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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 944 Am Cst Thu Dec 7 2023
Rest of today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
Sunday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Waves around 2 feet.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 944 Am Cst Thu Dec 7 2023
Synopsis..Light to moderate southeasterly flow continues through Friday. The onshore flow pattern will strengthen Saturday night ahead of an approaching cold front. A moderate to strong northwesterly to northerly flow returns Sunday into Sunday night following the passage of the front, with gusts to gale force possible Sunday through Sunday night over open gulf waters.

FXUS64 KMOB 071752 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1152 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

New AVIATION, NEAR TERM

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1152 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

VFR conditions persist through the TAF period. Winds also remain light and southeasterly, but may briefly turn to the east along the coast late tonight. An isolated shower or two may be possible along the coast towards the end of the period, but confidence in this potential was not high enough to include in the TAFs at this time. /14

NEAR TERM
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 1152 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

Approaching upper level shortwave energy brings increasing isentropic upglide tonight into Friday over a cool, very dry airmass currently over the Southeast. Precipitable h20 values around 0.2" start the day Thursday over the forecast area, with a slow rise during the day. Precipitable h20 values rising to around 1.3" over land portions of the forecast area by the end of the day Friday. The airmass south of the coast sees the moisture increase first, and with the airmass becoming more surface based late tonight into Friday, a bit of instability in the boundary layer will allow for light rainshowers to develop well south of the coast tonight, then spread northward over the northern Gulf coast through Friday. Models soundings show enough instability for thunder to increasingly mix in south of the coast Friday, so have added isolated thunder south of the coast for Friday afternoon.

Temperatures rise through the Near Term with the increasing southerly flow. High temperatures ranging from around 60 to the low 60s today rise to the mid 60s over northeastern portions of the forecast area to the low 70s over southeast Mississippi and Mobile County. Low temperatures tonight are expected to range from around 40 north of Highway 84 to the low 50s along the coast.

Increasing onshore flow Friday into the weekend will bring an increase in Rip Current risk. The risk become moderate on Friday night, then high on Saturday through Sunday. A cold front moving south across the area late Sunday into Sunday night will shift flow to offshore and drop the risk to low in the coming week. /16

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 49 71 59 76 53 60 34 57 / 0 20 20 50 90 40 0 0 Pensacola 53 69 62 73 56 66 38 57 / 10 30 40 60 90 50 10 0 Destin 54 69 63 73 60 70 40 57 / 10 40 50 60 90 70 10 0 Evergreen 40 68 56 75 54 59 32 56 / 0 10 30 60 90 50 10 0 Waynesboro 41 69 56 76 49 56 30 56 / 0 10 20 60 90 30 0 0 Camden 40 67 56 75 51 57 31 54 / 0 0 30 60 90 50 10 0 Crestview 42 67 57 73 57 63 34 56 / 0 20 40 60 90 70 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Lora Point
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Thu -- 01:18 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:32 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:35 AM CST     0.44 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:23 PM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:47 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:51 PM CST     0.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Bay Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:18 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:32 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:59 AM CST     0.44 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:22 PM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:46 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:38 PM CST     0.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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