Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ferry Pass, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 4:50PM Thursday December 12, 2019 6:53 PM CST (00:53 UTC) Moonrise 6:27PMMoonset 7:54AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201912131000;;256794 Fzus54 Kmob 122156 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 356 Pm Cst Thu Dec 12 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-131000- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 356 Pm Cst Thu Dec 12 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..East winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 13 to 18 knots becoming north 8 to 13 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers likely in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 8 to 13 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Saturday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Sunday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Sunday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Monday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 6 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 356 Pm Cst Thu Dec 12 2019
Synopsis..A moderate to strong east to northeast flow will persist through this evening in response to an area of low pressure tracking northward over the north central gulf, combined with strong high pressure located along the eastern seaboard. Easterly winds and seas will diminish late tonight and early Friday as the area of low pressure approaches from the south and moves inland along the alabama northwest florida coast by mid to late afternoon. Showers and Thunderstorms are expected late tonight and on Friday as the low center approaches from the south. A few strong Thunderstorms will be possible by early Friday with gusty straight line winds and waterspouts possible. Small craft advisories will remain in effect for the open gulf waters of alabama and northwest florida through 6 am Friday morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferry Pass, FL
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location: 30.52, -87.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 122147 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 347 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

NEAR TERM /Now Through Friday/. Near the surface a weak area of low pressure is located well south of the central LA coast with a warm front stretching NNE from the low center, located near the mouth of the MS river then stretching eastward off the coast of MS/AL/NWFL about 30 to 40 nm from shore. The weak SFC low will slowly deepen as it tracks north over the marine area through midday Fri moving onshore along the AL/NWFL coast by early Fri afternoon. This system is associated with a deepening upper system moving east over the central and lower Plains states late tonight through Fri with the upper trough axis reaching the lower MS River Valley and northern Gulf states by late Fri afternoon. With this pattern skies remain mostly cloudy through Fri afternoon with better rain chances, mostly in the form of moderate to heavy showers with a few embedded thunderstorms, moving onshore late tonight through early to mid afternoon Fri.

Along and south of the warm front better surface based instability is noted leading to a few strong thunderstorms forming along the front just east of the mouth of the MS River this afternoon. Increased vertical shear in the lower levels of the boundary layer is also noted leading to a few rotating cells well to the south of KMOB generally east of the mouth of the MS river. As the low center approaches the AL/NWFL coast by early Fri morning the warm front is progged to move just onshore generally from lower Mobile Co stretching northeast then east to about the AL/NWFL state line. This all occurs from about 09z Fri morning continuing through mid to late afternoon. As a result a few strong surface based thunderstorms will be possible along and south of the warm front on Fri accompanied with gusty straight line winds, large hail along with a few isolated tornadoes. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing pattern.

Temperatures will be warmer tonight and on Fri with lows ranging from the mid to upper 40s for most inland areas and the lower to middle 50s along the immediate coast. Highs Fri will range from the upper 50s to lower 60s along and north of Highway 84 and the middle 60s further south stretching to the immediate coast. 32/ee

SHORT TERM /Friday night Through Sunday night/. Medium amplified upper level trough with axis nearly in line with the Mississippi River will advance eastward and deamplify before moving off the east coast of the U.S. Saturday night. West-northwest mid to upper level winds in the wake of the trough will bring in a drier airmass, with any lingering precipitation across the forecast area quickly tapering off from west to east Friday evening. With surface high pressure building into the region, along with the drier air mass, the entire weekend looks to be rain-free with temperatures on the rise. High temperatures Saturday will be about 3 to 6 degrees above normal, ranging from 63 to 69 degrees. High temperatures Sunday will be around 8 degrees above normal, ranging from 67 to 71 degrees. Lows will trend warmer as well, with lows Saturday night in the 40s and lows Sunday night in the 50s. /22

LONG TERM /Monday Through Thursday/. A large positively tilted upper level trough over the north central/western conus, with an axis extending from south central Canada to Baja California, will advance eastward and amplify. The northern portion of the upper trough will advance faster than the southern portion, so the trough should extend from southeast Canada to northern Mexico by noon Wednesday, and eventually move east of the region after midweek. An inverted surface trough should extend from northeast Mexico to the Tennessee Valley region Monday morning. This trough, along with an associated strong cold front, will advance eastward across the forecast area Monday night through Tuesday morning. Precipitation will increase on Monday to likely over the northwestern portions of the area, with chance pops elsewhere. Likely to categorical pops follow for the entire area Monday night as the front moves through, then rain chances taper off on Tuesday with dry conditions areawide by late Tuesday afternoon. Both the GFS and ECMWF have MLCape values ahead of the front that have increased to between 500-700 J/KG, while 0-1 km SR Helicity values remain around 150-200 m2/s2, so will continue to monitor. /22

MARINE. A moderate to strong east to northeast flow will persist through this evening in response to an area of low pressure tracking northward over the north central Gulf, combined with strong high pressure located along the eastern seaboard. Easterly winds and seas will diminish late tonight and early Fri as the area of low pressure approaches from the south and moves inland along the Al/NWFL coast by mid to late afternoon Fri. Showers and thunderstorms are also expected late tonight and on Fri as the low center approaches from the south. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible by early Fri with gusty straight line winds and waterspouts possible. A moderate west to northwest flow is expected Friday night through Saturday in the wake of a cold front that moves off the coast late Friday afternoon through early Friday evening. Small Craft Advisories will remain in effect for the open Gulf waters of AL and NWFL through 6 am Fri morning. 32/ee

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Mobile 49 64 48 69 46 71 57 76 / 70 50 20 0 0 0 10 40 Pensacola 51 66 52 68 49 70 60 75 / 80 70 20 0 0 0 10 30 Destin 52 65 54 67 51 68 61 72 / 80 80 30 0 0 0 10 30 Evergreen 47 62 48 67 42 71 54 76 / 80 70 30 0 0 0 10 50 Waynesboro 44 59 44 65 40 67 53 72 / 60 40 10 0 0 0 10 60 Camden 45 58 46 64 41 68 54 74 / 70 80 20 0 0 0 10 60 Crestview 47 64 50 67 43 70 54 75 / 80 70 30 0 0 0 10 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi54 min WSW 1.9 G 7 51°F 61°F1022.9 hPa (-0.7)
PPTA1 26 mi54 min 52°F 1022.4 hPa (-1.0)
WBYA1 35 mi54 min 59°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi69 min 51°F 1022 hPa49°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 37 mi34 min ENE 19 G 25 58°F 67°F1021.8 hPa56°F
PTOA1 47 mi54 min 52°F 48°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi60 min E 8.9 G 16 60°F 58°F1022.7 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 48 mi60 min 51°F 59°F1022.3 hPa
MBPA1 49 mi54 min 53°F 49°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL4 mi61 minVar 510.00 miOvercast50°F48°F96%1023.3 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL14 mi2 hrsNNE 73.00 miThunderstorm Rain Fog/Mist51°F48°F92%1023 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL15 mi2 hrsENE 910.00 miOvercast51°F46°F83%1022.7 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL16 mi58 minE 11 G 188.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain47°F46°F97%1022.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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2 days agoS5S6S6SE7S6S5S6S6S8S9S6S5S5S5S8S11S12S12S11
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Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:36 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:54 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 09:57 AM CST     -0.59 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:26 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:11 PM CST     1.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.41.20.90.60.3-0-0.3-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.40.60.91.11.31.51.71.7

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:36 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:54 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:54 AM CST     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:27 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:35 PM CST     1.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.210.80.50.30-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.2-0.10.10.30.50.70.91.11.21.41.41.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.