Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ferry Pass, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 5:19PM Saturday January 25, 2020 3:15 AM CST (09:15 UTC) Moonrise 8:24AMMoonset 7:09PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:202001251545;;472728 Fzus54 Kmob 250332 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 932 Pm Cst Fri Jan 24 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-251545- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 932 Pm Cst Fri Jan 24 2020
.small craft should exercise caution this evening...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Saturday..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 2 seconds. Showers likely.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northeast. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Showers likely.
Monday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 932 Pm Cst Fri Jan 24 2020
Synopsis..High pressure will move east across the gulf before a weak surface low forms over the western gulf Sunday. Flow will become onshore Sunday as rain chances increase. Another low pressure system forecast to move off the texas coast late Tuesday and progress east bringing more rain. Light offshore flow is anticipated through much of the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferry Pass, FL
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location: 30.52, -87.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 250506 AAB AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1106 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020

DISCUSSION. See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday Night/. A zonal flow pattern develops over the region on Saturday along with a surface high building into the area while a deep upper low centered near the Ohio River valley moves into the Great Lakes region. A vigorous shortwave meanwhile advances across the south central states, then ejects off across the interior central Gulf coast states Saturday night. Skies remain clear to mostly clear through Saturday, then increasing cloudiness follows for Saturday night in response to the ejecting shortwave. Dry conditions prevail through the period, although may see some isolated showers develop late Saturday night over extreme southeast Mississippi. Highs on Saturday range from the mid 50s well inland to near 60 elsewhere. Lows Saturday night predominately range from the upper 30s/near 40 inland to the lower 40s closer to the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected for Saturday and Saturday night. /29

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . VFR conditions continue through the period. Northwest winds around 5 knots increase to 5 to 10 knots on Saturday then become westerly in the afternoon. /29

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 514 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020/

DISCUSSION . See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

UPDATE . Will be updating at 6 PM CST for the expiration of the High Risk of rip currents. No other major changes planned. /29

AVIATION . 00Z issuance . VFR conditions continue through the period. Westerly winds 5 to 10 knots subside to a light northwest flow overnight, then a northwesterly flow at 5 to 10 knots follows for Saturday. /29

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 321 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday Night/ . Zonal flow sets up over the region tonight into Saturday as an upper level trough departs to the northeast and another trough out west begins to dig into southern Texas and northern Mexico. A surface low associated with the western trough begins to develop over the northwestern Gulf Saturday night while surface high pressure builds into the local area. Dry conditions are expected across the local area through this period, but rain chances begin to encroach on our SE MS counties by early Sunday morning as the surface low approaches and high pressure shifts to our east.

Lows tonight range from low to mid 30s inland to around 40 along the coast. Highs on Saturday reach the mid to upper 50s. Lows trend a few degrees warmer Saturday night, only dipping into the upper 30s and low/mid 40s as increasing cloud cover helps mitigate radiative cooling. /49

SHORT TERM /Sunday Through Monday night/ . Southern stream mid- level energy dives southeast out of the southern Plains Sunday morning with axis of trof crossing east over the central Gulf coast Sunday night. Wave of surface frontal low pressure over the western Gulf Sunday morning tracks slowly eastward over the central and eastern Gulf Sunday night into Monday. An increased chance of showers expected to close out the weekend with the highest coverage including convection more focused into the central Gulf closer to the low track and coincident with best upper level jet streak dynamics and instability. Precipitation chances decrease from west to east Monday as the Gulf low continues east and increases its distance from the local area. Monday night dry.

Daytime highs mid to upper 50s Sunday, lift into the upper 50s to lower 60s Monday. Over-night lows in the mid to upper 40s Sunday night trend 4 to 7 degrees cooler Monday night. /10

LONG TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . Weak upper ridge passes over the southeast while next southern stream impulse advances east over Texas Tuesday. The medium range guidance differs on speed of eastward translation of area of precipitation associated with upstream system with GFS slightly faster than the ECMWF. National blends support a slower solution consistent with the ECMWF which leaves PoPs at 10% or less Tuesday. Going into the middle of next week, quite a bit of spread occurs in the physicals. The operational GFS shows a well defined surface low (1005 mb) tracking eastward over the central Gulf coast Wednesday and Wednesday night while the ECMWF takes a weaker surface low eastward over the central Gulf Wednesday which dissipates by Thursday. The Canadian moves a complex front with a series of frontal waves along it anywhere from the Mid-South to the central Gulf coast Wednesday. Considering the spread and low confidence, best course of action will keep small PoPs Wednesday in lieu of higher rain chances to see if better continuity is reached on later runs. Latest extended range outlooks from WPC leans closer to the ECMWF solution.

Daytime high in the lower to mid 60s much of the week will be very close to seasonal normals. Numbers slightly cooler into the day Friday, upper 50s to lower 60s. Overnight lows remain cool. Lows mostly in the low to mid 40s much of the period. /10

MARINE . Will post small craft exercise caution headlines this evening over the open Gulf waters before wind begins to lower. High pressure moves east over the Gulf coast with seas to gradually subside this weekend. A weak surface low forms over the western Gulf Sunday and moves east southeast over the central Gulf Sunday night. Rain chances increase Sunday and Sunday night. Another low pressure system is forecast to move off the Texas coast late Tuesday and eastward over the western and central Gulf mid week. Offshore flow is anticipated through much of the period. /10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi45 min NNE 2.9 G 6 45°F 1020.1 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi45 min 45°F 1020 hPa
WBYA1 35 mi45 min 56°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi90 min 44°F 1020 hPa40°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 37 mi25 min N 16 G 18 50°F 61°F3 ft1020.6 hPa43°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 42 mi45 min Calm 46°F 1021.3 hPa
PTOA1 47 mi45 min 46°F 38°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi45 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 54°F 54°F1020.9 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 48 mi51 min 45°F 54°F1020.8 hPa
MBPA1 49 mi45 min 43°F 39°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL4 mi22 minN 810.00 miFair44°F37°F76%1020.1 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL14 mi19 minN 610.00 miFair44°F39°F83%1020 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL15 mi79 minN 710.00 miFair42°F37°F85%1018.7 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL16 mi19 minN 010.00 miFair39°F36°F89%1019.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW5NW8NW6NW7NW10NW11NW12
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1 day agoNE4N7NE5NE4NE7E7NE7NE4E6E7E7E6E7E8E6E5E6S8E8E5NE5N3CalmCalm
2 days agoNE7NE53CalmNE6NE5E66N53N4N3N5N4CalmN4NE5E5E5E9E9E4NE3NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:43 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:24 AM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:54 AM CST     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:18 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:09 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.31.20.90.60.30-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.50.811.21.3

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:43 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:24 AM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:51 AM CST     -0.56 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:18 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:09 PM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 11:23 PM CST     1.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.210.80.60.30.1-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.100.20.40.60.811.11.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.