW through Tuesday and increases to a MODERATE on Wednesday and Thursday. The latest rip current probability guidance continues to trend toward a MODERATE risk by Friday. /73
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected once again today, impacting the terminals periodically. Uncertainty remains high with regard to timing and duration of storms; however, based on recent trends and latest guidance, the TAFs reflect a most likely scenario for storms today. Storms developing off the coast will lift northward and may impact KPNS and KJKA this morning. This activity has generally been short lived in nature, so opted for VCTS during the morning hours. At this point, we're not anticipating storms to impact KBFM and KMOB until this afternoon.
Between 18Z and 00Z is the most likely timeframe for storms to move over the terminals, and a TEMPO group has been included for all 4 sites given the uncertainty on when prevailing TSRA will occur. This activity will wind down around sunset, though have kept a PROB30 in through 02Z to account for any lingering activity. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions. /73
MARINE
Issued at 216 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Light onshore flow to persist through most of this week.
Occasionally moderate southerly flow is possible, especially in the nearshore waters which will be influenced by the diurnal land and sea breeze pattern. Winds and seas will likely be temporarily higher in and near the vicinity of storms. The environment also looks to be supportive of waterspouts in morning activity near the coast.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 90 74 89 75 90 75 91 75 / 60 20 80 10 70 20 70 30 Pensacola 88 78 88 79 89 78 89 78 / 70 30 70 20 60 30 70 30 Destin 89 79 89 80 90 79 90 79 / 70 30 70 20 50 30 60 30 Evergreen 91 71 91 72 92 72 93 73 / 70 20 80 10 50 10 70 20 Waynesboro 91 71 92 73 93 72 93 73 / 70 20 70 10 60 10 60 20 Camden 90 72 89 72 90 72 91 73 / 60 30 70 10 60 10 60 30 Crestview 90 73 90 72 92 72 92 73 / 70 20 80 10 50 10 80 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 613 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
New Aviation
DISCUSSION
Issued at 216 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
An upper level trough will remain over the Mississippi Valley, with ridging over the western CONUS and the subtropical ridge to our east, with the forecast area under southwest flow aloft. At the surface, southerly flow will also persist, with the deep layer flow allowing PWs to climb to near 2 inches. Meanwhile, weaker shortwaves will rotate through the southwest flow aloft, lending additional forcing for storms that are able to lift off any surface boundaries. The pattern will remain largely unchanged through Thursday, as the initial trough becomes absorbed in the longwave pattern and a second trough quickly digs into the Plains and then moves eastward. This means we'll see a rinse and repeat of what we've seen the last couple of days, with storms developing along the seabreeze during the morning and then lifting northward through the day. We'll also likely have outflow boundaries from storms to our west, and with little in the way of subsidence, coverage will be scattered to numerous each afternoon. There may be slightly higher coverage on Tuesday, though confidence is low.
Any storm that's able to maintain their updrafts will be capable of producing gusty winds up to 40 mph and small hail.
The upper ridge to our west seems to finally push the upper troughing eastward on Friday, before settling over the region this weekend. After another day of scattered to numerous convection on Friday, drier conditions will take hold for Saturday and Sunday.
Scattered storms are still anticipated, but the influence of the ridge should provide for more limited coverage. Unfortunately that will also translate into even hotter conditions to set in. We'll remain seasonably warm through the week, with highs climbing into the upper 80s to lower 90s each afternoon. By the weekend, temps will approach the mid to upper 90s in some spots. Looking ahead, heat indices will exceed 100 degrees, with a potential for reaching heat advisory criteria for some spots.
Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW through Tuesday and increases to a MODERATE on Wednesday and Thursday. The latest rip current probability guidance continues to trend toward a MODERATE risk by Friday. /73
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected once again today, impacting the terminals periodically. Uncertainty remains high with regard to timing and duration of storms; however, based on recent trends and latest guidance, the TAFs reflect a most likely scenario for storms today. Storms developing off the coast will lift northward and may impact KPNS and KJKA this morning. This activity has generally been short lived in nature, so opted for VCTS during the morning hours. At this point, we're not anticipating storms to impact KBFM and KMOB until this afternoon.
Between 18Z and 00Z is the most likely timeframe for storms to move over the terminals, and a TEMPO group has been included for all 4 sites given the uncertainty on when prevailing TSRA will occur. This activity will wind down around sunset, though have kept a PROB30 in through 02Z to account for any lingering activity. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions. /73
MARINE
Issued at 216 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Light onshore flow to persist through most of this week.
Occasionally moderate southerly flow is possible, especially in the nearshore waters which will be influenced by the diurnal land and sea breeze pattern. Winds and seas will likely be temporarily higher in and near the vicinity of storms. The environment also looks to be supportive of waterspouts in morning activity near the coast.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 90 74 89 75 90 75 91 75 / 60 20 80 10 70 20 70 30 Pensacola 88 78 88 79 89 78 89 78 / 70 30 70 20 60 30 70 30 Destin 89 79 89 80 90 79 90 79 / 70 30 70 20 50 30 60 30 Evergreen 91 71 91 72 92 72 93 73 / 70 20 80 10 50 10 70 20 Waynesboro 91 71 92 73 93 72 93 73 / 70 20 70 10 60 10 60 20 Camden 90 72 89 72 90 72 91 73 / 60 30 70 10 60 10 60 30 Crestview 90 73 90 72 92 72 92 73 / 70 20 80 10 50 10 80 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PCBF1 | 37 mi | 51 min | S 2.9G | 85°F | 30.08 | |||
| PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 39 mi | 51 min | E 2.9G | 86°F | 30.08 | |||
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 49 mi | 51 min | SE 6G | 85°F | ||||
| 42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy | 64 mi | 29 min | S 5.8G | 83°F | 86°F | 30.06 | 76°F |
Wind History for Pensacola, FL
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KVPS EGLIN AFB/DESTINFT WALTON BEACH,FL | 3 sm | 8 min | S 03 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 86°F | 77°F | 75% | 30.07 | |
| KDTS DESTIN EXECUTIVE,FL | 6 sm | 15 min | var 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 88°F | 77°F | 70% | 30.07 | |
| KEGI DUKE FIELD,(EGLIN AF AUX NR ),FL | 11 sm | 13 min | SW 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 86°F | 75°F | 70% | 30.07 | |
| KHRT HURLBURT FIELD,FL | 12 sm | 13 min | SSE 06 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | Thunderstorm in Vicinity | 88°F | 77°F | 70% | 30.06 |
| KCEW BOB SIKES,FL | 20 sm | 15 min | NW 03 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 84°F | 75°F | 74% | 30.10 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KVPS
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KVPS
Wind History Graph: VPS
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Southeast
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Northwest Florida,
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